Se Gyung Hi Tech세경하이테크
148150 · KOSDAQ · ₩148150 · 세경하이테크
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩6,058
vs the current price (₩3,275)
- Enterprise value
- ₩137B
- Equity value
- ₩215B
- WACC
- 7.4%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 85% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩3,275, the model needs an operating margin of 2.8% every year (it uses 5.2%).
- Or revenue growth −17.3 points a year higher than assumed in each of the 5 years.
- Margins ranged from 0.6% to 11.9% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
- 95% of the last 12 months' net profit came from outside operations (stakes in other companies, interest, one-offs). The model adds those stakes at book value but doesn't project that income.
- In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.
- Today's P/E is 1.9× against a typical 9.8× over the last 10 years.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩3,023
- −7.7%
- Base
- ₩6,058
- +85.0%
- Bull
- ₩11,381
- +247.5%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (5.2%).
Revenue growth
- 2.2%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (2.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 2.4%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (2.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 2.6%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (2.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 2.8%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (2.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (2.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 5.2%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 7.6%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 12.1%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- -10%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.11%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.22, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.61%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩296B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩63B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩15B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- Shares
- 35,542,818
- Share price
- ₩3,275
- Market cap
- ₩116B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩304B | ₩320B | ₩278B | ₩303B | ₩310B | ₩318B | ₩327B | ₩337B |
| Growth | 16.8% | 5.2% | −13.2% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩36B | ₩31B | ₩1.8B | ₩16B | ₩16B | ₩17B | ₩17B | ₩18B |
| EBIT margin | 11.9% | 9.8% | 0.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩26B | ₩23B | ₩1.3B | ₩11B | ₩12B | ₩12B | ₩12B | ₩13B |
| + Depreciation | ₩25B | ₩23B | ₩21B | ₩23B | ₩24B | ₩24B | ₩25B | ₩26B |
| − Capital spending | ₩15B | ₩18B | ₩72B | ₩37B | ₩38B | ₩39B | ₩40B | ₩41B |
| − Working capital | −₩56B | −₩37B | ₩43B | −₩652M | −₩727M | −₩807M | −₩891M | −₩982M |
| Free cash flow | ₩91B | ₩65B | −₩93B | −₩1.6B | −₩1.5B | −₩1.5B | −₩1.5B | −₩1.5B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.931 | 0.867 | 0.807 | 0.751 | 0.700 |
| Present value | — | — | — | −₩1.5B | −₩1.3B | −₩1.2B | −₩1.1B | −₩1B |
Terminal value ₩204B, worth ₩143B today: 105% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩7,396 a share)Now 0.44× | ₩4,7160.64× | ₩8,2711.12× | ₩13,9911.89× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩1,687 a share)Now 1.94× | ₩5,1153.03× | ₩16,5459.81× | ₩53,38331.6× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩2,363 a share)Now 1.39× | ₩7,1633.03× | ₩23,1709.81× | ₩74,76231.6× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.4% | ₩6,075 | ₩6,580 | ₩7,201 | ₩7,981 | ₩8,991 |
| 6.9% | ₩5,650 | ₩6,067 | ₩6,569 | ₩7,187 | ₩7,963 |
| 7.4% | ₩5,293 | ₩5,643 | ₩6,058 | ₩6,558 | ₩7,173 |
| 7.9% | ₩4,991 | ₩5,288 | ₩5,636 | ₩6,049 | ₩6,546 |
| 8.4% | ₩4,732 | ₩4,987 | ₩5,282 | ₩5,628 | ₩6,039 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩116B
- Enterprise value
- ₩49B
- P/E
- 1.9×
- P/B
- 0.4×
- P/S
- 0.4×
- EV/EBITDA
- 1.8×
- Dividend yield
- 3.1%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩5,140 | ₩8,250 | ₩6,480 | ₩3,954 | ₩9,461 |
| Market cap | ₩183B | ₩293B | ₩230B | ₩141B | ₩336B |
| P/E | 3.7× | 14.3× | 6.6× | 8.5× | 14.9× |
| P/B | 0.8× | 1.4× | 1.2× | 0.8× | 2.1× |
| P/S | 0.7× | 0.9× | 0.8× | 0.5× | 1.3× |
| EV/EBITDA | 4.6× | 2.5× | 2.0× | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 1.9% | 1.2% | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Se Gyung Hi Tech | 1.9× | 0.4× | 0.4× | 1.8× | 3.1% |
| Samsung Electro-Mechanics | 89.0× | 8.8× | 7.2× | — | 0.2% |
| Doosan | 36.8× | 5.2× | 0.7× | — | 0.4% |
| Hanwha Systems | 67.9× | 2.7× | 2.9× | — | 0.8% |
| LG Innotek | 13.4× | 1.4× | 0.4× | — | 0.5% |
| Isupetasys | 32.5× | 7.6× | 5.0× | — | 0.0% |
| Daeduck Electronics | 41.5× | 6.5× | 4.7× | — | 0.4% |
| Similar companies (median) | 39.2× | 5.8× | 3.8× | — | 0.4% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Se Gyung Hi Tech / 세경하이테크 / 148150 / KRX:148150
Source: KRX statistical information