KoMi코미코
183300 · KOSDAQ · ₩183300 · 코미코
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩33,811
vs the current price (₩24,700)
- Enterprise value
- ₩2.4T
- Equity value
- ₩1.7T
- WACC
- 7.1%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 37% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩24,700, the model needs an operating margin of 15.7% every year (it uses 18.6%).
- Or revenue growth −5.2 points a year higher than assumed in each of the 5 years.
- Margins ranged from 10.7% to 22.9% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
- Today's P/E is 39.7× against a typical 15.7× over the last 10 years.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩16,565
- −32.9%
- Base
- ₩33,811
- +36.9%
- Bull
- ₩62,591
- +153.4%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in
Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (18.6%).
Revenue growth
- 25%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (28% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 19.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (28% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 14%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (28% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 8.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (28% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (28% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 18.6%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 20.8%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 26%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- -1.1%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.08%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-29.
- 0.79
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.69, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.58%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩656B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- ₩552B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩9.1B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- − Minority interests
- ₩112B
- Shares
- 51,363,275
- Share price
- ₩24,700
- Market cap
- ₩1.3T
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩307B | ₩507B | ₩604B | ₩820B | ₩980B | ₩1.1T | ₩1.2T | ₩1.2T |
| Growth | 6.6% | 65.0% | 19.1% | 25.0% | 19.5% | 14.0% | 8.5% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩33B | ₩112B | ₩111B | ₩153B | ₩182B | ₩208B | ₩225B | ₩232B |
| EBIT margin | 10.7% | 22.2% | 18.4% | 18.6% | 18.6% | 18.6% | 18.6% | 18.6% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩24B | ₩82B | ₩80B | ₩111B | ₩132B | ₩151B | ₩163B | ₩168B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩171B | ₩204B | ₩232B | ₩252B | ₩260B |
| − Capital spending | ₩34B | ₩156B | ₩220B | ₩213B | ₩255B | ₩291B | ₩315B | ₩325B |
| − Working capital | −₩60B | ₩62B | ₩100B | −₩1.8B | −₩1.8B | −₩1.5B | −₩1B | −₩400M |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | ₩70B | ₩83B | ₩94B | ₩101B | ₩104B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.934 | 0.872 | 0.814 | 0.760 | 0.710 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩65B | ₩72B | ₩77B | ₩77B | ₩74B |
Terminal value ₩2.9T, worth ₩2T today: 85% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩5,582 a share)Now 4.43× | ₩9,8791.77× | ₩15,6242.80× | ₩25,9124.64× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩623 a share)Now 39.7× | ₩5,9569.57× | ₩9,80315.7× | ₩18,94530.4× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.1% | ₩35,469 | ₩40,163 | ₩46,002 | ₩53,465 | ₩63,337 |
| 6.6% | ₩30,845 | ₩34,631 | ₩39,239 | ₩44,973 | ₩52,300 |
| 7.1% | ₩26,988 | ₩30,095 | ₩33,811 | ₩38,337 | ₩43,967 |
| 7.6% | ₩23,721 | ₩26,309 | ₩29,361 | ₩33,011 | ₩37,454 |
| 8.1% | ₩20,920 | ₩23,104 | ₩25,646 | ₩28,643 | ₩32,227 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩1.3T
- Enterprise value
- ₩1.8T
- P/E
- 39.7×
- P/B
- 4.4×
- P/S
- 1.9×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 1.2%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩18,043 | ₩7,470 | ₩13,165 | ₩8,797 | ₩13,695 |
| Market cap | ₩927B | ₩384B | ₩676B | ₩452B | ₩703B |
| P/E | 18.6× | 6.9× | 21.4× | 10.8× | 14.9× |
| P/B | 3.4× | 1.4× | 3.2× | 1.8× | 3.2× |
| P/S | 1.5× | 0.8× | 2.2× | 1.6× | 2.7× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 1.6% | 2.7% | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KoMi | 39.7× | 4.4× | 1.9× | — | 1.2% |
| Doosan Enerbility | 200.6× | 4.5× | 2.0× | — | 0.0% |
| Hanmi Semiconductor | 84.5× | 25.1× | 34.0× | 76.1× | 0.4% |
| Jusung Engineering | 1,135.2× | 13.9× | 36.4× | 2,185.7× | 0.0% |
| Rainbow Robotics | 4,308.5× | 55.2× | 162.6× | — | 0.0% |
| EO Technics | 47.1× | 6.8× | 11.5× | — | 0.0% |
| Doosan Bobcat | 13,805.1× | 923.8× | 743.7× | — | 3.5% |
| Similar companies (median) | 667.9× | 19.5× | 35.2× | 1,130.9× | 0.0% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: KoMi / 코미코 / 183300 / KRX:183300
Source: KRX statistical information