Hironic

149980 · KOSDAQ · ₩149980 · 하이로닉

₩3,860▼ ₩90 (2.28%)End-of-day · Oct 29, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

₩4,982

vs the current price (₩3,860)

Enterprise value
₩65B
Equity value
₩86B
WACC
7.3%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
₩3,588
−7.1%
Base
₩4,982
+29.1%
Bull
₩7,365
+90.8%

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

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Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (13.5%).

Revenue growth

  • 5.2%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (5.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 4.6%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (5.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 4.1%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (5.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3.5%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (5.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (5.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • 13.5%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 4.2%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).

  • 5.3%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 40%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.01%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-30.

  • 0.6

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.21, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.51%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩37B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
−₩21B
− Minority interests
₩46M
Shares
17,199,046
Share price
₩3,860
Market cap
₩66B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩34B₩32B₩32B₩39B₩41B₩42B₩44B₩45B
Growth22.4%−6.2%1.4%5.2%4.6%4.1%3.5%3.0%
EBIT₩5.3B−₩4.8B₩4.1B₩5.3B₩5.5B₩5.7B₩5.9B₩6.1B
EBIT margin15.6%−15.0%12.8%13.5%13.5%13.5%13.5%13.5%
After-tax EBIT₩3.8B−₩3.4B₩3B₩3.8B₩4B₩4.2B₩4.3B₩4.4B
+ Depreciation———₩1.6B₩1.7B₩1.8B₩1.8B₩1.9B
− Capital spending₩878M₩1.9B₩2.4B₩2.1B₩2.2B₩2.3B₩2.3B₩2.4B
− Working capital−₩12B−₩5.1B₩5.4B₩772M₩718M₩669M₩595M₩528M
Free cash flow———₩2.6B₩2.8B₩3B₩3.2B₩3.4B
Discount factor———0.9320.8680.8090.7540.703
Present value———₩2.4B₩2.5B₩2.4B₩2.4B₩2.4B

Terminal value ₩75B, worth ₩52B today: 81% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩4,595 a share)Now 0.84×₩9,8322.14×₩12,6992.76×₩18,5154.03×
Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩263 a share)Now 14.7×₩4,57417.4×₩6,69725.4×₩10,42039.6×
P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩182 a share)Now 21.2×₩3,16317.4×₩4,63125.4×₩7,20639.6×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
6.3%₩5,264₩5,545₩5,889₩6,323₩6,888
6.8%₩4,899₩5,121₩5,388₩5,717₩6,130
7.3%₩4,592₩4,770₩4,982₩5,236₩5,549
7.8%₩4,330₩4,476₩4,646₩4,847₩5,089
8.3%₩4,105₩4,225₩4,363₩4,525₩4,716

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩66B
Enterprise value
₩45B
P/E
14.7×
P/B
0.8×
P/S
1.8×
EV/EBITDA
—
Dividend yield
0.0%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩8,680₩10,744₩13,513₩11,352₩10,859
Market cap₩149B₩185B₩232B₩195B₩187B
P/E47.2×—28.3×66.5×27.6×
P/B2.4×2.6×3.2×3.3×3.3×
P/S4.7×5.8×6.9×7.1×8.6×
EV/EBITDA—————
Dividend yield0.0%————

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
Hironic14.7×0.8×1.8×—0.0%
TSE27.5×6.1×5.1×—0.2%
Kctech22.1×3.4×4.1×17.1×0.5%
Classys12.7×3.2×4.7×9.9×3.7%
Park Systems69.0×4.7×8.2×—0.2%
DI42.2×5.8×2.6×—0.6%
Curiox Biosystems—21.3×182.0×—0.0%
Similar companies (median)27.5×5.3×4.9×13.5×0.3%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: Hironic / 하이로닉 / 149980 / KRX:149980

Source: KRX statistical information