Wins Technet윈스테크넷
136540 · KOSDAQ · ₩136540 · 윈스테크넷
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩29,132
vs the current price (₩11,190)
- Enterprise value
- ₩262B
- Equity value
- ₩358B
- WACC
- 7.4%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 160% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩11,190, the model needs an operating margin of 3.8% every year (it uses 21.2%).
- Today's P/E is 7.5× against a typical 7.5× over the last 10 years.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩22,080
- +97.3%
- Base
- ₩29,132
- +160.3%
- Bull
- ₩40,632
- +263.1%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in
Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (21.2%).
Revenue growth
- -0.9%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-0.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 0%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-0.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 1%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-0.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 2%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-0.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-0.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 21.2%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 1.8%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 2.3%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 7.8%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.08%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-29.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.07, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.58%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩97B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩96B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩82M
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- − Minority interests
- ₩353M
- Shares
- 12,279,746
- Share price
- ₩11,190
- Market cap
- ₩137B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩107B | ₩101B | ₩99B | ₩96B | ₩96B | ₩97B | ₩99B | ₩102B |
| Growth | 5.4% | −5.0% | −2.8% | −0.9% | 0.0% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩23B | ₩20B | ₩21B | ₩20B | ₩20B | ₩21B | ₩21B | ₩22B |
| EBIT margin | 21.6% | 20.1% | 21.5% | 21.2% | 21.2% | 21.2% | 21.2% | 21.2% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩17B | ₩15B | ₩15B | ₩15B | ₩15B | ₩15B | ₩15B | ₩16B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩1.7B | ₩1.7B | ₩1.7B | ₩1.8B | ₩1.8B |
| − Capital spending | ₩3.5B | ₩2.8B | ₩841M | ₩2.2B | ₩2.2B | ₩2.2B | ₩2.3B | ₩2.3B |
| − Working capital | −₩97B | ₩1.7B | ₩4.8B | −₩68M | ₩0 | ₩75M | ₩151M | ₩231M |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | ₩14B | ₩14B | ₩14B | ₩15B | ₩15B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.931 | 0.867 | 0.808 | 0.752 | 0.700 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩13B | ₩12B | ₩12B | ₩11B | ₩10B |
Terminal value ₩290B, worth ₩203B today: 78% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩14,705 a share)Now 0.76× | ₩10,7740.73× | ₩12,8890.88× | ₩19,3531.32× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩1,496 a share)Now 7.48× | ₩9,9646.66× | ₩11,2787.54× | ₩13,1058.76× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩1,454 a share)Now 7.70× | ₩9,6826.66× | ₩10,9597.54× | ₩12,7348.76× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.4% | ₩29,974 | ₩31,787 | ₩34,013 | ₩36,811 | ₩40,437 |
| 6.9% | ₩28,075 | ₩29,548 | ₩31,322 | ₩33,501 | ₩36,240 |
| 7.4% | ₩26,474 | ₩27,690 | ₩29,132 | ₩30,869 | ₩33,002 |
| 7.9% | ₩25,106 | ₩26,124 | ₩27,315 | ₩28,726 | ₩30,426 |
| 8.4% | ₩23,924 | ₩24,786 | ₩25,782 | ₩26,948 | ₩28,330 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩137B
- Enterprise value
- ₩41B
- P/E
- 7.5×
- P/B
- 0.8×
- P/S
- 1.4×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 7.1%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩11,350 | ₩12,250 | ₩12,130 | ₩12,700 | ₩16,600 |
| Market cap | ₩139B | ₩150B | ₩149B | ₩156B | ₩204B |
| P/E | 7.6× | 7.6× | 7.1× | 8.1× | 11.1× |
| P/B | 0.8× | 0.9× | 0.8× | 0.9× | 1.3× |
| P/S | 1.4× | 1.5× | 1.4× | 1.5× | 2.1× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 7.0% | 6.5% | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins Technet | 7.5× | 0.8× | 1.4× | — | 7.1% |
| Samsung SDS | 24.6× | 1.5× | 1.1× | — | 1.5% |
| LG CNS | 15.5× | 2.5× | 1.2× | — | 2.4% |
| Itcenglobal | 7.0× | 3.0× | 0.0× | — | 0.0% |
| DB | 7.2× | 1.0× | 0.7× | 16.4× | 0.0% |
| Lotte Innovate | 15.0× | 0.6× | 0.2× | — | 4.1% |
| Shinsegae Information & Communication | 6.3× | 0.4× | 0.3× | 0.8× | 0.0% |
| Similar companies (median) | 11.1× | 1.3× | 0.5× | 8.6× | 0.8% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Wins Technet / 윈스테크넷 / 136540 / KRX:136540
Source: KRX statistical information