Intellian Technologies인텔리안테크
189300 · KOSDAQ · ₩189300 · 인텔리안테크
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩4,443
vs the current price (₩52,700)
- Enterprise value
- ₩28B
- Equity value
- ₩48B
- WACC
- 8.3%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 92% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩52,700, the model needs an operating margin of 13.7% every year (it uses 3.8%).
- Margins ranged from −7.5% to 6.4% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
- 51% of the last 12 months' net profit came from outside operations (stakes in other companies, interest, one-offs). The model adds those stakes at book value but doesn't project that income.
- In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.
- Today's P/E is 12.9× against a typical 45.9× over the last 10 years.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- —
- Base
- ₩4,443
- −91.6%
- Bull
- ₩17,779
- −66.3%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (3.8%).
Revenue growth
- 10.1%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (10.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 8.3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (10.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 6.6%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (10.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 4.8%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (10.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (10.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 3.8%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 8.4%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 10.5%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 40%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.01%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-30.
- 0.83
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.75, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.51%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩364B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- ₩33B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩53B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- Shares
- 10,737,497
- Share price
- ₩52,700
- Market cap
- ₩566B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩305B | ₩258B | ₩320B | ₩400B | ₩433B | ₩462B | ₩484B | ₩499B |
| Growth | 27.4% | −15.5% | 24.0% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩11B | −₩19B | ₩12B | ₩15B | ₩16B | ₩18B | ₩18B | ₩19B |
| EBIT margin | 3.5% | −7.5% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩7.8B | −₩14B | ₩8.7B | ₩11B | ₩12B | ₩13B | ₩13B | ₩14B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩34B | ₩36B | ₩39B | ₩41B | ₩42B |
| − Capital spending | ₩30B | ₩30B | ₩32B | ₩42B | ₩46B | ₩49B | ₩51B | ₩52B |
| − Working capital | −₩2.9B | ₩8.1B | ₩43B | ₩15B | ₩13B | ₩11B | ₩8.9B | ₩5.8B |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | −₩12B | −₩10B | −₩8.4B | −₩5.7B | −₩2.5B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.923 | 0.852 | 0.787 | 0.726 | 0.670 |
| Present value | — | — | — | −₩11B | −₩8.9B | −₩6.6B | −₩4.1B | −₩1.7B |
Terminal value ₩90B, worth ₩60B today: 218% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩26,636 a share)Now 1.98× | ₩47,7501.79× | ₩79,4682.98× | ₩142,5345.35× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩4,087 a share)Now 12.9× | ₩66,30016.2× | ₩187,52445.9× | ₩329,61480.7× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩1,768 a share)Now 29.8× | ₩28,68016.2× | ₩81,11845.9× | ₩142,58380.7× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.3% | ₩6,671 | ₩6,255 | ₩5,747 | ₩5,121 | ₩4,334 |
| 7.8% | ₩5,958 | ₩5,538 | ₩5,035 | ₩4,425 | ₩3,676 |
| 8.3% | ₩5,349 | ₩4,934 | ₩4,443 | ₩3,858 | ₩3,151 |
| 8.8% | ₩4,826 | ₩4,420 | ₩3,946 | ₩3,388 | ₩2,722 |
| 9.3% | ₩4,373 | ₩3,979 | ₩3,524 | ₩2,993 | ₩2,369 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩566B
- Enterprise value
- ₩575B
- P/E
- 12.9×
- P/B
- 2.0×
- P/S
- 1.6×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 0.4%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩59,500 | ₩37,500 | ₩72,500 | ₩68,000 | ₩92,000 |
| Market cap | ₩639B | ₩403B | ₩778B | ₩730B | ₩988B |
| P/E | 85.6× | — | 140.7× | 45.6× | 164.9× |
| P/B | 2.4× | 1.5× | 2.8× | 4.1× | 6.1× |
| P/S | 2.0× | 1.6× | 2.6× | 3.0× | 7.2× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 0.3% | 0.3% | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Intellian Technologies | 12.9× | 2.0× | 1.6× | — | 0.4% |
| Samsung Electronics | 8.8× | 2.3× | 2.7× | — | 0.7% |
| LG Electronics | 23.6× | 0.9× | 0.3× | — | 0.9% |
| Hanwha Vision | 21.8× | 2.7× | 1.4× | — | 0.0% |
| RFHIC | 39.7× | 3.5× | 6.5× | — | 0.8% |
| KMW | — | 4.9× | 7.9× | — | 0.0% |
| Solid | 8.9× | 1.3× | 1.5× | 12.3× | 0.6% |
| Similar companies (median) | 21.8× | 2.5× | 2.1× | 12.3× | 0.7% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Intellian Technologies / 인텔리안테크 / 189300 / KRX:189300
Source: KRX statistical information