DoubleUGames더블유게임즈
192080 · KOSPI · ₩192080 · 더블유게임즈
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩206,426
vs the current price (₩54,000)
- Enterprise value
- ₩3.9T
- Equity value
- ₩4.4T
- WACC
- 7.4%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 282% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩54,000, the model needs an operating margin of 6.3% every year (it uses 33.0%).
- Margins ranged from 29.8% to 39.3% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
- Today's P/E is 6.4× against a typical 7.0× over the last 10 years.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩149,983
- +177.7%
- Base
- ₩206,426
- +282.3%
- Bull
- ₩296,690
- +449.4%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in
Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (33.0%).
Revenue growth
- 5.3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (5.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 4.7%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (5.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 4.1%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (5.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3.6%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (5.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (5.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 33%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 0.2%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 0.2%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 9.3%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.11%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.12, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.61%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩802B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩958B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩1.7B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- − Minority interests
- ₩532B
- Shares
- 21,173,468
- Share price
- ₩54,000
- Market cap
- ₩1.1T
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩582B | ₩633B | ₩720B | ₩844B | ₩884B | ₩920B | ₩953B | ₩982B |
| Growth | −5.7% | 8.8% | 13.6% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩213B | ₩249B | ₩232B | ₩279B | ₩292B | ₩304B | ₩315B | ₩324B |
| EBIT margin | 36.6% | 39.3% | 32.2% | 33.0% | 33.0% | 33.0% | 33.0% | 33.0% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩155B | ₩180B | ₩168B | ₩202B | ₩211B | ₩220B | ₩228B | ₩235B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩1.7B | ₩1.8B | ₩1.8B | ₩1.9B | ₩2B |
| − Capital spending | ₩689M | ₩2.5B | ₩941M | ₩1.7B | ₩1.8B | ₩1.8B | ₩1.9B | ₩2B |
| − Working capital | ₩165B | −₩137B | −₩26B | ₩4B | ₩3.7B | ₩3.4B | ₩3.1B | ₩2.7B |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | ₩198B | ₩208B | ₩217B | ₩225B | ₩232B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.931 | 0.867 | 0.807 | 0.751 | 0.700 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩184B | ₩180B | ₩175B | ₩169B | ₩162B |
Terminal value ₩4.4T, worth ₩3.1T today: 78% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩63,337 a share)Now 0.85× | ₩56,0360.88× | ₩63,9551.01× | ₩71,5311.13× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩8,474 a share)Now 6.37× | ₩52,1876.16× | ₩59,1506.98× | ₩105,97712.5× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩9,185 a share)Now 5.88× | ₩56,5676.16× | ₩64,1146.98× | ₩114,87212.5× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.4% | ₩213,622 | ₩229,517 | ₩249,015 | ₩273,498 | ₩305,160 |
| 6.9% | ₩197,045 | ₩209,981 | ₩225,550 | ₩244,647 | ₩268,627 |
| 7.4% | ₩183,058 | ₩193,754 | ₩206,426 | ₩221,676 | ₩240,383 |
| 7.9% | ₩171,099 | ₩180,063 | ₩190,541 | ₩202,955 | ₩217,894 |
| 8.4% | ₩160,757 | ₩168,355 | ₩177,137 | ₩187,403 | ₩199,565 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩1.1T
- Enterprise value
- ₩167B
- P/E
- 6.4×
- P/B
- 0.9×
- P/S
- 1.4×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 2.2%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩53,600 | ₩53,900 | ₩40,267 | ₩40,013 | ₩49,031 |
| Market cap | ₩1.1T | ₩1.1T | ₩853B | ₩847B | ₩1T |
| P/E | 8.6× | 6.1× | 5.7× | — | 8.3× |
| P/B | 1.0× | 1.0× | 1.0× | 1.2× | 1.2× |
| P/S | 1.6× | 1.8× | 1.5× | 1.4× | 1.7× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 2.2% | 2.2% | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DoubleUGames | 6.4× | 0.9× | 1.4× | — | 2.2% |
| Hyundai Autoever | 50.3× | 5.1× | 2.1× | — | 0.5% |
| Krafton | 10.1× | 1.2× | 1.9× | — | 1.2% |
| NC | 7.0× | 1.2× | 2.1× | 8.4× | 0.6% |
| Netmarble | 7.0× | 0.5× | 1.0× | — | 2.6% |
| PearlAbyss | 7.9× | 2.1× | 3.0× | 5.2× | 0.0% |
| Shift UP | 8.9× | 1.8× | 7.1× | — | 0.0% |
| Similar companies (median) | 8.4× | 1.5× | 2.1× | 6.8× | 0.6% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: DoubleUGames / 더블유게임즈 / 192080 / KRX:192080
Source: KRX statistical information