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181710 · KOSPI · ₩181710 · NHN
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩37,129
vs the current price (₩49,000)
- Enterprise value
- ₩710B
- Equity value
- ₩1.2T
- WACC
- 8.7%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩12,859
- −73.8%
- Base
- ₩37,129
- −24.2%
- Bull
- ₩77,381
- +57.9%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (3.7%).
Revenue growth
- 6%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 5.2%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 4.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3.7%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 3.7%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 2.5%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 7.2%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- -10%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.11%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.
- 0.83
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.75, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.61%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩2.7T
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩458B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩354B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- − Minority interests
- ₩322B
- Shares
- 32,328,965
- Share price
- ₩49,000
- Market cap
- ₩1.6T
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩2.3T | ₩2.5T | ₩2.5T | ₩2.9T | ₩3.1T | ₩3.2T | ₩3.3T | ₩3.4T |
| Growth | 7.3% | 8.2% | 2.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩56B | −₩33B | ₩132B | ₩107B | ₩113B | ₩118B | ₩123B | ₩126B |
| EBIT margin | 2.4% | −1.3% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.7% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩40B | −₩24B | ₩96B | ₩78B | ₩82B | ₩86B | ₩89B | ₩92B |
| + Depreciation | ₩55B | ₩62B | ₩64B | ₩73B | ₩76B | ₩80B | ₩83B | ₩85B |
| − Capital spending | ₩351B | ₩64B | ₩87B | ₩209B | ₩220B | ₩230B | ₩238B | ₩246B |
| − Working capital | −₩112B | ₩6.2B | −₩805B | −₩16B | −₩15B | −₩14B | −₩12B | −₩9.9B |
| Free cash flow | −₩144B | −₩31B | ₩879B | −₩42B | −₩47B | −₩51B | −₩55B | −₩59B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.920 | 0.847 | 0.779 | 0.717 | 0.660 |
| Present value | — | — | — | −₩39B | −₩39B | −₩39B | −₩39B | −₩39B |
Terminal value ₩1.4T, worth ₩906B today: 128% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩46,039 a share)Now 1.06× | ₩18,0390.39× | ₩22,9760.50× | ₩38,4650.84× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.7% | ₩36,892 | ₩39,904 | ₩43,454 | ₩47,698 | ₩52,857 |
| 8.2% | ₩34,435 | ₩37,016 | ₩40,020 | ₩43,560 | ₩47,791 |
| 8.7% | ₩32,323 | ₩34,556 | ₩37,129 | ₩40,124 | ₩43,654 |
| 9.2% | ₩30,492 | ₩32,442 | ₩34,668 | ₩37,233 | ₩40,219 |
| 9.7% | ₩28,892 | ₩30,608 | ₩32,552 | ₩34,771 | ₩37,328 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩1.6T
- Enterprise value
- ₩879B
- P/E
- 22.5×
- P/B
- 1.1×
- P/S
- 0.6×
- EV/EBITDA
- 3.7×
- Dividend yield
- 0.0%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩29,050 | ₩17,650 | ₩23,350 | ₩24,900 | ₩45,000 |
| Market cap | ₩939B | ₩571B | ₩755B | ₩805B | ₩1.5T |
| P/E | 29.3× | — | — | — | 12.5× |
| P/B | 0.6× | 0.4× | 0.5× | 0.5× | 0.8× |
| P/S | 0.4× | 0.2× | 0.3× | 0.4× | 0.8× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | 2.2× | 1.6× | 3.2× | 5.2× |
| Dividend yield | 0.0% | — | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NHN | 22.5× | 1.1× | 0.6× | 3.7× | 0.0% |
| Hyundai Autoever | 50.3× | 5.1× | 2.1× | — | 0.5% |
| Krafton | 10.1× | 1.2× | 1.9× | — | 1.2% |
| NC | 7.0× | 1.2× | 2.1× | 8.4× | 0.6% |
| Netmarble | 7.0× | 0.5× | 1.0× | — | 2.6% |
| PearlAbyss | 7.9× | 2.1× | 3.0× | 5.2× | 0.0% |
| Shift UP | 8.9× | 1.8× | 7.1× | — | 0.0% |
| Similar companies (median) | 8.4× | 1.5× | 2.1× | 6.8× | 0.6% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: NHN / 181710 / KRX:181710
Source: KRX statistical information