Nobland International

145170 · KOSDAQ · ₩145170 · 노브랜드

₩2,525▼ ₩95 (3.63%)End-of-day · Oct 30, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

₩11,233

vs the current price (₩2,525)

Enterprise value
₩211B
Equity value
₩190B
WACC
6.2%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Why the model and the price differ

The model is 345% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:

  • To match today's price of ₩2,525, the model needs an operating margin of 1.8% every year (it uses 2.9%).
  • In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.

Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
—
Base
₩11,233
+344.9%
Bull
₩41,489
+1,543.1%

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in

Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (2.9%).

Revenue growth

  • 10.2%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 1 years' revenue growth (10.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 8.4%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 1 years' revenue growth (10.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 6.6%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 1 years' revenue growth (10.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 4.8%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 1 years' revenue growth (10.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 1 years' revenue growth (10.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • 2.9%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 2 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 1.2%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).

  • 1.5%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 2 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 31.3%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 2 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.01%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-30.

  • 0.6

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.22, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.51%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩646B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
₩21B
Shares
16,908,405
Share price
₩2,525
Market cap
₩43B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩546B₩602B₩712B₩771B₩822B₩862B₩887B
Growth—10.2%10.2%8.4%6.6%4.8%3.0%
EBIT₩18B₩13B₩21B₩22B₩24B₩25B₩26B
EBIT margin3.2%2.2%2.9%2.9%2.9%2.9%2.9%
After-tax EBIT₩13B₩9.7B₩15B₩16B₩17B₩18B₩19B
+ Depreciation——₩8.5B₩9.3B₩9.9B₩10B₩11B
− Capital spending₩3.6B₩14B₩11B₩12B₩12B₩13B₩13B
− Working capital—−₩8.9B₩21B₩19B₩16B₩12B₩8.1B
Free cash flow——−₩7.8B−₩4.8B−₩1.1B₩3.2B₩7.9B
Discount factor——0.9410.8860.8340.7850.739
Present value——−₩7.3B−₩4.3B−₩929M₩2.5B₩5.8B

Terminal value ₩291B, worth ₩215B today: 102% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩9,578 a share)Now 0.26×₩2,7950.29×₩5,3190.56×₩7,6100.79×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2024, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
5.2%₩14,773₩15,307₩15,988₩16,895₩18,181
5.7%₩12,710₩12,972₩13,287₩13,682₩14,198
6.2%₩11,049₩11,138₩11,233₩11,338₩11,456
6.7%₩9,685₩9,661₩9,620₩9,555₩9,456
7.2%₩8,546₩8,449₩8,321₩8,155₩7,935

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩43B
Enterprise value
₩55B
P/E
6.0×
P/B
0.3×
P/S
0.1×
EV/EBITDA
—
Dividend yield
0.0%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024
Price₩3,980₩7,480
Market cap₩67B₩126B
P/E13.2×—
P/B0.4×0.8×
P/S0.1×0.2×
EV/EBITDA——
Dividend yield0.0%—

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
Nobland International6.0×0.3×0.1×—0.0%
F&F4.6×1.2×1.2×—4.3%
LF5.7×0.4×0.3×4.6×3.2%
Chokwang Leather44.9×0.7×5.0×59.8×0.0%
Handsome7.1×0.3×0.3×—0.0%
JS4.0×0.6×0.2×—5.3%
Hansae9.3×0.4×0.2×—0.0%
Similar companies (median)6.4×0.5×0.3×32.2×1.6%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: Nobland International / 노브랜드 / 145170 / KRX:145170

Source: KRX statistical information