Haesung DS

195870 · KOSPI · ₩195870 · 해성디에스

₩44,650▲ ₩3,100 (7.46%)End-of-day · Oct 27, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

₩24,797

vs the current price (₩44,650)

Enterprise value
₩551B
Equity value
₩422B
WACC
9.0%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Why the model and the price differ

The model is 44% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:

  • To match today's price of ₩44,650, the model needs an operating margin of 17.2% every year (it uses 11.9%).
  • Or revenue growth +13.8 points a year higher than assumed in each of the 5 years.
  • Analysts' forecasts for 2026: revenue ₩907B, operating profit ₩106B (11.7% margin) (1 broker). The model starts from the last 12 months reported.
  • Analysts' forecasts for 2027: revenue ₩1T, operating profit ₩151B (14.5% margin) (1 broker). The model starts from the last 12 months reported.
  • Margins ranged from 7.1% to 24.4% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
  • Today's P/E is 14.2× against a typical 8.9× over the last 10 years.

Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
₩12,330
−72.4%
Base
₩24,797
−44.5%
Bull
₩44,750
+0.2%

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in

Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (11.9%).

Revenue growth

  • -8%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -5.3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -2.5%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 0.2%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • 11.9%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 15.8%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).

  • 19.8%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 22.8%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.11%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.

  • 1.05

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 1.08, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.61%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩758B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
₩130B
Shares
17,000,000
Share price
₩44,650
Market cap
₩759B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩672B₩603B₩653B₩698B₩661B₩644B₩645B₩665B
Growth−19.9%−10.3%8.4%−8.0%−5.3%−2.5%0.2%3.0%
EBIT₩103B₩57B₩46B₩83B₩79B₩77B₩77B₩79B
EBIT margin15.2%9.4%7.1%11.9%11.9%11.9%11.9%11.9%
After-tax EBIT₩74B₩41B₩34B₩60B₩57B₩56B₩56B₩57B
+ Depreciation———₩110B₩104B₩102B₩102B₩105B
− Capital spending₩98B₩159B₩120B₩138B₩131B₩128B₩128B₩132B
− Working capital−₩47B₩17B₩59B−₩14B−₩8.4B−₩3.8B₩294M₩4.4B
Free cash flow———₩46B₩39B₩34B₩30B₩26B
Discount factor———0.9170.8410.7710.7080.649
Present value———₩42B₩33B₩26B₩21B₩17B

Terminal value ₩635B, worth ₩412B today: 75% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩33,993 a share)Now 1.31×₩26,3850.78×₩57,7911.70×₩102,5983.02×
Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩3,152 a share)Now 14.2×₩15,6824.98×₩28,1688.94×₩110,89235.2×
P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩4,489 a share)Now 9.95×₩22,3354.98×₩40,1198.94×₩157,94035.2×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
8.0%₩26,757₩28,416₩30,346₩32,618₩35,337
8.5%₩24,376₩25,763₩27,357₩29,210₩31,393
9.0%₩22,296₩23,465₩24,797₩26,327₩28,107
9.5%₩20,464₩21,458₩22,580₩23,857₩25,326
10.0%₩18,837₩19,688₩20,642₩21,718₩22,944

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩759B
Enterprise value
₩889B
P/E
14.2×
P/B
1.3×
P/S
1.0×
EV/EBITDA
—
Dividend yield
2.0%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩55,700₩23,400₩55,400₩35,850₩48,850
Market cap₩947B₩398B₩942B₩609B₩830B
P/E39.8×6.8×11.2×3.8×11.7×
P/B1.7×0.7×1.8×1.4×2.8×
P/S1.4×0.7×1.4×0.7×1.3×
EV/EBITDA—————
Dividend yield1.6%3.4%———

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
Haesung DS14.2×1.3×1.0×—2.0%
Samsung Electro-Mechanics89.0×8.8×7.2×—0.2%
Doosan36.8×5.2×0.7×—0.4%
Hanwha Systems67.9×2.7×2.9×—0.8%
LG Innotek13.4×1.4×0.4×—0.5%
Isupetasys32.5×7.6×5.0×—0.0%
Daeduck Electronics41.5×6.5×4.7×—0.4%
Similar companies (median)39.2×5.8×3.8×—0.4%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: Haesung DS / 해성디에스 / 195870 / KRX:195870

Source: KRX statistical information