Se Gyung Hi Tech

148150 · KOSDAQ · ₩148150 · 세경하이테크

₩3,275▲ ₩25 (0.77%)End-of-day · Oct 27, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

₩6,058

vs the current price (₩3,275)

Enterprise value
₩137B
Equity value
₩215B
WACC
7.4%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Why the model and the price differ

The model is 85% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:

  • To match today's price of ₩3,275, the model needs an operating margin of 2.8% every year (it uses 5.2%).
  • Or revenue growth −17.3 points a year higher than assumed in each of the 5 years.
  • Margins ranged from 0.6% to 11.9% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
  • 95% of the last 12 months' net profit came from outside operations (stakes in other companies, interest, one-offs). The model adds those stakes at book value but doesn't project that income.
  • In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.
  • Today's P/E is 1.9× against a typical 9.8× over the last 10 years.

Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
₩3,023
−7.7%
Base
₩6,058
+85.0%
Bull
₩11,381
+247.5%

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in

Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (5.2%).

Revenue growth

  • 2.2%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (2.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 2.4%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (2.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 2.6%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (2.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 2.8%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (2.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (2.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • 5.2%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 7.6%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 12.1%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • -10%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.11%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.

  • 0.6

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.22, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.61%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩296B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
−₩63B
+ Stakes and investments
₩15B
Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
Shares
35,542,818
Share price
₩3,275
Market cap
₩116B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩304B₩320B₩278B₩303B₩310B₩318B₩327B₩337B
Growth16.8%5.2%−13.2%2.2%2.4%2.6%2.8%3.0%
EBIT₩36B₩31B₩1.8B₩16B₩16B₩17B₩17B₩18B
EBIT margin11.9%9.8%0.6%5.2%5.2%5.2%5.2%5.2%
After-tax EBIT₩26B₩23B₩1.3B₩11B₩12B₩12B₩12B₩13B
+ Depreciation₩25B₩23B₩21B₩23B₩24B₩24B₩25B₩26B
− Capital spending₩15B₩18B₩72B₩37B₩38B₩39B₩40B₩41B
− Working capital−₩56B−₩37B₩43B−₩652M−₩727M−₩807M−₩891M−₩982M
Free cash flow₩91B₩65B−₩93B−₩1.6B−₩1.5B−₩1.5B−₩1.5B−₩1.5B
Discount factor———0.9310.8670.8070.7510.700
Present value———−₩1.5B−₩1.3B−₩1.2B−₩1.1B−₩1B

Terminal value ₩204B, worth ₩143B today: 105% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩7,396 a share)Now 0.44×₩4,7160.64×₩8,2711.12×₩13,9911.89×
Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩1,687 a share)Now 1.94×₩5,1153.03×₩16,5459.81×₩53,38331.6×
P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩2,363 a share)Now 1.39×₩7,1633.03×₩23,1709.81×₩74,76231.6×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
6.4%₩6,075₩6,580₩7,201₩7,981₩8,991
6.9%₩5,650₩6,067₩6,569₩7,187₩7,963
7.4%₩5,293₩5,643₩6,058₩6,558₩7,173
7.9%₩4,991₩5,288₩5,636₩6,049₩6,546
8.4%₩4,732₩4,987₩5,282₩5,628₩6,039

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩116B
Enterprise value
₩49B
P/E
1.9×
P/B
0.4×
P/S
0.4×
EV/EBITDA
1.8×
Dividend yield
3.1%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩5,140₩8,250₩6,480₩3,954₩9,461
Market cap₩183B₩293B₩230B₩141B₩336B
P/E3.7×14.3×6.6×8.5×14.9×
P/B0.8×1.4×1.2×0.8×2.1×
P/S0.7×0.9×0.8×0.5×1.3×
EV/EBITDA4.6×2.5×2.0×——
Dividend yield1.9%1.2%———

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
Se Gyung Hi Tech1.9×0.4×0.4×1.8×3.1%
Samsung Electro-Mechanics89.0×8.8×7.2×—0.2%
Doosan36.8×5.2×0.7×—0.4%
Hanwha Systems67.9×2.7×2.9×—0.8%
LG Innotek13.4×1.4×0.4×—0.5%
Isupetasys32.5×7.6×5.0×—0.0%
Daeduck Electronics41.5×6.5×4.7×—0.4%
Similar companies (median)39.2×5.8×3.8×—0.4%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: Se Gyung Hi Tech / 세경하이테크 / 148150 / KRX:148150

Source: KRX statistical information