Neooto네오오토
212560 · KOSDAQ · ₩212560 · 네오오토
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩15,388
vs the current price (₩8,490)
- Enterprise value
- ₩174B
- Equity value
- ₩208B
- WACC
- 7.5%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 81% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩8,490, the model needs an operating margin of 3.1% every year (it uses 5.4%).
- Or revenue growth −16.3 points a year higher than assumed in each of the 5 years.
- Today's P/E is 9.5× against a typical 7.4× over the last 10 years.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩7,455
- −12.2%
- Base
- ₩15,388
- +81.2%
- Bull
- ₩29,066
- +242.4%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in
Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (5.4%).
Revenue growth
- 12.3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (12.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 10%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (12.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 7.6%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (12.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 5.3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (12.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (12.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 5.4%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 6.4%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 8%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- -1%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.01%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-30.
- 0.64
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.46, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.51%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩237B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩31B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩3.2B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- Shares
- 13,486,348
- Share price
- ₩8,490
- Market cap
- ₩114B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩198B | ₩219B | ₩232B | ₩266B | ₩292B | ₩314B | ₩331B | ₩341B |
| Growth | 20.8% | 10.3% | 6.2% | 12.3% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩10B | ₩13B | ₩14B | ₩14B | ₩16B | ₩17B | ₩18B | ₩18B |
| EBIT margin | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩7.5B | ₩9.2B | ₩9.9B | ₩10B | ₩11B | ₩12B | ₩13B | ₩13B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩17B | ₩19B | ₩20B | ₩21B | ₩22B |
| − Capital spending | ₩6.9B | ₩8.9B | ₩38B | ₩21B | ₩23B | ₩25B | ₩26B | ₩27B |
| − Working capital | ₩3.1B | −₩14B | −₩7B | −₩291M | −₩266M | −₩222M | −₩167M | −₩99M |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | ₩6.4B | ₩7B | ₩7.5B | ₩7.8B | ₩8B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.930 | 0.865 | 0.804 | 0.748 | 0.696 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩6B | ₩6.1B | ₩6B | ₩5.9B | ₩5.6B |
Terminal value ₩207B, worth ₩144B today: 83% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩11,595 a share)Now 0.73× | ₩6,6740.58× | ₩7,9740.69× | ₩10,2340.88× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩896 a share)Now 9.48× | ₩3,8444.29× | ₩6,6547.43× | ₩10,11011.3× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.5% | ₩15,817 | ₩16,996 | ₩18,436 | ₩20,233 | ₩22,540 |
| 7.0% | ₩14,634 | ₩15,600 | ₩16,759 | ₩18,174 | ₩19,941 |
| 7.5% | ₩13,633 | ₩14,438 | ₩15,388 | ₩16,527 | ₩17,918 |
| 8.0% | ₩12,777 | ₩13,455 | ₩14,246 | ₩15,180 | ₩16,300 |
| 8.5% | ₩12,036 | ₩12,614 | ₩13,280 | ₩14,058 | ₩14,976 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩114B
- Enterprise value
- ₩84B
- P/E
- 9.5×
- P/B
- 0.7×
- P/S
- 0.5×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 2.4%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩8,850 | ₩5,239 | ₩6,280 | ₩4,405 | ₩4,405 |
| Market cap | ₩119B | ₩71B | ₩85B | ₩59B | ₩59B |
| P/E | 8.0× | 4.0× | 7.1× | 7.6× | 9.0× |
| P/B | 0.9× | 0.6× | 0.8× | 0.6× | 0.7× |
| P/S | 0.5× | 0.3× | 0.4× | 0.4× | 0.4× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 2.3% | 2.5% | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neooto | 9.5× | 0.7× | 0.5× | — | 2.4% |
| Hyundai Mobis | 8.3× | 0.6× | 0.5× | — | 1.9% |
| SL | 5.9× | 0.8× | 0.4× | 3.6× | 0.0% |
| HL Mando | 10.3× | 0.6× | 0.2× | — | 2.0% |
| Hyundai WIA | 18.9× | 0.4× | 0.2× | — | 2.4% |
| Samhyun | — | 11.2× | 15.8× | — | 0.0% |
| SNT Dynamics | 12.5× | 0.7× | 0.8× | — | 7.3% |
| Similar companies (median) | 10.3× | 0.6× | 0.4× | 3.6× | 2.0% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Neooto / 네오오토 / 212560 / KRX:212560
Source: KRX statistical information