KolmarBNH콜마비앤에이치
200130 · KOSDAQ · ₩200130 · 콜마비앤에이치
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩13,285
vs the current price (₩7,300)
- Enterprise value
- ₩396B
- Equity value
- ₩382B
- WACC
- 6.9%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 82% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩7,300, the model needs an operating margin of 4.4% every year (it uses 6.6%).
- Or revenue growth −14.0 points a year higher than assumed in each of the 5 years.
- Margins ranged from 4.0% to 15.5% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩5,595
- −23.4%
- Base
- ₩13,285
- +82.0%
- Bull
- ₩27,273
- +273.6%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in
Cycle options
Start from
Preliminary results are the company's early announcement of a quarter's sales and operating profit, before the full report. Including them swaps that quarter in for the same quarter a year earlier.
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (6.6%).
Revenue growth
- -0.1%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-0.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 0.7%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-0.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 1.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-0.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 2.2%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-0.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-0.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 6.6%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 7.3%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 9.2%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 9.8%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.08%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-29.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.3, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.58%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩538B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- ₩36B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩24B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- − Minority interests
- ₩1.6B
- Shares
- 28,775,558
- Share price
- ₩7,300
- Market cap
- ₩210B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩580B | ₩616B | ₩575B | ₩538B | ₩541B | ₩550B | ₩562B | ₩578B |
| Growth | 0.6% | 6.2% | −6.6% | −0.1% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩30B | ₩25B | ₩27B | ₩35B | ₩36B | ₩36B | ₩37B | ₩38B |
| EBIT margin | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩22B | ₩18B | ₩19B | ₩26B | ₩26B | ₩26B | ₩27B | ₩28B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩39B | ₩40B | ₩40B | ₩41B | ₩42B |
| − Capital spending | ₩92B | ₩48B | ₩22B | ₩49B | ₩50B | ₩51B | ₩52B | ₩53B |
| − Working capital | −₩27B | −₩29B | −₩23B | −₩53M | ₩369M | ₩796M | ₩1.2B | ₩1.7B |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | ₩16B | ₩15B | ₩15B | ₩15B | ₩15B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.935 | 0.875 | 0.819 | 0.766 | 0.716 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩15B | ₩13B | ₩12B | ₩12B | ₩11B |
Terminal value ₩465B, worth ₩333B today: 84% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩13,242 a share)Now 0.55× | ₩10,8950.82× | ₩15,1311.14× | ₩30,2892.29× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (preliminary Q3 2026 × 4: ₩4,781 a share)Now 1.53× | ₩60,78812.7× | ₩93,90319.6× | ₩135,79828.4× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.9% | ₩14,088 | ₩15,387 | ₩17,017 | ₩19,124 | ₩21,958 |
| 6.4% | ₩12,656 | ₩13,681 | ₩14,937 | ₩16,515 | ₩18,554 |
| 6.9% | ₩11,469 | ₩12,294 | ₩13,285 | ₩14,501 | ₩16,027 |
| 7.4% | ₩10,470 | ₩11,144 | ₩11,942 | ₩12,901 | ₩14,077 |
| 7.9% | ₩9,617 | ₩10,176 | ₩10,828 | ₩11,599 | ₩12,527 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩210B
- Enterprise value
- ₩242B
- P/E
- —
- P/B
- 0.6×
- P/S
- 0.4×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 1.0%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩12,800 | ₩11,550 | ₩17,940 | ₩28,300 | ₩31,050 |
| Market cap | ₩368B | ₩332B | ₩516B | ₩814B | ₩893B |
| P/E | — | 18.4× | 26.2× | 20.1× | 12.8× |
| P/B | 1.0× | 0.8× | 1.3× | 2.0× | 2.3× |
| P/S | 0.6× | 0.5× | 0.9× | 1.4× | 1.5× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 0.6% | 2.7% | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KolmarBNH | — | 0.6× | 0.4× | — | 1.0% |
| Samsung Biologics | 32.0× | 7.6× | 14.0× | — | 0.0% |
| Celltrion | 27.9× | 2.5× | 9.0× | — | 0.0% |
| Alteogen | 80.5× | 29.0× | 61.2× | — | 0.1% |
| SK biopharmaceuticals | 14.7× | 5.8× | 6.8× | — | 0.0% |
| Yuhan | 24.0× | 2.4× | 2.5× | 31.3× | 0.8% |
| HLB | — | 15.7× | 55.6× | — | 0.0% |
| Similar companies (median) | 27.9× | 6.7× | 11.5× | 31.3× | 0.0% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: KolmarBNH / 콜마비앤에이치 / 200130 / KRX:200130
Source: KRX statistical information