Optus Pharmaceutical

131030 · KOSDAQ · ₩131030 · 옵투스제약

₩5,850▲ ₩100 (1.74%)End-of-day · Oct 27, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

₩2,757

vs the current price (₩5,850)

Enterprise value
₩40B
Equity value
₩49B
WACC
7.4%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Why the model and the price differ

The model is 53% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:

  • To match today's price of ₩5,850, the model needs an operating margin of 13.9% every year (it uses 10.7%).
  • Or revenue growth +13.6 points a year higher than assumed in each of the 5 years.
  • Margins ranged from 9.0% to 18.3% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
  • 41% of the last 12 months' net profit came from outside operations (stakes in other companies, interest, one-offs). The model adds those stakes at book value but doesn't project that income.
  • In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.
  • Today's P/E is 8.3× against a typical 11.9× over the last 10 years.

Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
—
Base
₩2,757
−52.9%
Bull
₩8,283
+41.6%

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

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Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (10.7%).

Revenue growth

  • 14.1%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (14.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 11.3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (14.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 8.6%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (14.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 5.8%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (14.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (14.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • 10.7%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 5.1%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 29.2%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 15.1%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.11%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.

  • 0.6

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.17, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.61%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩94B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
−₩5.7B
+ Stakes and investments
₩2.6B
Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
Shares
17,646,590
Share price
₩5,850
Market cap
₩103B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩72B₩82B₩87B₩108B₩120B₩130B₩138B₩142B
Growth23.5%13.1%6.4%14.1%11.3%8.6%5.8%3.0%
EBIT₩8.2B₩8.6B₩8.9B₩12B₩13B₩14B₩15B₩15B
EBIT margin11.3%10.5%10.2%10.7%10.7%10.7%10.7%10.7%
After-tax EBIT₩5.9B₩6.2B₩6.4B₩8.4B₩9.3B₩10B₩11B₩11B
+ Depreciation₩4.2B₩3.9B₩4B₩5.5B₩6.1B₩6.6B₩7B₩7.2B
− Capital spending₩3.3B₩26B₩45B₩31B₩35B₩38B₩40B₩41B
− Working capital−₩40B−₩4.3B₩15B₩2B₩1.8B₩1.6B₩1.1B₩624M
Free cash flow₩47B−₩11B−₩50B−₩20B−₩21B−₩23B−₩24B−₩24B
Discount factor———0.9310.8670.8070.7510.700
Present value———−₩18B−₩19B−₩18B−₩18B−₩17B

Terminal value ₩186B, worth ₩130B today: 322% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩10,208 a share)Now 0.57×₩6,7620.66×₩8,7050.85×₩10,4271.02×
Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩703 a share)Now 8.32×₩6,2578.90×₩8,37911.9×₩15,45422.0×
P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩315 a share)Now 18.5×₩2,8068.90×₩3,75711.9×₩6,92922.0×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
6.4%₩3,057₩3,804₩4,719₩5,868₩7,352
6.9%₩2,302₩2,905₩3,629₩4,516₩5,630
7.4%₩1,679₩2,173₩2,757₩3,459₩4,319
7.9%₩1,158₩1,568₩2,047₩2,613₩3,294
8.4%₩720₩1,064₩1,461₩1,925₩2,474

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩103B
Enterprise value
₩96B
P/E
8.3×
P/B
0.6×
P/S
1.1×
EV/EBITDA
6.8×
Dividend yield
0.0%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩6,880₩6,100₩5,320₩6,290₩6,770
Market cap₩121B₩108B₩94B₩111B₩119B
P/E10.7×10.4×8.7×22.1×12.1×
P/B0.7×0.7×0.7×0.9×0.9×
P/S1.4×1.3×1.3×1.9×2.1×
EV/EBITDA7.8×4.5×2.0×10.3×6.7×
Dividend yield0.0%————

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
Optus Pharmaceutical8.3×0.6×1.1×6.8×0.0%
Samsung Biologics32.1×7.6×14.0×—0.0%
Celltrion27.8×2.4×8.9×—0.0%
Alteogen78.8×28.4×59.9×—0.1%
Yuhan24.8×2.5×2.6×32.5×0.8%
SK biopharmaceuticals14.6×5.7×6.8×—0.0%
HLB—15.4×54.6×—0.0%
Similar companies (median)27.8×6.7×11.5×32.5×0.0%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: Optus Pharmaceutical / 옵투스제약 / 131030 / KRX:131030

Source: KRX statistical information