Cheryong Industrial

147830 · KOSDAQ · ₩147830 · 제룡산업

₩6,280▼ ₩120 (1.88%)End-of-day · Oct 29, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

₩5,819

vs the current price (₩6,280)

Enterprise value
₩92B
Equity value
₩116B
WACC
7.8%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
₩4,414
−29.7%
Base
₩5,819
−7.3%
Bull
₩8,106
+29.1%

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

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Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (19.1%).

Revenue growth

  • -10%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-13.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -6.7%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-13.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -3.5%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-13.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -0.2%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-13.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-13.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • 19.1%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 0.9%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).

  • 1.2%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 40%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.01%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-30.

  • 0.69

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.53, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.51%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩51B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
−₩20B
+ Stakes and investments
₩4B
Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
Shares
20,000,000
Share price
₩6,280
Market cap
₩126B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩41B₩29B₩38B₩46B₩43B₩41B₩41B₩42B
Growth−31.0%−28.3%29.3%−10.0%−6.7%−3.5%−0.2%3.0%
EBIT₩5.6B₩4.1B₩11B₩8.7B₩8.1B₩7.9B₩7.8B₩8.1B
EBIT margin13.6%13.9%27.9%19.1%19.1%19.1%19.1%19.1%
After-tax EBIT₩4B₩3B₩7.7B₩6.3B₩5.9B₩5.7B₩5.7B₩5.9B
+ Depreciation———₩411M₩383M₩370M₩369M₩380M
− Capital spending₩281M₩504M₩431M₩548M₩511M₩493M₩492M₩507M
− Working capital₩9.4B₩4.2B₩2.9B−₩2B−₩1.2B−₩597M−₩33M₩492M
Free cash flow———₩8.2B₩7B₩6.2B₩5.6B₩5.2B
Discount factor———0.9280.8600.7980.7400.687
Present value———₩7.6B₩6B₩4.9B₩4.1B₩3.6B

Terminal value ₩96B, worth ₩66B today: 72% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩4,760 a share)Now 1.32×₩4,3430.91×₩6,2671.32×₩8,3981.76×
Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩889 a share)Now 7.06×₩6,6687.50×₩12,06513.6×₩18,72721.1×
P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩834 a share)Now 7.53×₩6,2547.50×₩11,31713.6×₩17,56621.1×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
6.8%₩6,082₩6,376₩6,731₩7,167₩7,718
7.3%₩5,709₩5,949₩6,232₩6,574₩6,995
7.8%₩5,392₩5,589₩5,819₩6,093₩6,422
8.3%₩5,118₩5,282₩5,472₩5,694₩5,957
8.8%₩4,878₩5,017₩5,175₩5,357₩5,571

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩126B
Enterprise value
₩106B
P/E
7.1×
P/B
1.3×
P/S
2.5×
EV/EBITDA
—
Dividend yield
4.8%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩6,160₩5,500₩3,610₩3,200₩3,685
Market cap₩123B₩110B₩72B₩64B₩74B
P/E10.7×17.6×9.9×7.0×9.8×
P/B1.4×1.4×0.9×0.9×1.1×
P/S3.2×3.8×1.8×1.1×2.0×
EV/EBITDA—————
Dividend yield4.9%3.6%———

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
Cheryong Industrial7.1×1.3×2.5×—4.8%
CS Wind372.3×1.3×0.6×—2.6%
Hankuk Carbon7.8×1.2×0.9×—2.1%
Taewoong63.8×0.8×1.3×20.4×0.0%
YG-15.3×0.8×0.5×—1.8%
Bosung Power Technology18.9×2.1×1.8×8.6×0.0%
Hansun Engineering36.1×2.6×3.0×14.4×0.0%
Similar companies (median)27.5×1.2×1.1×14.4×0.9%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: Cheryong Industrial / 제룡산업 / 147830 / KRX:147830

Source: KRX statistical information