Daesung Industrial대성산업
128820 · KOSPI · ₩128820 · 대성산업
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
With these assumptions the model gives no positive value.
- Enterprise value
- ₩448B
- Equity value
- −₩136B
- WACC
- 4.9%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model gives no positive value at these assumptions. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩4,095, the model needs an operating margin of 2.5% every year (it uses 1.6%).
- Or revenue growth +14.0 points a year higher than assumed in each of the 5 years.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- —
- Base
- —
- Bull
- ₩30,934
- +655.4%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in
Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (1.6%).
Revenue growth
- -5.8%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-5.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -3.6%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-5.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -1.4%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-5.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 0.8%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-5.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-5.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 1.6%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 1%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 1.2%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 6%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.11%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.15, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.61%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩1.6T
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- ₩595B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩34B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- − Minority interests
- ₩23B
- Shares
- 45,235,478
- Share price
- ₩4,095
- Market cap
- ₩185B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩1.6T | ₩1.5T | ₩1.6T | ₩1.5T | ₩1.4T | ₩1.4T | ₩1.4T | ₩1.4T |
| Growth | −14.1% | −8.2% | 6.0% | −5.8% | −3.6% | −1.4% | 0.8% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩29B | ₩22B | ₩11B | ₩23B | ₩23B | ₩22B | ₩22B | ₩23B |
| EBIT margin | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩21B | ₩16B | ₩7.9B | ₩17B | ₩16B | ₩16B | ₩16B | ₩17B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩15B | ₩14B | ₩14B | ₩14B | ₩14B |
| − Capital spending | ₩18B | ₩20B | ₩20B | ₩18B | ₩17B | ₩17B | ₩17B | ₩17B |
| − Working capital | −₩9.5B | ₩15B | −₩12B | −₩5.4B | −₩3.2B | −₩1.2B | ₩669M | ₩2.5B |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | ₩19B | ₩17B | ₩15B | ₩13B | ₩11B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.954 | 0.909 | 0.867 | 0.827 | 0.789 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩19B | ₩15B | ₩13B | ₩11B | ₩9B |
Terminal value ₩485B, worth ₩382B today: 85% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩13,892 a share)Now 0.29× | ₩3,5780.26× | ₩4,2290.30× | ₩7,0230.51× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.9% | — | — | ₩2,207 | ₩6,713 | ₩16,451 |
| 4.4% | — | — | — | ₩1,503 | ₩5,764 |
| 4.9% | — | — | — | — | ₩821 |
| 5.4% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5.9% | — | — | — | — | — |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩185B
- Enterprise value
- ₩781B
- P/E
- —
- P/B
- 0.3×
- P/S
- 0.1×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 2.9%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩7,180 | ₩3,265 | ₩3,580 | ₩3,850 | ₩4,560 |
| Market cap | ₩325B | ₩148B | ₩162B | ₩174B | ₩206B |
| P/E | — | 22.9× | — | — | — |
| P/B | 0.5× | 0.2× | 0.3× | 0.3× | 0.5× |
| P/S | 0.2× | 0.1× | 0.1× | 0.1× | 0.2× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 1.7% | — | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daesung Industrial | — | 0.3× | 0.1× | — | 2.9% |
| Samsung C&T | 17.5× | 0.5× | 1.1× | — | 0.9% |
| POSCO International | 10.6× | 1.3× | 0.3× | — | 3.7% |
| ISC | 41.4× | 5.5× | 11.5× | — | 0.6% |
| Youngone | 5.1× | 0.7× | 0.7× | — | 3.1% |
| Dong SUH Companies | 19.0× | 1.6× | 5.1× | — | 4.1% |
| Shinsegae | 13.7× | 0.4× | 0.3× | — | 2.1% |
| Similar companies (median) | 15.6× | 1.0× | 0.9× | — | 2.6% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Daesung Industrial / 대성산업 / 128820 / KRX:128820
Source: KRX statistical information