Saramin

143240 · KOSDAQ · ₩143240 · 사람인

₩16,120▲ ₩250 (1.58%)End-of-day · Oct 29, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

₩47,766

vs the current price (₩16,120)

Enterprise value
₩280B
Equity value
₩513B
WACC
7.3%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Why the model and the price differ

The model is 196% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:

  • To match today's price of ₩16,120, the model needs an operating margin of −3.6% every year (it uses 19.9%).
  • Margins ranged from 13.8% to 30.3% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
  • 85% of the last 12 months' net profit came from outside operations (stakes in other companies, interest, one-offs). The model adds those stakes at book value but doesn't project that income.
  • Today's P/E is 1.7× against a typical 10.4× over the last 10 years.

Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
₩38,592
+139.4%
Base
₩47,766
+196.3%
Bull
₩62,793
+289.5%

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in

Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (19.9%).

Revenue growth

  • -6.6%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-6.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -4.2%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-6.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -1.8%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-6.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 0.6%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-6.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-6.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • 19.9%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 1.5%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 3.2%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • -10%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.01%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-30.

  • 0.6

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta -0.04, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.51%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩125B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
−₩175B
+ Stakes and investments
₩57B
Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
Shares
10,732,731
Share price
₩16,120
Market cap
₩173B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩132B₩128B₩121B₩117B₩112B₩110B₩111B₩114B
Growth−11.7%−2.4%−5.6%−6.6%−4.2%−1.8%0.6%3.0%
EBIT₩25B₩21B₩17B₩23B₩22B₩22B₩22B₩23B
EBIT margin19.2%16.6%13.8%19.9%19.9%19.9%19.9%19.9%
After-tax EBIT₩18B₩15B₩12B₩17B₩16B₩16B₩16B₩16B
+ Depreciation₩1.9B₩2B₩2B₩1.8B₩1.7B₩1.6B₩1.7B₩1.7B
− Capital spending₩1.6B₩5.6B₩5B₩3.7B₩3.6B₩3.5B₩3.5B₩3.6B
− Working capital−₩27B₩2.8B−₩14B₩826M₩491M₩202M−₩66M−₩332M
Free cash flow₩45B₩9B₩23B₩14B₩14B₩14B₩14B₩15B
Discount factor———0.9320.8680.8090.7540.703
Present value———₩13B₩12B₩11B₩11B₩10B

Terminal value ₩317B, worth ₩223B today: 80% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩25,232 a share)Now 0.64×₩17,4500.69×₩27,1091.07×₩72,7312.88×
Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩9,279 a share)Now 1.74×₩17,6501.90×₩96,29910.4×₩149,29316.1×
P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩2,515 a share)Now 6.41×₩4,7841.90×₩26,10410.4×₩40,47016.1×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
6.3%₩48,546₩50,970₩53,957₩57,730₩62,645
6.8%₩46,177₩48,152₩50,539₩53,481₩57,196
7.3%₩44,185₩45,821₩47,766₩50,117₩53,014
7.8%₩42,486₩43,861₩45,472₩47,388₩49,703
8.3%₩41,022₩42,190₩43,543₩45,130₩47,017

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩173B
Enterprise value
−₩20B
P/E
1.7×
P/B
0.6×
P/S
1.4×
EV/EBITDA
—
Dividend yield
4.3%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩13,500₩17,460₩17,490₩26,400₩41,500
Market cap₩145B₩187B₩188B₩283B₩445B
P/E1.6×15.2×10.1×9.7×14.0×
P/B0.5×1.0×1.1×1.6×2.9×
P/S1.2×1.5×1.4×1.9×3.5×
EV/EBITDA—5.6×5.1×6.3×11.0×
Dividend yield5.2%2.9%———

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
Saramin1.7×0.6×1.4×—4.3%
NAVER13.1×0.9×2.1×—1.5%
Kakao37.5×1.1×1.6×—0.3%
Daou Technology1.9×0.4×0.0×—5.4%
NICE Information Service11.6×2.1×1.6×6.8×3.0%
Kinx35.9×4.0×5.2×15.7×0.3%
Cafe2411.3×1.5×1.3×—0.0%
Similar companies (median)12.4×1.3×1.6×6.8×0.9%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: Saramin / 사람인 / 143240 / KRX:143240

Source: KRX statistical information