Pavonine

177830 · KOSDAQ · ₩177830 · 파버나인

₩2,040 ₩0 (0.00%)End-of-day · Oct 27, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

₩1,564

vs the current price (₩2,040)

Enterprise value
₩63B
Equity value
₩18B
WACC
5.2%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
—
Base
₩1,564
−23.3%
Bull
₩15,127
+641.5%

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

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Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (3.5%).

Revenue growth

  • 3.9%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (3.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3.7%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (3.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3.5%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (3.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3.2%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (3.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (3.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • 3.5%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 6.2%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 7.1%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 23.3%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.11%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.

  • 0.6

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.1, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.61%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩134B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
₩48B
+ Stakes and investments
₩2.3B
Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
Shares
11,325,993
Share price
₩2,040
Market cap
₩23B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩121B₩133B₩133B₩139B₩144B₩149B₩154B₩158B
Growth2.2%10.1%−0.2%3.9%3.7%3.5%3.2%3.0%
EBIT₩1.7B₩8.1B₩2.6B₩4.9B₩5B₩5.2B₩5.4B₩5.5B
EBIT margin1.4%6.1%1.9%3.5%3.5%3.5%3.5%3.5%
After-tax EBIT₩1.2B₩5.9B₩1.9B₩3.5B₩3.7B₩3.8B₩3.9B₩4B
+ Depreciation₩7.9B₩7.6B₩8.4B₩8.6B₩8.9B₩9.2B₩9.5B₩9.8B
− Capital spending₩5.9B₩11B₩11B₩9.9B₩10B₩11B₩11B₩11B
− Working capital−₩11B₩3.4B₩1.4B₩1.2B₩1.2B₩1.2B₩1.1B₩1.1B
Free cash flow₩14B−₩385M−₩2.4B₩1.1B₩1.2B₩1.3B₩1.4B₩1.5B
Discount factor———0.9510.9040.8600.8180.778
Present value———₩1B₩1B₩1.1B₩1.2B₩1.2B

Terminal value ₩74B, worth ₩58B today: 91% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩6,479 a share)Now 0.31×₩2,6240.41×₩3,3450.52×₩4,4990.69×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
4.2%₩2,628₩3,316₩4,317₩5,915₩8,887
4.7%₩1,652₩2,087₩2,680₩3,543₩4,920
5.2%₩913₩1,196₩1,564₩2,067₩2,797
5.7%₩334₩521₩755₩1,060₩1,475
6.2%——₩142₩329₩572

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩23B
Enterprise value
₩71B
P/E
—
P/B
0.3×
P/S
0.2×
EV/EBITDA
8.0×
Dividend yield
0.0%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩2,870₩3,025₩3,450₩3,730₩4,685
Market cap₩33B₩34B₩39B₩42B₩53B
P/E—4.7×267.9×5.8×7.6×
P/B0.4×0.4×0.5×0.5×0.7×
P/S0.2×0.3×0.3×0.4×0.4×
EV/EBITDA7.0×4.9×7.3×4.2×5.8×
Dividend yield0.0%0.0%———

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
Pavonine—0.3×0.2×8.0×0.0%
Samsung Electro-Mechanics89.0×8.8×7.2×—0.2%
Doosan36.8×5.2×0.7×—0.4%
Hanwha Systems67.9×2.7×2.9×—0.8%
LG Innotek13.4×1.4×0.4×—0.5%
Isupetasys32.5×7.6×5.0×—0.0%
Daeduck Electronics41.5×6.5×4.7×—0.4%
Similar companies (median)39.2×5.8×3.8×—0.4%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: Pavonine / 파버나인 / 177830 / KRX:177830

Source: KRX statistical information