Nable

153460 · KOSDAQ · ₩153460 · 네이블

₩4,900▼ ₩40 (0.81%)End-of-day · Oct 27, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

₩3,322

vs the current price (₩4,900)

Enterprise value
₩20B
Equity value
₩22B
WACC
7.3%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
₩2,055
−58.1%
Base
₩3,322
−32.2%
Bull
₩5,553
+13.3%

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

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Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (8.9%).

Revenue growth

  • 1.6%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (1.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 1.9%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (1.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 2.3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (1.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 2.6%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (1.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (1.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • 8.9%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 1.7%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).

  • 2.1%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 40%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.03%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-27.

  • 0.6

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.37, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.53%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩19B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
−₩1.9B
Shares
6,530,014
Share price
₩4,900
Market cap
₩32B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩13B₩17B₩19B₩19B₩20B₩20B₩21B₩21B
Growth−26.5%27.9%11.6%1.6%1.9%2.3%2.6%3.0%
EBIT−₩2.1B₩385M₩2.6B₩1.7B₩1.7B₩1.8B₩1.8B₩1.9B
EBIT margin−15.6%2.2%13.6%8.9%8.9%8.9%8.9%8.9%
After-tax EBIT−₩1.5B₩279M₩1.9B₩1.2B₩1.3B₩1.3B₩1.3B₩1.4B
+ Depreciation———₩326M₩333M₩340M₩349M₩360M
− Capital spending₩215M₩347M₩513M₩403M₩411M₩420M₩431M₩444M
− Working capital₩1B−₩1.2B₩5.4B₩121M₩146M₩180M₩208M₩246M
Free cash flow———₩1B₩1B₩1B₩1B₩1B
Discount factor———0.9320.8680.8090.7530.702
Present value———₩970M₩901M₩834M₩780M₩726M

Terminal value ₩22B, worth ₩16B today: 79% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩5,338 a share)Now 0.92×₩7,0841.33×₩8,3581.57×₩10,6522.00×
Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩234 a share)Now 21.0×₩2,70111.6×₩3,89516.7×₩7,98634.2×
P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩351 a share)Now 13.9×₩4,06411.6×₩5,86216.7×₩12,01834.2×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
6.3%₩3,609₩3,799₩4,030₩4,321₩4,698
6.8%₩3,317₩3,463₩3,639₩3,855₩4,125
7.3%₩3,070₩3,186₩3,322₩3,485₩3,685
7.8%₩2,860₩2,952₩3,059₩3,184₩3,335
8.3%₩2,679₩2,753₩2,837₩2,936₩3,051

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩32B
Enterprise value
₩30B
P/E
21.0×
P/B
0.9×
P/S
1.7×
EV/EBITDA
—
Dividend yield
0.0%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩7,140₩6,750₩7,550₩7,410₩7,640
Market cap₩47B₩44B₩49B₩48B₩50B
P/E18.5×34.3×—9.2×18.2×
P/B1.3×1.4×1.6×1.5×1.8×
P/S2.4×2.6×3.7×2.6×3.1×
EV/EBITDA—————
Dividend yield0.0%————

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
Nable21.0×0.9×1.7×—0.0%
Hyundai Autoever46.8×4.7×2.0×—0.6%
Krafton10.0×1.2×1.9×—1.2%
NC6.9×1.2×2.0×8.3×0.6%
Netmarble7.1×0.5×1.0×—2.6%
PearlAbyss7.9×2.0×3.0×5.1×0.0%
Shift UP9.0×1.8×7.1×—0.0%
Similar companies (median)8.4×1.5×2.0×6.7×0.6%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: Nable / 네이블 / 153460 / KRX:153460

Source: KRX statistical information