E-Mart이마트
139480 · KOSPI · ₩139480 · 이마트
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
With these assumptions the model gives no positive value.
- Enterprise value
- ₩3.6T
- Equity value
- −₩4.7T
- WACC
- 4.7%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model gives no positive value at these assumptions. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩66,400, the model needs an operating margin of 1.5% every year (it uses 0.7%).
- Or revenue growth +19.5 points a year higher than assumed in each of the 5 years.
- In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.
- The group includes a financial business (an insurer, bank or broker), whose investments and minority shareholders are left out here. A sum-of-the-parts view usually fits groups like this better.
- Today's P/E is 86.4× against a typical 9.6× over the last 10 years.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- —
- Base
- —
- Bull
- ₩981,061
- +1,377.5%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in
Cycle options
Start from
Preliminary results are the company's early announcement of a quarter's sales and operating profit, before the full report. Including them swaps that quarter in for the same quarter a year earlier.
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (0.7%).
Revenue growth
- -0.4%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-0.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 0.4%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-0.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 1.3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-0.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 2.1%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-0.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-0.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 0.7%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 2.1%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 2.6%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- -4.1%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.11%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.14, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.61%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩29T
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- ₩8.3T
- Shares
- 27,595,819
- Share price
- ₩66,400
- Market cap
- ₩1.8T
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩29T | ₩29T | ₩29T | ₩29T | ₩29T | ₩29T | ₩30T | ₩31T |
| Growth | 0.5% | −1.5% | −0.2% | −0.4% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | −₩47B | ₩47B | ₩323B | ₩200B | ₩201B | ₩204B | ₩208B | ₩214B |
| EBIT margin | −0.2% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% |
| After-tax EBIT | −₩34B | ₩34B | ₩234B | ₩145B | ₩146B | ₩148B | ₩151B | ₩155B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩601B | ₩604B | ₩612B | ₩624B | ₩643B |
| − Capital spending | ₩829B | ₩691B | ₩764B | ₩745B | ₩748B | ₩757B | ₩773B | ₩796B |
| − Working capital | ₩209B | ₩3.6T | −₩3T | ₩4.7B | −₩4.7B | −₩15B | −₩25B | −₩37B |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | −₩2.6B | ₩6.9B | ₩18B | ₩27B | ₩39B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.955 | 0.913 | 0.872 | 0.833 | 0.796 |
| Present value | — | — | — | −₩2.5B | ₩6.3B | ₩15B | ₩23B | ₩31B |
Terminal value ₩4.4T, worth ₩3.5T today: 98% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩476,334 a share)Now 0.14× | ₩73,4400.15× | ₩96,2520.20× | ₩166,4430.35× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩769 a share)Now 86.4× | ₩1,0471.36× | ₩7,3719.59× | ₩14,90819.4× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.7% | — | — | — | ₩26,970 | ₩299,228 |
| 4.2% | — | — | — | — | ₩37,041 |
| 4.7% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5.2% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5.7% | — | — | — | — | — |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩1.8T
- Enterprise value
- ₩10T
- P/E
- 86.4×
- P/B
- 0.1×
- P/S
- 0.1×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 3.8%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩81,300 | ₩63,400 | ₩76,600 | ₩98,000 | ₩151,000 |
| Market cap | ₩2.2T | ₩1.7T | ₩2.1T | ₩2.7T | ₩4.2T |
| P/E | 16.5× | — | — | 2.6× | 2.7× |
| P/B | 0.2× | 0.2× | 0.2× | 0.2× | 0.4× |
| P/S | 0.1× | 0.1× | 0.1× | 0.1× | 0.2× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 3.1% | 3.2% | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E-Mart | 86.4× | 0.1× | 0.1× | — | 3.8% |
| Samsung C&T | 17.5× | 0.5× | 1.1× | — | 0.9% |
| POSCO International | 10.6× | 1.3× | 0.3× | — | 3.7% |
| ISC | 41.4× | 5.5× | 11.5× | — | 0.6% |
| Youngone | 5.1× | 0.7× | 0.7× | — | 3.1% |
| Dong SUH Companies | 19.0× | 1.6× | 5.1× | — | 4.1% |
| Shinsegae | 13.7× | 0.4× | 0.3× | — | 2.1% |
| Similar companies (median) | 15.6× | 1.0× | 0.9× | — | 2.6% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: E-Mart / 이마트 / 139480 / KRX:139480
Source: KRX statistical information