Sunjin선진
136490 · KOSPI · ₩136490 · 선진
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩116,938
vs the current price (₩10,070)
- Enterprise value
- ₩3.2T
- Equity value
- ₩2.8T
- WACC
- 5.3%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 1,061% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩10,070, the model needs an operating margin of 1.2% every year (it uses 6.4%).
- Today's P/E is 2.8× against a typical 6.0× over the last 10 years.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩45,808
- +354.9%
- Base
- ₩116,938
- +1,061.3%
- Bull
- ₩270,836
- +2,589.5%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in
Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (6.4%).
Revenue growth
- 3.3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (3.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3.2%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (3.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3.2%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (3.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3.1%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (3.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (3.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 6.4%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 4 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 1.6%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 0%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- -0.9%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.08%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-29.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.25, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.58%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩2.1T
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- ₩421B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩3.8B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- − Minority interests
- ₩22B
- Shares
- 23,779,604
- Share price
- ₩10,070
- Market cap
- ₩239B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩1.9T | ₩1.9T | ₩1.9T | ₩2.1T | ₩2.2T | ₩2.3T | ₩2.3T | ₩2.4T |
| Growth | 8.9% | 1.9% | −0.5% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩71B | ₩98B | ₩179B | ₩136B | ₩140B | ₩144B | ₩149B | ₩153B |
| EBIT margin | 3.8% | 5.1% | 9.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩51B | ₩71B | ₩130B | ₩98B | ₩101B | ₩105B | ₩108B | ₩111B |
| + Depreciation | ₩29B | ₩30B | — | ₩34B | ₩35B | ₩36B | ₩37B | ₩38B |
| − Capital spending | ₩192M | — | — | ₩0 | ₩0 | ₩0 | ₩0 | ₩0 |
| − Working capital | ₩9.3B | −₩71B | ₩531B | −₩609M | −₩610M | −₩630M | −₩629M | −₩628M |
| Free cash flow | ₩70B | — | — | ₩133B | ₩137B | ₩141B | ₩146B | ₩150B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.950 | 0.903 | 0.858 | 0.815 | 0.774 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩126B | ₩124B | ₩121B | ₩119B | ₩116B |
Terminal value ₩3.4T, worth ₩2.6T today: 81% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩26,393 a share)Now 0.38× | ₩9,5220.36× | ₩11,7900.45× | ₩16,5710.63× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩3,595 a share)Now 2.80× | ₩7,7062.14× | ₩21,4555.97× | ₩61,20817.0× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩3,425 a share)Now 2.94× | ₩7,3412.14× | ₩20,4395.97× | ₩58,31017.0× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.3% | ₩121,686 | ₩143,169 | ₩174,180 | ₩222,864 | ₩310,347 |
| 4.8% | ₩103,808 | ₩119,285 | ₩140,382 | ₩170,835 | ₩218,644 |
| 5.3% | ₩90,112 | ₩101,738 | ₩116,938 | ₩137,657 | ₩167,566 |
| 5.8% | ₩79,277 | ₩88,295 | ₩99,715 | ₩114,644 | ₩134,994 |
| 6.3% | ₩70,489 | ₩77,660 | ₩86,518 | ₩97,736 | ₩112,401 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩239B
- Enterprise value
- ₩592B
- P/E
- 2.8×
- P/B
- 0.4×
- P/S
- 0.1×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 2.0%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩9,700 | ₩6,620 | ₩9,300 | ₩11,500 |
| Market cap | ₩231B | ₩157B | ₩221B | ₩273B |
| P/E | 1.9× | 11.3× | 9.5× | 6.4× |
| P/B | 0.4× | 0.4× | 0.5× | 0.7× |
| P/S | 0.1× | 0.1× | 0.1× | 0.2× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | 0.4× | 1.4× | 1.4× |
| Dividend yield | 2.1% | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sunjin | 2.8× | 0.4× | 0.1× | — | 2.0% |
| Samyang Foods | 17.6× | 5.6× | 3.1× | — | 0.4% |
| Orion | 10.6× | 1.1× | 1.2× | 5.3× | 3.1% |
| CJ Cheiljedang | — | 0.3× | 0.1× | — | 3.5% |
| Nongshim | 12.0× | 0.8× | 0.6× | — | 1.5% |
| Otoki | 17.3× | 0.6× | 0.3× | — | 2.9% |
| Hite Jinro | 23.2× | 0.9× | 0.4× | 6.4× | 4.5% |
| Similar companies (median) | 17.3× | 0.9× | 0.5× | 5.8× | 3.0% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Sunjin / 선진 / 136490 / KRX:136490
Source: KRX statistical information