Hana Materials

166090 · KOSDAQ · ₩166090 · 하나머티리얼즈

₩51,700▼ ₩900 (1.71%)End-of-day · Oct 29, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
Trade
Alert me

Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

₩30,467

vs the current price (₩51,700)

Enterprise value
₩611B
Equity value
₩603B
WACC
8.6%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Why the model and the price differ

The model is 41% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:

  • To match today's price of ₩51,700, the model needs an operating margin of 35.1% every year (it uses 22.6%).
  • Or revenue growth +13.4 points a year higher than assumed in each of the 5 years.
  • Analysts' forecasts for 2026: revenue ₩377B, operating profit ₩102B (27.1% margin) (1 broker). The model starts from the last 12 months reported.
  • Analysts' forecasts for 2027: revenue ₩474B, operating profit ₩147B (31.0% margin) (1 broker). The model starts from the last 12 months reported.
  • Margins ranged from 17.3% to 30.5% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
  • The group includes a financial business (an insurer, bank or broker), whose investments and minority shareholders are left out here. A sum-of-the-parts view usually fits groups like this better.
  • Today's P/E is 15.9× against a typical 17.8× over the last 10 years.

Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
₩20,774
−59.8%
Base
₩30,467
−41.1%
Bull
₩45,587
−11.8%

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in

Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (22.6%).

Revenue growth

  • -3.8%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-3.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -2.1%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-3.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -0.4%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-3.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 1.3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-3.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-3.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • 22.6%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 20.5%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).

  • 25.6%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 25.7%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.08%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-29.

  • 0.82

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.73, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.58%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩334B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
₩7.9B
Shares
19,777,674
Share price
₩51,700
Market cap
₩1T

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩234B₩252B₩273B₩322B₩315B₩314B₩318B₩327B
Growth−24.0%7.7%8.7%−3.8%−2.1%−0.4%1.3%3.0%
EBIT₩41B₩43B₩50B₩73B₩71B₩71B₩72B₩74B
EBIT margin17.7%17.3%18.3%22.6%22.6%22.6%22.6%22.6%
After-tax EBIT₩30B₩31B₩36B₩53B₩52B₩51B₩52B₩54B
+ Depreciation———₩66B₩65B₩64B₩65B₩67B
− Capital spending₩122B₩43B₩20B₩82B₩81B₩80B₩81B₩84B
− Working capital₩167M−₩14B−₩9.5B−₩3.3B−₩1.7B−₩324M₩1B₩2.4B
Free cash flow———₩40B₩37B₩36B₩35B₩34B
Discount factor———0.9210.8490.7820.7200.663
Present value———₩36B₩32B₩28B₩25B₩23B

Terminal value ₩703B, worth ₩467B today: 76% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩31,003 a share)Now 1.67×₩45,1331.46×₩78,7282.54×₩136,3064.40×
Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩3,246 a share)Now 15.9×₩30,8069.49×₩57,86617.8×₩105,32532.4×
P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩3,995 a share)Now 12.9×₩37,9179.49×₩71,22217.8×₩129,63632.4×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
7.6%₩31,986₩33,930₩36,221₩38,962₩42,302
8.1%₩29,593₩31,216₩33,105₩35,330₩37,993
8.6%₩27,520₩28,890₩30,467₩32,301₩34,463
9.1%₩25,707₩26,874₩28,205₩29,737₩31,519
9.6%₩24,108₩25,111₩26,245₩27,538₩29,025

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩1T
Enterprise value
₩1T
P/E
15.9×
P/B
1.7×
P/S
3.1×
EV/EBITDA
—
Dividend yield
0.6%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩43,100₩22,950₩50,200₩32,700₩62,800
Market cap₩852B₩454B₩993B₩647B₩1.2T
P/E22.2×14.3×29.0×8.1×18.6×
P/B1.8×1.3×2.5×2.2×4.8×
P/S3.1×1.8×4.3×2.1×4.6×
EV/EBITDA—————
Dividend yield0.7%1.1%———

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
Hana Materials15.9×1.7×3.1×—0.6%
SK hynix6.9×4.2×5.9×—0.2%
DB HiTek12.5×1.8×2.8×—0.8%
Fadu—39.2×13.7×—0.0%
Hana Micron14.4×4.5×1.2×—0.2%
Jeju Semiconductor10.5×5.4×3.6×—0.0%
SFA Semicon—3.0×3.2×—0.0%
Similar companies (median)11.5×4.4×3.4×—0.1%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: Hana Materials / 하나머티리얼즈 / 166090 / KRX:166090

Source: KRX statistical information