Penetrium Bioscience페니트리움바이오
187660 · KOSDAQ · ₩187660 · 페니트리움바이오
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
With these assumptions the model gives no positive value.
- Enterprise value
- −₩9.5B
- Equity value
- −₩12B
- WACC
- 12.4%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model gives no positive value at these assumptions. What we can see:
- No operating margin up to 90% gets the model to today's price at these growth assumptions.
- Margins ranged from −163.5% to 17.3% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
- In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- —
- Base
- —
- Bull
- —
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in
Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (−20.0%).
Revenue growth
- -10%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-14.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -6.7%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-14.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -3.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-14.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -0.2%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-14.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-14.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- -20%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 2.8%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 3.5%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- -10%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.01%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-30.
- 1.54
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 104 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 1.8, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.51%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩8.3B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- ₩5B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩2.3B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- Shares
- 63,966,253
- Share price
- ₩6,100
- Market cap
- ₩390B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩14B | ₩9.7B | ₩9.3B | ₩7.5B | ₩7B | ₩6.8B | ₩6.7B | ₩7B |
| Growth | −7.3% | −29.3% | −4.8% | −10.0% | −6.7% | −3.5% | −0.2% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | −₩1.9B | −₩16B | −₩7.4B | −₩1.5B | −₩1.4B | −₩1.4B | −₩1.3B | −₩1.4B |
| EBIT margin | −13.9% | −163.5% | −79.5% | −20.0% | −20.0% | −20.0% | −20.0% | −20.0% |
| After-tax EBIT | −₩1.4B | −₩12B | −₩5.3B | −₩1.1B | −₩1B | −₩980M | −₩978M | −₩1B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩210M | ₩196M | ₩189M | ₩189M | ₩195M |
| − Capital spending | ₩168M | ₩94M | ₩773M | ₩263M | ₩245M | ₩237M | ₩236M | ₩243M |
| − Working capital | −₩30B | −₩7.4B | ₩14B | ₩83M | ₩50M | ₩25M | ₩1.4M | −₩20M |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | −₩1.2B | −₩1.1B | −₩1.1B | −₩1B | −₩1B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.890 | 0.792 | 0.705 | 0.627 | 0.558 |
| Present value | — | — | — | −₩1.1B | −₩883M | −₩742M | −₩644M | −₩578M |
Terminal value −₩10B, worth −₩5.6B today: 59% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩359 a share)Now 17.0× | ₩7312.04× | ₩1,8975.29× | ₩8,15822.8× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11.4% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 11.9% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 12.4% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 12.9% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 13.4% | — | — | — | — | — |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩390B
- Enterprise value
- ₩395B
- P/E
- —
- P/B
- 17.0×
- P/S
- 46.8×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 0.0%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩2,380 | ₩1,677 | ₩984 | ₩1,046 | ₩3,015 |
| Market cap | ₩152B | ₩107B | ₩63B | ₩67B | ₩193B |
| P/E | — | — | — | 58.5× | 90.2× |
| P/B | 7.1× | 16.9× | 2.2× | 2.0× | 5.6× |
| P/S | 16.4× | 11.0× | 4.6× | 4.5× | 13.8× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 0.0% | — | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penetrium Bioscience | — | 17.0× | 46.8× | — | 0.0% |
| Samsung Biologics | 34.7× | 8.2× | 15.1× | — | 0.0% |
| Celltrion | 28.2× | 2.5× | 9.1× | — | 0.0% |
| Alteogen | 76.3× | 27.5× | 58.0× | — | 0.1% |
| SK biopharmaceuticals | 15.2× | 6.0× | 7.1× | — | 0.0% |
| Yuhan | 23.3× | 2.3× | 2.4× | 30.4× | 0.8% |
| HLB | — | 15.5× | 54.7× | — | 0.0% |
| Similar companies (median) | 28.2× | 7.1× | 12.1× | 30.4× | 0.0% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Penetrium Bioscience / 페니트리움바이오 / 187660 / KRX:187660
Source: KRX statistical information