Nano나노
187790 · KOSDAQ · ₩187790 · 나노
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩394
vs the current price (₩2,300)
- Enterprise value
- ₩29B
- Equity value
- ₩12B
- WACC
- 6.6%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 83% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩2,300, the model needs an operating margin of 6.1% every year (it uses 2.8%).
- Or revenue growth +24.3 points a year higher than assumed in each of the 5 years.
- Margins ranged from −5.3% to 6.5% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
- In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.
- Today's P/E is 45.1× against a typical 6.1× over the last 10 years.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- —
- Base
- ₩394
- −82.9%
- Bull
- ₩2,619
- +13.9%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (2.8%).
Revenue growth
- 8.6%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (8.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 7.2%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (8.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 5.8%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (8.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 4.4%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (8.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (8.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 2.8%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 7.5%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 9.4%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- -4.6%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.11%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.28, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.61%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩93B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- ₩24B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩7.2B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- Shares
- 30,840,830
- Share price
- ₩2,300
- Market cap
- ₩71B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩88B | ₩89B | ₩86B | ₩101B | ₩109B | ₩115B | ₩120B | ₩123B |
| Growth | 31.8% | 0.6% | −3.3% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩1.6B | ₩1.7B | ₩5.5B | ₩2.8B | ₩3B | ₩3.2B | ₩3.4B | ₩3.5B |
| EBIT margin | 1.8% | 1.9% | 6.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩1.2B | ₩1.2B | ₩4B | ₩2.1B | ₩2.2B | ₩2.3B | ₩2.4B | ₩2.5B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩7.6B | ₩8.1B | ₩8.6B | ₩9B | ₩9.3B |
| − Capital spending | ₩3.7B | ₩718M | ₩20B | ₩9.5B | ₩10B | ₩11B | ₩11B | ₩12B |
| − Working capital | ₩3B | ₩22B | ₩8.3B | −₩369M | −₩335M | −₩290M | −₩232M | −₩165M |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | ₩500M | ₩476M | ₩439M | ₩388M | ₩326M |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.939 | 0.881 | 0.827 | 0.776 | 0.728 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩470M | ₩420M | ₩363M | ₩301M | ₩237M |
Terminal value ₩38B, worth ₩28B today: 94% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩1,334 a share)Now 1.72× | ₩1,5691.18× | ₩2,3001.72× | ₩5,0273.77× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩51 a share)Now 45.1× | ₩581.14× | ₩3136.14× | ₩2,30845.3× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩66 a share)Now 35.0× | ₩751.14× | ₩4046.14× | ₩2,97945.3× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.6% | ₩399 | ₩532 | ₩704 | ₩931 | ₩1,249 |
| 6.1% | ₩290 | ₩397 | ₩530 | ₩700 | ₩927 |
| 6.6% | ₩201 | ₩288 | ₩394 | ₩527 | ₩697 |
| 7.1% | ₩127 | ₩200 | ₩286 | ₩392 | ₩524 |
| 7.6% | ₩65 | ₩126 | ₩198 | ₩284 | ₩389 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩71B
- Enterprise value
- ₩95B
- P/E
- 45.1×
- P/B
- 1.7×
- P/S
- 0.8×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 0.0%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩3,480 | ₩1,125 | ₩1,493 | ₩1,131 | ₩1,860 |
| Market cap | ₩107B | ₩35B | ₩46B | ₩35B | ₩57B |
| P/E | 15.3× | 1.1× | — | — | — |
| P/B | 2.5× | 1.1× | 87.6× | 55.7× | 1.8× |
| P/S | 1.3× | 0.4× | 0.5× | 0.5× | 1.1× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 0.0% | — | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nano | 45.1× | 1.7× | 0.8× | — | 0.0% |
| LG Chem | — | 0.5× | 0.3× | — | 0.8% |
| Hanwha Solutions | — | 0.6× | 0.4× | — | 0.0% |
| Hanwha | 6.3× | 0.4× | 0.1× | — | 1.4% |
| SKC | — | 2.1× | 2.0× | — | 0.0% |
| KCC | 0.9× | 0.3× | 0.5× | 8.9× | 0.0% |
| Kumho Petro Chemical | 5.3× | 0.4× | 0.4× | — | 1.6% |
| Similar companies (median) | 5.3× | 0.4× | 0.4× | 8.9× | 0.4% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Nano / 나노 / 187790 / KRX:187790
Source: KRX statistical information