NHN

181710 · KOSPI · ₩181710 · NHN

₩49,000▼ ₩850 (1.71%)End-of-day · Oct 28, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

₩37,129

vs the current price (₩49,000)

Enterprise value
₩710B
Equity value
₩1.2T
WACC
8.7%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
₩12,859
−73.8%
Base
₩37,129
−24.2%
Bull
₩77,381
+57.9%

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

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Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (3.7%).

Revenue growth

  • 6%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 5.2%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 4.5%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3.7%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • 3.7%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 2.5%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 7.2%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • -10%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.11%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.

  • 0.83

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.75, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.61%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩2.7T
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
−₩458B
+ Stakes and investments
₩354B
Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
− Minority interests
₩322B
Shares
32,328,965
Share price
₩49,000
Market cap
₩1.6T

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩2.3T₩2.5T₩2.5T₩2.9T₩3.1T₩3.2T₩3.3T₩3.4T
Growth7.3%8.2%2.4%6.0%5.2%4.5%3.7%3.0%
EBIT₩56B−₩33B₩132B₩107B₩113B₩118B₩123B₩126B
EBIT margin2.4%−1.3%5.3%3.7%3.7%3.7%3.7%3.7%
After-tax EBIT₩40B−₩24B₩96B₩78B₩82B₩86B₩89B₩92B
+ Depreciation₩55B₩62B₩64B₩73B₩76B₩80B₩83B₩85B
− Capital spending₩351B₩64B₩87B₩209B₩220B₩230B₩238B₩246B
− Working capital−₩112B₩6.2B−₩805B−₩16B−₩15B−₩14B−₩12B−₩9.9B
Free cash flow−₩144B−₩31B₩879B−₩42B−₩47B−₩51B−₩55B−₩59B
Discount factor———0.9200.8470.7790.7170.660
Present value———−₩39B−₩39B−₩39B−₩39B−₩39B

Terminal value ₩1.4T, worth ₩906B today: 128% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩46,039 a share)Now 1.06×₩18,0390.39×₩22,9760.50×₩38,4650.84×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
7.7%₩36,892₩39,904₩43,454₩47,698₩52,857
8.2%₩34,435₩37,016₩40,020₩43,560₩47,791
8.7%₩32,323₩34,556₩37,129₩40,124₩43,654
9.2%₩30,492₩32,442₩34,668₩37,233₩40,219
9.7%₩28,892₩30,608₩32,552₩34,771₩37,328

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩1.6T
Enterprise value
₩879B
P/E
22.5×
P/B
1.1×
P/S
0.6×
EV/EBITDA
3.7×
Dividend yield
0.0%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩29,050₩17,650₩23,350₩24,900₩45,000
Market cap₩939B₩571B₩755B₩805B₩1.5T
P/E29.3×———12.5×
P/B0.6×0.4×0.5×0.5×0.8×
P/S0.4×0.2×0.3×0.4×0.8×
EV/EBITDA—2.2×1.6×3.2×5.2×
Dividend yield0.0%————

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
NHN22.5×1.1×0.6×3.7×0.0%
Hyundai Autoever50.3×5.1×2.1×—0.5%
Krafton10.1×1.2×1.9×—1.2%
NC7.0×1.2×2.1×8.4×0.6%
Netmarble7.0×0.5×1.0×—2.6%
PearlAbyss7.9×2.1×3.0×5.2×0.0%
Shift UP8.9×1.8×7.1×—0.0%
Similar companies (median)8.4×1.5×2.1×6.8×0.6%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: NHN / 181710 / KRX:181710

Source: KRX statistical information