Intellian Technologies

189300 · KOSDAQ · ₩189300 · 인텔리안테크

₩52,700▼ ₩4,000 (7.05%)End-of-day · Oct 30, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

₩4,443

vs the current price (₩52,700)

Enterprise value
₩28B
Equity value
₩48B
WACC
8.3%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Why the model and the price differ

The model is 92% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:

  • To match today's price of ₩52,700, the model needs an operating margin of 13.7% every year (it uses 3.8%).
  • Margins ranged from −7.5% to 6.4% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
  • 51% of the last 12 months' net profit came from outside operations (stakes in other companies, interest, one-offs). The model adds those stakes at book value but doesn't project that income.
  • In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.
  • Today's P/E is 12.9× against a typical 45.9× over the last 10 years.

Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
—
Base
₩4,443
−91.6%
Bull
₩17,779
−66.3%

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in

Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (3.8%).

Revenue growth

  • 10.1%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (10.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 8.3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (10.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 6.6%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (10.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 4.8%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (10.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (10.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • 3.8%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 8.4%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).

  • 10.5%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 40%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.01%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-30.

  • 0.83

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.75, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.51%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩364B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
₩33B
+ Stakes and investments
₩53B
Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
Shares
10,737,497
Share price
₩52,700
Market cap
₩566B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩305B₩258B₩320B₩400B₩433B₩462B₩484B₩499B
Growth27.4%−15.5%24.0%10.1%8.3%6.6%4.8%3.0%
EBIT₩11B−₩19B₩12B₩15B₩16B₩18B₩18B₩19B
EBIT margin3.5%−7.5%3.7%3.8%3.8%3.8%3.8%3.8%
After-tax EBIT₩7.8B−₩14B₩8.7B₩11B₩12B₩13B₩13B₩14B
+ Depreciation———₩34B₩36B₩39B₩41B₩42B
− Capital spending₩30B₩30B₩32B₩42B₩46B₩49B₩51B₩52B
− Working capital−₩2.9B₩8.1B₩43B₩15B₩13B₩11B₩8.9B₩5.8B
Free cash flow———−₩12B−₩10B−₩8.4B−₩5.7B−₩2.5B
Discount factor———0.9230.8520.7870.7260.670
Present value———−₩11B−₩8.9B−₩6.6B−₩4.1B−₩1.7B

Terminal value ₩90B, worth ₩60B today: 218% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩26,636 a share)Now 1.98×₩47,7501.79×₩79,4682.98×₩142,5345.35×
Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩4,087 a share)Now 12.9×₩66,30016.2×₩187,52445.9×₩329,61480.7×
P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩1,768 a share)Now 29.8×₩28,68016.2×₩81,11845.9×₩142,58380.7×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
7.3%₩6,671₩6,255₩5,747₩5,121₩4,334
7.8%₩5,958₩5,538₩5,035₩4,425₩3,676
8.3%₩5,349₩4,934₩4,443₩3,858₩3,151
8.8%₩4,826₩4,420₩3,946₩3,388₩2,722
9.3%₩4,373₩3,979₩3,524₩2,993₩2,369

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩566B
Enterprise value
₩575B
P/E
12.9×
P/B
2.0×
P/S
1.6×
EV/EBITDA
—
Dividend yield
0.4%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩59,500₩37,500₩72,500₩68,000₩92,000
Market cap₩639B₩403B₩778B₩730B₩988B
P/E85.6×—140.7×45.6×164.9×
P/B2.4×1.5×2.8×4.1×6.1×
P/S2.0×1.6×2.6×3.0×7.2×
EV/EBITDA—————
Dividend yield0.3%0.3%———

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
Intellian Technologies12.9×2.0×1.6×—0.4%
Samsung Electronics8.8×2.3×2.7×—0.7%
LG Electronics23.6×0.9×0.3×—0.9%
Hanwha Vision21.8×2.7×1.4×—0.0%
RFHIC39.7×3.5×6.5×—0.8%
KMW—4.9×7.9×—0.0%
Solid8.9×1.3×1.5×12.3×0.6%
Similar companies (median)21.8×2.5×2.1×12.3×0.7%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: Intellian Technologies / 인텔리안테크 / 189300 / KRX:189300

Source: KRX statistical information