Dreamtech드림텍
192650 · KOSPI · ₩192650 · 드림텍
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩5,962
vs the current price (₩7,290)
- Enterprise value
- ₩391B
- Equity value
- ₩393B
- WACC
- 7.5%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩1,481
- −79.7%
- Base
- ₩5,962
- −18.2%
- Bull
- ₩13,991
- +91.9%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (3.7%).
Revenue growth
- -3.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-3.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -1.9%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-3.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -0.2%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-3.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 1.4%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-3.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-3.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 3.7%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 3.6%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 4.5%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 6.6%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.08%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-29.
- 0.62
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.43, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.58%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩1.1T
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩101B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩14B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- − Minority interests
- ₩113B
- Shares
- 65,886,829
- Share price
- ₩7,290
- Market cap
- ₩480B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩1T | ₩1.2T | ₩1.2T | ₩1.1T | ₩1.1T | ₩1.1T | ₩1.1T | ₩1.1T |
| Growth | −24.7% | 13.8% | 4.9% | −3.5% | −1.9% | −0.2% | 1.4% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩34B | ₩24B | ₩31B | ₩40B | ₩39B | ₩39B | ₩40B | ₩41B |
| EBIT margin | 3.3% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.7% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩25B | ₩17B | ₩23B | ₩29B | ₩28B | ₩28B | ₩29B | ₩30B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩39B | ₩38B | ₩38B | ₩38B | ₩40B |
| − Capital spending | ₩50B | ₩69B | ₩34B | ₩48B | ₩48B | ₩47B | ₩48B | ₩50B |
| − Working capital | −₩88B | ₩17B | ₩75B | −₩2.6B | −₩1.4B | −₩139M | ₩974M | ₩2.1B |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | ₩22B | ₩20B | ₩19B | ₩18B | ₩18B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.930 | 0.865 | 0.805 | 0.749 | 0.697 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩20B | ₩17B | ₩15B | ₩14B | ₩12B |
Terminal value ₩448B, worth ₩312B today: 80% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩5,524 a share)Now 1.32× | ₩5,7271.04× | ₩7,9021.43× | ₩11,3542.06× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.5% | ₩6,320 | ₩6,773 | ₩7,326 | ₩8,017 | ₩8,904 |
| 7.0% | ₩5,774 | ₩6,139 | ₩6,576 | ₩7,109 | ₩7,775 |
| 7.5% | ₩5,313 | ₩5,611 | ₩5,962 | ₩6,384 | ₩6,898 |
| 8.0% | ₩4,918 | ₩5,165 | ₩5,452 | ₩5,791 | ₩6,197 |
| 8.5% | ₩4,576 | ₩4,783 | ₩5,021 | ₩5,298 | ₩5,625 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩480B
- Enterprise value
- ₩379B
- P/E
- —
- P/B
- 1.3×
- P/S
- 0.4×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 0.0%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩7,060 | ₩7,270 | ₩12,990 | ₩9,100 | ₩12,100 |
| Market cap | ₩465B | ₩479B | ₩856B | ₩600B | ₩797B |
| P/E | 5,043.8× | 123.2× | 55.9× | 7.1× | 10.0× |
| P/B | 1.3× | 1.2× | 2.1× | 1.5× | 2.3× |
| P/S | 0.4× | 0.4× | 0.8× | 0.4× | 0.6× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 0.0% | 2.8% | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dreamtech | — | 1.3× | 0.4× | — | 0.0% |
| Samsung Electro-Mechanics | 96.8× | 9.5× | 7.8× | — | 0.2% |
| Doosan | 39.2× | 5.5× | 0.7× | — | 0.4% |
| Hanwha Systems | 71.2× | 2.8× | 3.0× | — | 0.8% |
| LG Innotek | 13.1× | 1.4× | 0.4× | — | 0.5% |
| Isupetasys | 35.4× | 8.3× | 5.4× | — | 0.0% |
| Daeduck Electronics | 44.8× | 7.0× | 5.0× | — | 0.4% |
| Similar companies (median) | 42.0× | 6.3× | 4.0× | — | 0.4% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Dreamtech / 드림텍 / 192650 / KRX:192650
Source: KRX statistical information