Secuve

131090 · KOSDAQ · ₩131090 · 시큐브

₩4,315▼ ₩25 (0.58%)End-of-day · Oct 30, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
Trade
Alert me

Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

₩13,592

vs the current price (₩4,315)

Enterprise value
₩60B
Equity value
₩104B
WACC
7.3%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Why the model and the price differ

The model is 215% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:

  • To match today's price of ₩4,315, the model needs an operating margin of −5.8% every year (it uses 33.4%).
  • Margins ranged from 28.3% to 41.7% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
  • 37% of the last 12 months' net profit came from outside operations (stakes in other companies, interest, one-offs). The model adds those stakes at book value but doesn't project that income.
  • Today's P/E is 6.6× against a typical 8.4× over the last 10 years.

Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
₩11,178
+159.1%
Base
₩13,592
+215.0%
Bull
₩17,479
+305.1%

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in

Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (33.4%).

Revenue growth

  • -0.6%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-0.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 0.3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-0.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 1.2%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-0.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 2.1%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-0.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-0.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • 33.4%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 1.4%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).

  • 1.7%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 2.2%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.01%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-30.

  • 0.6

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta -0.29, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.51%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩14B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
−₩44B
+ Stakes and investments
₩15M
Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
Shares
7,658,221
Share price
₩4,315
Market cap
₩33B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩14B₩12B₩13B₩13B₩14B₩14B₩14B₩14B
Growth5.4%−16.4%11.3%−0.6%0.3%1.2%2.1%3.0%
EBIT₩4.5B₩3.4B₩4.3B₩4.5B₩4.5B₩4.6B₩4.7B₩4.8B
EBIT margin30.8%28.3%32.1%33.4%33.4%33.4%33.4%33.4%
After-tax EBIT₩3.2B₩2.5B₩3.1B₩3.3B₩3.3B₩3.3B₩3.4B₩3.5B
+ Depreciation———₩189M₩189M₩192M₩196M₩201M
− Capital spending₩344M₩148M₩220M₩229M₩230M₩233M₩237M₩245M
− Working capital−₩22B₩189M−₩1.3B−₩1.8M₩889,443₩3.6M₩6.3M₩9.2M
Free cash flow———₩3.2B₩3.2B₩3.3B₩3.3B₩3.4B
Discount factor———0.9320.8680.8090.7540.703
Present value———₩3B₩2.8B₩2.6B₩2.5B₩2.4B

Terminal value ₩66B, worth ₩47B today: 78% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩6,366 a share)Now 0.68×₩4,1260.65×₩5,1960.82×₩8,4501.33×
Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩652 a share)Now 6.62×₩4,0386.19×₩5,4698.39×₩6,83610.5×
P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩174 a share)Now 24.7×₩1,0806.19×₩1,4638.39×₩1,82810.5×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
6.3%₩13,876₩14,566₩15,415₩16,489₩17,886
6.8%₩13,172₩13,732₩14,409₩15,243₩16,295
7.3%₩12,580₩13,043₩13,592₩14,256₩15,074
7.8%₩12,075₩12,462₩12,916₩13,455₩14,107
8.3%₩11,639₩11,967₩12,347₩12,792₩13,322

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩33B
Enterprise value
−₩11B
P/E
6.6×
P/B
0.7×
P/S
2.4×
EV/EBITDA
—
Dividend yield
3.5%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩3,875₩4,275₩5,145₩5,100₩6,950
Market cap₩30B₩33B₩39B₩39B₩53B
P/E6.3×10.8×6.8×8.0×11.1×
P/B0.6×0.7×0.9×0.9×1.4×
P/S2.2×2.7×2.7×2.9×4.0×
EV/EBITDA—————
Dividend yield3.9%2.9%———

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
Secuve6.6×0.7×2.4×—3.5%
Krafton10.0×1.2×1.9×—1.2%
Hyundai Autoever41.5×4.2×1.7×—0.7%
NC7.0×1.2×2.1×8.5×0.6%
Netmarble7.1×0.5×1.0×—2.6%
PearlAbyss8.1×2.1×3.0×5.3×0.0%
Shift UP9.0×1.8×7.1×—0.0%
Similar companies (median)8.5×1.5×2.0×6.9×0.6%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: Secuve / 시큐브 / 131090 / KRX:131090

Source: KRX statistical information