Agos

175140 · KOSDAQ · ₩175140 · 아고스

₩2,255▲ ₩35 (1.58%)End-of-day · Oct 27, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

With these assumptions the model gives no positive value.

Enterprise value
−₩193B
Equity value
−₩185B
WACC
7.4%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Why the model and the price differ

The model gives no positive value at these assumptions. What we can see:

  • To match today's price of ₩2,255, the model needs an operating margin of 7.0% every year (it uses −18.2%).
  • Margins ranged from −21.0% to −5.7% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
  • In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.

Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
—
Base
—
Bull
—

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in

Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (−18.2%).

Revenue growth

  • 16%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (16% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 12.8%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (16% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 9.5%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (16% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 6.3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (16% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (16% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • -18.2%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 2.5%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).

  • 3.1%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 33.7%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.11%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.

  • 0.6

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta -0.11, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.61%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩50B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
−₩8.8B
− Minority interests
₩227M
Shares
24,944,253
Share price
₩2,255
Market cap
₩56B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩39B₩43B₩55B₩58B₩66B₩72B₩76B₩79B
Growth8.3%10.9%30.0%16.0%12.8%9.5%6.3%3.0%
EBIT−₩8B−₩6.6B−₩12B−₩11B−₩12B−₩13B−₩14B−₩14B
EBIT margin−20.8%−15.4%−21.0%−18.2%−18.2%−18.2%−18.2%−18.2%
After-tax EBIT−₩5.8B−₩4.8B−₩8.4B−₩7.7B−₩8.7B−₩9.5B−₩10B−₩10B
+ Depreciation———₩1.5B₩1.6B₩1.8B₩1.9B₩2B
− Capital spending—₩916M₩2.3B₩1.8B₩2B₩2.2B₩2.4B₩2.4B
− Working capital₩5.6B₩3.4B−₩8.1B₩2.7B₩2.5B₩2.1B₩1.5B₩772M
Free cash flow———−₩11B−₩12B−₩12B−₩12B−₩12B
Discount factor———0.9310.8670.8070.7510.700
Present value———−₩10B−₩10B−₩9.7B−₩9.1B−₩8.1B

Terminal value −₩209B, worth −₩146B today: 76% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩1,589 a share)Now 1.42×₩2,3921.51×₩4,5772.88×₩24,48415.4×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
6.4%—————
6.9%—————
7.4%—————
7.9%—————
8.4%—————

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩56B
Enterprise value
₩46B
P/E
—
P/B
1.4×
P/S
1.1×
EV/EBITDA
—
Dividend yield
0.0%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩4,115₩4,710₩3,115₩5,630₩8,550
Market cap₩103B₩117B₩78B₩140B₩213B
P/E—————
P/B2.5×2.7×1.8×3.4×14.5×
P/S1.8×2.8×2.0×4.0×4.6×
EV/EBITDA—————
Dividend yield0.0%————

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
Agos—1.4×1.1×—0.0%
Samsung Electronics8.7×2.3×2.7×—0.8%
LG Electronics24.7×1.0×0.3×—0.9%
Hanwha Vision16.4×2.1×1.0×—0.0%
RFHIC37.6×3.4×6.1×—0.9%
KMW—4.9×8.1×—0.0%
Intellian Technologies12.9×2.0×1.6×—0.4%
Similar companies (median)16.4×2.2×2.1×—0.6%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: Agos / 아고스 / 175140 / KRX:175140

Source: KRX statistical information