Korea Electronic Power Industrial Development한전산업
130660 · KOSPI · ₩130660 · 한전산업
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩7,780
vs the current price (₩10,370)
- Enterprise value
- ₩236B
- Equity value
- ₩254B
- WACC
- 7.9%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩3,369
- −67.5%
- Base
- ₩7,780
- −25.0%
- Bull
- ₩15,277
- +47.3%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (4.3%).
Revenue growth
- 4.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (4.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 4.1%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (4.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3.7%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (4.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3.4%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (4.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (4.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 4.3%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 0.5%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 0.6%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 3.4%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.08%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-29.
- 0.7
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.55, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.58%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩427B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩18B
- Shares
- 32,600,000
- Share price
- ₩10,370
- Market cap
- ₩338B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩363B | ₩368B | ₩395B | ₩446B | ₩465B | ₩482B | ₩498B | ₩513B |
| Growth | 5.0% | 1.2% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩26B | ₩16B | ₩6.6B | ₩19B | ₩20B | ₩21B | ₩21B | ₩22B |
| EBIT margin | 7.2% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩19B | ₩12B | ₩4.8B | ₩14B | ₩14B | ₩15B | ₩16B | ₩16B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩2.2B | ₩2.3B | ₩2.4B | ₩2.5B | ₩2.6B |
| − Capital spending | ₩2.8B | ₩2.7B | ₩1.7B | ₩2.7B | ₩2.8B | ₩2.9B | ₩3B | ₩3.1B |
| − Working capital | −₩1.7B | −₩9B | ₩19B | ₩653M | ₩622M | ₩584M | ₩557M | ₩508M |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | ₩13B | ₩13B | ₩14B | ₩14B | ₩15B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.927 | 0.858 | 0.795 | 0.737 | 0.683 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩12B | ₩11B | ₩11B | ₩11B | ₩10B |
Terminal value ₩265B, worth ₩181B today: 77% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩3,299 a share)Now 3.14× | ₩7,9532.41× | ₩11,2443.41× | ₩16,4754.99× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩149 a share)Now 69.7× | ₩2,05913.8× | ₩3,37422.7× | ₩7,90553.2× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩1,446 a share)Now 7.17× | ₩20,02813.8× | ₩32,81422.7× | ₩76,88853.2× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.9% | ₩8,100 | ₩8,631 | ₩9,269 | ₩10,051 | ₩11,031 |
| 7.4% | ₩7,500 | ₩7,938 | ₩8,456 | ₩9,079 | ₩9,842 |
| 7.9% | ₩6,987 | ₩7,353 | ₩7,780 | ₩8,286 | ₩8,893 |
| 8.4% | ₩6,544 | ₩6,853 | ₩7,210 | ₩7,627 | ₩8,120 |
| 8.9% | ₩6,156 | ₩6,420 | ₩6,722 | ₩7,070 | ₩7,477 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩338B
- Enterprise value
- ₩320B
- P/E
- 69.7×
- P/B
- 3.1×
- P/S
- 0.8×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 0.0%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩10,420 | ₩9,360 | ₩7,330 | ₩8,510 | ₩12,200 |
| Market cap | ₩340B | ₩305B | ₩239B | ₩277B | ₩398B |
| P/E | 83.7× | 26.3× | 15.4× | 17.1× | 46.2× |
| P/B | 3.3× | 2.6× | 2.3× | 2.9× | 4.7× |
| P/S | 0.9× | 0.8× | 0.7× | 0.8× | 1.2× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 0.0% | 0.0% | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Korea Electronic Power Industrial Development | 69.7× | 3.1× | 0.8× | — | 0.0% |
| Samsung E&A | 19.0× | 2.5× | 1.3× | — | 1.2% |
| HD Hyundai Marine Solution | 23.4× | 8.8× | 3.6× | — | 2.3% |
| KEPCO Engineering & Construction | 102.2× | 6.2× | 6.9× | 50.8× | 1.4% |
| POSCO DX | 94.1× | 5.3× | 3.1× | — | 0.0% |
| Hanyang ENG | 7.7× | 0.7× | 0.4× | 3.8× | 0.0% |
| SemiFive | — | 2.2× | 4.0× | — | 0.0% |
| Similar companies (median) | 23.4× | 3.9× | 3.3× | 27.3× | 0.6% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Korea Electronic Power Industrial Development / 한전산업 / 130660 / KRX:130660
Source: KRX statistical information