Agos아고스
175140 · KOSDAQ · ₩175140 · 아고스
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
With these assumptions the model gives no positive value.
- Enterprise value
- −₩193B
- Equity value
- −₩185B
- WACC
- 7.4%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model gives no positive value at these assumptions. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩2,255, the model needs an operating margin of 7.0% every year (it uses −18.2%).
- Margins ranged from −21.0% to −5.7% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
- In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- —
- Base
- —
- Bull
- —
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in
Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (−18.2%).
Revenue growth
- 16%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (16% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 12.8%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (16% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 9.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (16% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 6.3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (16% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (16% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- -18.2%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 2.5%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 3.1%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 33.7%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.11%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta -0.11, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.61%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩50B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩8.8B
- − Minority interests
- ₩227M
- Shares
- 24,944,253
- Share price
- ₩2,255
- Market cap
- ₩56B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩39B | ₩43B | ₩55B | ₩58B | ₩66B | ₩72B | ₩76B | ₩79B |
| Growth | 8.3% | 10.9% | 30.0% | 16.0% | 12.8% | 9.5% | 6.3% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | −₩8B | −₩6.6B | −₩12B | −₩11B | −₩12B | −₩13B | −₩14B | −₩14B |
| EBIT margin | −20.8% | −15.4% | −21.0% | −18.2% | −18.2% | −18.2% | −18.2% | −18.2% |
| After-tax EBIT | −₩5.8B | −₩4.8B | −₩8.4B | −₩7.7B | −₩8.7B | −₩9.5B | −₩10B | −₩10B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩1.5B | ₩1.6B | ₩1.8B | ₩1.9B | ₩2B |
| − Capital spending | — | ₩916M | ₩2.3B | ₩1.8B | ₩2B | ₩2.2B | ₩2.4B | ₩2.4B |
| − Working capital | ₩5.6B | ₩3.4B | −₩8.1B | ₩2.7B | ₩2.5B | ₩2.1B | ₩1.5B | ₩772M |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | −₩11B | −₩12B | −₩12B | −₩12B | −₩12B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.931 | 0.867 | 0.807 | 0.751 | 0.700 |
| Present value | — | — | — | −₩10B | −₩10B | −₩9.7B | −₩9.1B | −₩8.1B |
Terminal value −₩209B, worth −₩146B today: 76% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩1,589 a share)Now 1.42× | ₩2,3921.51× | ₩4,5772.88× | ₩24,48415.4× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.4% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 6.9% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 7.4% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 7.9% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 8.4% | — | — | — | — | — |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩56B
- Enterprise value
- ₩46B
- P/E
- —
- P/B
- 1.4×
- P/S
- 1.1×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 0.0%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩4,115 | ₩4,710 | ₩3,115 | ₩5,630 | ₩8,550 |
| Market cap | ₩103B | ₩117B | ₩78B | ₩140B | ₩213B |
| P/E | — | — | — | — | — |
| P/B | 2.5× | 2.7× | 1.8× | 3.4× | 14.5× |
| P/S | 1.8× | 2.8× | 2.0× | 4.0× | 4.6× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 0.0% | — | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Agos | — | 1.4× | 1.1× | — | 0.0% |
| Samsung Electronics | 8.7× | 2.3× | 2.7× | — | 0.8% |
| LG Electronics | 24.7× | 1.0× | 0.3× | — | 0.9% |
| Hanwha Vision | 16.4× | 2.1× | 1.0× | — | 0.0% |
| RFHIC | 37.6× | 3.4× | 6.1× | — | 0.9% |
| KMW | — | 4.9× | 8.1× | — | 0.0% |
| Intellian Technologies | 12.9× | 2.0× | 1.6× | — | 0.4% |
| Similar companies (median) | 16.4× | 2.2× | 2.1× | — | 0.6% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Agos / 아고스 / 175140 / KRX:175140
Source: KRX statistical information