Apact

200470 · KOSDAQ · ₩200470 · 에이팩트

₩10,050▲ ₩680 (7.26%)End-of-day · Oct 27, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
Trade
Alert me

Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

With these assumptions the model gives no positive value.

Enterprise value
−₩85B
Equity value
−₩169B
WACC
9.3%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Why the model and the price differ

The model gives no positive value at these assumptions. What we can see:

  • To match today's price of ₩10,050, the model needs an operating margin of 30.7% every year (it uses −2.3%).
  • Analysts' forecasts for 2026: revenue ₩222B, operating profit — (1 broker). The model starts from the last 12 months reported.
  • Analysts' forecasts for 2027: revenue ₩371B, operating profit — (1 broker). The model starts from the last 12 months reported.
  • Margins ranged from −24.8% to 8.5% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
  • 61% of the last 12 months' net profit came from outside operations (stakes in other companies, interest, one-offs). The model adds those stakes at book value but doesn't project that income.
  • In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.

Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
—
Base
—
Bull
—

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in

Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (−2.3%).

Revenue growth

  • 14.7%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (14.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 11.7%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (14.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 8.8%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (14.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 5.9%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (14.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (14.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • -2.3%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 11.5%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).

  • 14.3%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 0.2%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.11%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.

  • 1.12

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 1.18, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.61%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩137B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
₩86B
+ Stakes and investments
₩1.8B
Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
Shares
44,587,651
Share price
₩10,050
Market cap
₩448B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩94B₩87B₩111B₩157B₩175B₩190B₩202B₩208B
Growth27.3%−7.5%28.0%14.7%11.7%8.8%5.9%3.0%
EBIT−₩23B−₩22B₩5.3B−₩3.6B−₩4B−₩4.4B−₩4.6B−₩4.8B
EBIT margin−24.4%−24.8%4.7%−2.3%−2.3%−2.3%−2.3%−2.3%
After-tax EBIT−₩17B−₩16B₩3.8B−₩2.6B−₩2.9B−₩3.2B−₩3.4B−₩3.5B
+ Depreciation———₩18B₩20B₩22B₩23B₩24B
− Capital spending₩19B₩12B₩9.8B₩22B₩25B₩27B₩29B₩30B
− Working capital₩3.2B−₩582M₩7.3B₩40M₩37M₩31M₩22M₩12M
Free cash flow———−₩7B−₩7.9B−₩8.5B−₩9B−₩9.3B
Discount factor———0.9150.8380.7670.7020.642
Present value———−₩6.4B−₩6.6B−₩6.5B−₩6.3B−₩6B

Terminal value −₩82B, worth −₩53B today: 62% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩1,831 a share)Now 5.49×₩2,4251.32×₩4,1692.28×₩9,9545.44×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
8.3%—————
8.8%—————
9.3%—————
9.8%—————
10.3%—————

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩448B
Enterprise value
₩534B
P/E
41.4×
P/B
5.5×
P/S
3.3×
EV/EBITDA
—
Dividend yield
0.0%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩6,790₩2,145₩3,265₩2,475₩4,449
Market cap₩303B₩96B₩146B₩110B₩198B
P/E57.9×——35.7×74.4×
P/B4.3×1.7×1.5×1.0×2.8×
P/S2.7×1.1×1.6×1.5×4.2×
EV/EBITDA—————
Dividend yield0.0%————

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
Apact41.4×5.5×3.3×—0.0%
SK hynix6.0×3.7×5.2×—0.2%
DB HiTek11.9×1.7×2.7×—0.9%
Fadu—37.7×13.2×—0.0%
Hana Micron13.8×4.3×1.1×—0.2%
Jeju Semiconductor9.5×4.9×3.3×—0.0%
SFA Semicon—3.0×3.2×—0.0%
Similar companies (median)10.7×4.0×3.2×—0.1%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: Apact / 에이팩트 / 200470 / KRX:200470

Source: KRX statistical information