Intelligent Digital Integrated Security아이디스
143160 · KOSDAQ · ₩143160 · 아이디스
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩38,488
vs the current price (₩14,460)
- Enterprise value
- ₩352B
- Equity value
- ₩412B
- WACC
- 7.3%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 166% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩14,460, the model needs an operating margin of 2.8% every year (it uses 7.7%).
- Today's P/E is 8.1× against a typical 11.2× over the last 10 years.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩23,262
- +60.9%
- Base
- ₩38,488
- +166.2%
- Bull
- ₩64,982
- +349.4%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (7.7%).
Revenue growth
- 6.7%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (6.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 5.8%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (6.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 4.8%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (6.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3.9%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (6.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (6.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 7.7%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 1.6%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 1.9%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 19.7%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.01%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-30.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.51%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩330B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩126B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩48B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- − Minority interests
- ₩113B
- Shares
- 10,716,390
- Share price
- ₩14,460
- Market cap
- ₩155B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩278B | ₩314B | ₩328B | ₩352B | ₩372B | ₩390B | ₩405B | ₩417B |
| Growth | 3.1% | 12.7% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩23B | ₩16B | ₩21B | ₩27B | ₩29B | ₩30B | ₩31B | ₩32B |
| EBIT margin | 8.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.7% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩16B | ₩12B | ₩15B | ₩20B | ₩21B | ₩22B | ₩23B | ₩23B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩5.6B | ₩6B | ₩6.2B | ₩6.5B | ₩6.7B |
| − Capital spending | ₩7.4B | ₩6.2B | ₩3.9B | ₩6.7B | ₩7.1B | ₩7.4B | ₩7.7B | ₩7.9B |
| − Working capital | −₩52B | −₩55B | ₩44B | ₩4.3B | ₩4B | ₩3.5B | ₩3B | ₩2.4B |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | ₩14B | ₩16B | ₩17B | ₩18B | ₩20B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.932 | 0.868 | 0.809 | 0.754 | 0.703 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩13B | ₩14B | ₩14B | ₩14B | ₩14B |
Terminal value ₩403B, worth ₩283B today: 81% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩22,819 a share)Now 0.63× | ₩16,1010.71× | ₩20,6370.90× | ₩31,4351.38× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩1,784 a share)Now 8.10× | ₩15,8808.90× | ₩20,05211.2× | ₩42,89224.0× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩1,688 a share)Now 8.57× | ₩15,0218.90× | ₩18,96711.2× | ₩40,57124.0× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.3% | ₩40,742 | ₩43,267 | ₩46,370 | ₩50,282 | ₩55,367 |
| 6.8% | ₩37,591 | ₩39,599 | ₩42,018 | ₩44,993 | ₩48,742 |
| 7.3% | ₩34,942 | ₩36,565 | ₩38,488 | ₩40,806 | ₩43,656 |
| 7.8% | ₩32,684 | ₩34,014 | ₩35,568 | ₩37,410 | ₩39,630 |
| 8.3% | ₩30,738 | ₩31,840 | ₩33,113 | ₩34,600 | ₩36,363 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩155B
- Enterprise value
- ₩29B
- P/E
- 8.1×
- P/B
- 0.6×
- P/S
- 0.5×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 2.8%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩18,080 | ₩16,710 | ₩21,550 | ₩22,150 | ₩23,500 |
| Market cap | ₩194B | ₩179B | ₩231B | ₩237B | ₩252B |
| P/E | 11.4× | 12.7× | 11.5× | 19.5× | 10.9× |
| P/B | 0.8× | 0.8× | 1.1× | 1.2× | 1.3× |
| P/S | 0.6× | 0.6× | 0.8× | 0.9× | 1.2× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 2.2% | 1.8% | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Intelligent Digital Integrated Security | 8.1× | 0.6× | 0.5× | — | 2.8% |
| Samsung Electronics | 8.8× | 2.3× | 2.7× | — | 0.7% |
| LG Electronics | 23.6× | 0.9× | 0.3× | — | 0.9% |
| Hanwha Vision | 21.8× | 2.7× | 1.4× | — | 0.0% |
| RFHIC | 39.7× | 3.5× | 6.5× | — | 0.8% |
| KMW | — | 4.9× | 7.9× | — | 0.0% |
| Intellian Technologies | 12.9× | 2.0× | 1.6× | — | 0.4% |
| Similar companies (median) | 21.8× | 2.5× | 2.1× | — | 0.6% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Intelligent Digital Integrated Security / 아이디스 / 143160 / KRX:143160
Source: KRX statistical information