Dreamtech

192650 · KOSPI · ₩192650 · 드림텍

₩7,290▼ ₩220 (2.93%)End-of-day · Oct 28, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

₩5,962

vs the current price (₩7,290)

Enterprise value
₩391B
Equity value
₩393B
WACC
7.5%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
₩1,481
−79.7%
Base
₩5,962
−18.2%
Bull
₩13,991
+91.9%

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

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Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (3.7%).

Revenue growth

  • -3.5%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-3.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -1.9%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-3.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -0.2%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-3.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 1.4%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-3.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-3.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • 3.7%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 3.6%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).

  • 4.5%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 6.6%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.08%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-29.

  • 0.62

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.43, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.58%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩1.1T
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
−₩101B
+ Stakes and investments
₩14B
Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
− Minority interests
₩113B
Shares
65,886,829
Share price
₩7,290
Market cap
₩480B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩1T₩1.2T₩1.2T₩1.1T₩1.1T₩1.1T₩1.1T₩1.1T
Growth−24.7%13.8%4.9%−3.5%−1.9%−0.2%1.4%3.0%
EBIT₩34B₩24B₩31B₩40B₩39B₩39B₩40B₩41B
EBIT margin3.3%2.0%2.5%3.7%3.7%3.7%3.7%3.7%
After-tax EBIT₩25B₩17B₩23B₩29B₩28B₩28B₩29B₩30B
+ Depreciation———₩39B₩38B₩38B₩38B₩40B
− Capital spending₩50B₩69B₩34B₩48B₩48B₩47B₩48B₩50B
− Working capital−₩88B₩17B₩75B−₩2.6B−₩1.4B−₩139M₩974M₩2.1B
Free cash flow———₩22B₩20B₩19B₩18B₩18B
Discount factor———0.9300.8650.8050.7490.697
Present value———₩20B₩17B₩15B₩14B₩12B

Terminal value ₩448B, worth ₩312B today: 80% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩5,524 a share)Now 1.32×₩5,7271.04×₩7,9021.43×₩11,3542.06×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
6.5%₩6,320₩6,773₩7,326₩8,017₩8,904
7.0%₩5,774₩6,139₩6,576₩7,109₩7,775
7.5%₩5,313₩5,611₩5,962₩6,384₩6,898
8.0%₩4,918₩5,165₩5,452₩5,791₩6,197
8.5%₩4,576₩4,783₩5,021₩5,298₩5,625

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩480B
Enterprise value
₩379B
P/E
—
P/B
1.3×
P/S
0.4×
EV/EBITDA
—
Dividend yield
0.0%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩7,060₩7,270₩12,990₩9,100₩12,100
Market cap₩465B₩479B₩856B₩600B₩797B
P/E5,043.8×123.2×55.9×7.1×10.0×
P/B1.3×1.2×2.1×1.5×2.3×
P/S0.4×0.4×0.8×0.4×0.6×
EV/EBITDA—————
Dividend yield0.0%2.8%———

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
Dreamtech—1.3×0.4×—0.0%
Samsung Electro-Mechanics96.8×9.5×7.8×—0.2%
Doosan39.2×5.5×0.7×—0.4%
Hanwha Systems71.2×2.8×3.0×—0.8%
LG Innotek13.1×1.4×0.4×—0.5%
Isupetasys35.4×8.3×5.4×—0.0%
Daeduck Electronics44.8×7.0×5.0×—0.4%
Similar companies (median)42.0×6.3×4.0×—0.4%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: Dreamtech / 드림텍 / 192650 / KRX:192650

Source: KRX statistical information