Boditech Med바디텍메드
206640 · KOSDAQ · ₩206640 · 바디텍메드
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩23,805
vs the current price (₩8,560)
- Enterprise value
- ₩501B
- Equity value
- ₩522B
- WACC
- 7.3%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 178% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩8,560, the model needs an operating margin of 8.8% every year (it uses 19.7%).
- Margins ranged from 17.9% to 32.9% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
- Today's P/E is 7.2× against a typical 11.2× over the last 10 years.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩15,954
- +86.4%
- Base
- ₩23,805
- +178.1%
- Bull
- ₩36,905
- +331.1%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in
Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (19.7%).
Revenue growth
- 11.1%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (11.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 9.1%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (11.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 7.1%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (11.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (11.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (11.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 19.7%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 9.1%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 11.4%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 40%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.01%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-30.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.19, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.51%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩175B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩21B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩14B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- − Minority interests
- ₩14B
- Shares
- 21,907,921
- Share price
- ₩8,560
- Market cap
- ₩188B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩134B | ₩138B | ₩162B | ₩194B | ₩212B | ₩227B | ₩238B | ₩245B |
| Growth | 13.7% | 2.9% | 17.3% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩28B | ₩26B | ₩29B | ₩38B | ₩42B | ₩45B | ₩47B | ₩48B |
| EBIT margin | 21.2% | 18.9% | 17.9% | 19.7% | 19.7% | 19.7% | 19.7% | 19.7% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩21B | ₩19B | ₩21B | ₩28B | ₩30B | ₩32B | ₩34B | ₩35B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩18B | ₩19B | ₩21B | ₩22B | ₩22B |
| − Capital spending | ₩5.6B | ₩12B | ₩34B | ₩22B | ₩24B | ₩26B | ₩27B | ₩28B |
| − Working capital | −₩3.7B | −₩8.7B | ₩16B | ₩7.8B | ₩7.1B | ₩6B | ₩4.5B | ₩2.9B |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | ₩16B | ₩18B | ₩21B | ₩24B | ₩27B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.932 | 0.868 | 0.809 | 0.754 | 0.703 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩14B | ₩16B | ₩17B | ₩18B | ₩19B |
Terminal value ₩593B, worth ₩417B today: 83% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩11,286 a share)Now 0.76× | ₩11,8201.05× | ₩18,6081.65× | ₩26,4762.35× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩1,185 a share)Now 7.23× | ₩7,9936.75× | ₩13,27311.2× | ₩16,62714.0× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩1,333 a share)Now 6.42× | ₩8,9976.75× | ₩14,94111.2× | ₩18,71614.0× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.3% | ₩25,263 | ₩27,144 | ₩29,457 | ₩32,373 | ₩36,166 |
| 6.8% | ₩23,021 | ₩24,523 | ₩26,335 | ₩28,564 | ₩31,373 |
| 7.3% | ₩21,137 | ₩22,357 | ₩23,805 | ₩25,550 | ₩27,696 |
| 7.8% | ₩19,533 | ₩20,538 | ₩21,713 | ₩23,106 | ₩24,787 |
| 8.3% | ₩18,151 | ₩18,988 | ₩19,955 | ₩21,086 | ₩22,428 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩188B
- Enterprise value
- ₩165B
- P/E
- 7.2×
- P/B
- 0.8×
- P/S
- 1.1×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 0.0%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩13,120 | ₩16,780 | ₩20,500 | ₩10,250 | ₩16,800 |
| Market cap | ₩287B | ₩368B | ₩449B | ₩225B | ₩368B |
| P/E | 12.2× | 13.5× | 16.8× | 8.9× | 7.8× |
| P/B | 1.2× | 1.7× | 2.4× | 1.4× | 2.4× |
| P/S | 1.8× | 2.7× | 3.3× | 1.9× | 2.3× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 0.0% | 0.0% | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boditech Med | 7.2× | 0.8× | 1.1× | — | 0.0% |
| Samsung Biologics | 31.9× | 7.6× | 13.9× | — | 0.0% |
| Celltrion | 27.9× | 2.5× | 9.0× | — | 0.0% |
| Alteogen | 79.4× | 28.6× | 60.3× | — | 0.1% |
| SK biopharmaceuticals | 15.2× | 6.0× | 7.1× | — | 0.0% |
| Yuhan | 23.2× | 2.3× | 2.4× | 30.2× | 0.8% |
| HLB | — | 15.4× | 54.3× | — | 0.0% |
| Similar companies (median) | 27.9× | 6.8× | 11.4× | 30.2× | 0.0% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Boditech Med / 바디텍메드 / 206640 / KRX:206640
Source: KRX statistical information