XIIlab씨이랩
189330 · KOSDAQ · ₩189330 · 씨이랩
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
With these assumptions the model gives no positive value.
- Enterprise value
- −₩26B
- Equity value
- −₩7.4B
- WACC
- 8.9%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model gives no positive value at these assumptions. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩9,510, the model needs an operating margin of 55.5% every year (it uses −20.0%).
- Margins ranged from −188.6% to −31.4% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
- In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- —
- Base
- —
- Bull
- —
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in
Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (−20.0%).
Revenue growth
- 1.2%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (1.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 1.7%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (1.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 2.1%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (1.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 2.6%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (1.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (1.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- -20%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 4.1%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 5.1%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- -10%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.11%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.
- 0.87
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.81, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.61%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩12B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩19B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩48M
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- Shares
- 9,382,284
- Share price
- ₩9,510
- Market cap
- ₩89B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩3.7B | ₩9.1B | ₩10B | ₩12B | ₩12B | ₩13B | ₩13B | ₩13B |
| Growth | −63.0% | 148.2% | 13.0% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | −₩6.9B | −₩5.3B | −₩3.2B | −₩2.4B | −₩2.4B | −₩2.5B | −₩2.6B | −₩2.6B |
| EBIT margin | −188.6% | −58.1% | −31.4% | −20.0% | −20.0% | −20.0% | −20.0% | −20.0% |
| After-tax EBIT | −₩5B | −₩3.8B | −₩2.3B | −₩1.7B | −₩1.8B | −₩1.8B | −₩1.9B | −₩1.9B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩494M | ₩502M | ₩513M | ₩526M | ₩542M |
| − Capital spending | ₩87M | ₩576M | ₩667M | ₩614M | ₩625M | ₩638M | ₩654M | ₩674M |
| − Working capital | ₩40M | −₩352M | ₩136M | −₩14M | −₩20M | −₩26M | −₩33M | −₩38M |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | −₩1.9B | −₩1.9B | −₩1.9B | −₩2B | −₩2B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.918 | 0.843 | 0.774 | 0.711 | 0.653 |
| Present value | — | — | — | −₩1.7B | −₩1.6B | −₩1.5B | −₩1.4B | −₩1.3B |
Terminal value −₩29B, worth −₩19B today: 72% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩2,229 a share)Now 4.27× | ₩7,5953.41× | ₩12,9655.82× | ₩19,5168.75× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.9% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 8.4% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 8.9% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 9.4% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 9.9% | — | — | — | — | — |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩89B
- Enterprise value
- ₩70B
- P/E
- —
- P/B
- 4.3×
- P/S
- 7.5×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 0.0%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩4,825 | ₩5,025 | ₩9,230 | ₩11,813 | ₩28,342 |
| Market cap | ₩45B | ₩47B | ₩87B | ₩111B | ₩266B |
| P/E | — | — | — | — | — |
| P/B | 1.8× | 4.9× | 5.8× | 5.3× | 10.8× |
| P/S | 4.4× | 5.2× | 23.6× | 11.2× | 46.0× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 0.0% | — | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XIIlab | — | 4.3× | 7.5× | — | 0.0% |
| Hyundai Autoever | 50.3× | 5.1× | 2.1× | — | 0.5% |
| Krafton | 10.1× | 1.2× | 1.9× | — | 1.2% |
| NC | 7.0× | 1.2× | 2.1× | 8.4× | 0.6% |
| Netmarble | 7.0× | 0.5× | 1.0× | — | 2.6% |
| PearlAbyss | 7.9× | 2.1× | 3.0× | 5.2× | 0.0% |
| Shift UP | 8.9× | 1.8× | 7.1× | — | 0.0% |
| Similar companies (median) | 8.4× | 1.5× | 2.1× | 6.8× | 0.6% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: XIIlab / 씨이랩 / 189330 / KRX:189330
Source: KRX statistical information