Naturalendo Tech

168330 · KOSDAQ · ₩168330 · 내츄럴엔도텍

₩2,065▼ ₩30 (1.43%)End-of-day · Oct 29, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
Trade
Alert me

Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

With these assumptions the model gives no positive value.

Enterprise value
−₩100B
Equity value
−₩104B
WACC
7.2%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Why the model and the price differ

The model gives no positive value at these assumptions. What we can see:

  • To match today's price of ₩2,065, the model needs an operating margin of 16.7% every year (it uses −20.0%).
  • Margins ranged from −60.5% to −14.8% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
  • In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.

Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
—
Base
—
Bull
—

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in

Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (−20.0%).

Revenue growth

  • 16.8%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (16.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 13.3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (16.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 9.9%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (16.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 6.4%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (16.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (16.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • -20%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 4.1%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).

  • 5.1%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 18.4%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.08%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-29.

  • 0.6

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.39, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.58%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩23B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
₩4.2B
Shares
31,754,900
Share price
₩2,065
Market cap
₩66B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩19B₩22B₩22B₩27B₩30B₩33B₩35B₩36B
Growth34.7%18.5%−0.2%16.8%13.3%9.9%6.4%3.0%
EBIT−₩4.1B−₩3.8B−₩3.3B−₩5.3B−₩6B−₩6.6B−₩7.1B−₩7.3B
EBIT margin−21.7%−16.9%−14.8%−20.0%−20.0%−20.0%−20.0%−20.0%
After-tax EBIT−₩3B−₩2.7B−₩2.4B−₩3.9B−₩4.4B−₩4.8B−₩5.1B−₩5.3B
+ Depreciation———₩1.1B₩1.2B₩1.4B₩1.4B₩1.5B
− Capital spending₩2.4B₩317M₩190M₩1.4B₩1.5B₩1.7B₩1.8B₩1.9B
− Working capital−₩5.5B−₩198M₩102M₩705M₩651M₩549M₩390M₩195M
Free cash flow———−₩4.8B−₩5.3B−₩5.7B−₩5.9B−₩5.8B
Discount factor———0.9330.8710.8120.7580.707
Present value———−₩4.5B−₩4.6B−₩4.6B−₩4.4B−₩4.1B

Terminal value −₩109B, worth −₩77B today: 78% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩749 a share)Now 2.76×₩1,3781.84×₩1,9542.61×₩2,9773.98×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
6.2%—————
6.7%—————
7.2%—————
7.7%—————
8.2%—————

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩66B
Enterprise value
₩69B
P/E
—
P/B
2.8×
P/S
2.9×
EV/EBITDA
—
Dividend yield
0.0%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩3,100₩1,351₩2,005₩3,250₩4,530
Market cap₩98B₩43B₩64B₩103B₩144B
P/E—————
P/B4.1×1.6×2.1×2.8×3.2×
P/S4.4×1.9×3.4×7.4×9.8×
EV/EBITDA—————
Dividend yield0.0%————

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
Naturalendo Tech—2.8×2.9×—0.0%
Samsung Biologics31.9×7.6×13.9×—0.0%
Celltrion27.9×2.5×9.0×—0.0%
Alteogen79.4×28.6×60.3×—0.1%
SK biopharmaceuticals15.2×6.0×7.1×—0.0%
Yuhan23.2×2.3×2.4×30.2×0.8%
HLB—15.4×54.3×—0.0%
Similar companies (median)27.9×6.8×11.4×30.2×0.0%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: Naturalendo Tech / 내츄럴엔도텍 / 168330 / KRX:168330

Source: KRX statistical information