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214270 · KOSDAQ · ₩214270 · FSN
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩3,250
vs the current price (₩1,211)
- Enterprise value
- ₩173B
- Equity value
- ₩147B
- WACC
- 7.4%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 168% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩1,211, the model needs an operating margin of 1.8% every year (it uses 3.8%).
- Or revenue growth −13.9 points a year higher than assumed in each of the 5 years.
- Margins ranged from −3.4% to 11.2% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩690
- −43.0%
- Base
- ₩3,250
- +168.3%
- Bull
- ₩7,691
- +535.1%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in
Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (3.8%).
Revenue growth
- 9.7%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (9.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 8%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (9.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 6.4%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (9.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 4.7%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (9.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (9.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 3.8%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 2.3%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 2.8%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- -9.3%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.11%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.26, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.61%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩276B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩19B
- − Minority interests
- ₩46B
- Shares
- 45,251,636
- Share price
- ₩1,211
- Market cap
- ₩55B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩176B | ₩266B | ₩272B | ₩303B | ₩328B | ₩349B | ₩365B | ₩376B |
| Growth | −14.8% | 51.3% | 2.5% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | −₩6B | ₩832M | ₩31B | ₩12B | ₩12B | ₩13B | ₩14B | ₩14B |
| EBIT margin | −3.4% | 0.3% | 11.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% |
| After-tax EBIT | −₩4.3B | ₩603M | ₩22B | ₩8.4B | ₩9B | ₩9.6B | ₩10B | ₩10B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩7B | ₩7.5B | ₩8B | ₩8.4B | ₩8.6B |
| − Capital spending | ₩1.9B | ₩12B | ₩7.6B | ₩8.5B | ₩9.2B | ₩9.8B | ₩10B | ₩11B |
| − Working capital | −₩19B | −₩83B | ₩55B | −₩2.5B | −₩2.3B | −₩1.9B | −₩1.5B | −₩1B |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | ₩9.3B | ₩9.6B | ₩9.8B | ₩9.8B | ₩9.5B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.931 | 0.867 | 0.807 | 0.751 | 0.700 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩8.7B | ₩8.4B | ₩7.9B | ₩7.3B | ₩6.6B |
Terminal value ₩192B, worth ₩134B today: 78% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩1,343 a share)Now 0.90× | ₩1,3130.98× | ₩1,7321.29× | ₩3,5132.62× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.4% | ₩3,279 | ₩3,657 | ₩4,122 | ₩4,706 | ₩5,462 |
| 6.9% | ₩2,952 | ₩3,265 | ₩3,641 | ₩4,104 | ₩4,686 |
| 7.4% | ₩2,676 | ₩2,939 | ₩3,250 | ₩3,625 | ₩4,086 |
| 7.9% | ₩2,440 | ₩2,663 | ₩2,924 | ₩3,234 | ₩3,608 |
| 8.4% | ₩2,236 | ₩2,428 | ₩2,650 | ₩2,910 | ₩3,219 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩55B
- Enterprise value
- ₩32B
- P/E
- —
- P/B
- 0.9×
- P/S
- 0.2×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 0.0%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩1,927 | ₩1,806 | ₩2,735 | ₩3,240 | ₩13,800 |
| Market cap | ₩87B | ₩82B | ₩124B | ₩147B | ₩624B |
| P/E | — | — | — | — | 7,131.2× |
| P/B | 1.4× | 1.4× | 1.6× | 1.2× | 5.8× |
| P/S | 0.3× | 0.3× | 0.7× | 0.7× | 2.9× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 0.0% | — | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FSN | — | 0.9× | 0.2× | — | 0.0% |
| Hyundai Autoever | 50.3× | 5.1× | 2.1× | — | 0.5% |
| Krafton | 10.1× | 1.2× | 1.9× | — | 1.2% |
| NC | 7.0× | 1.2× | 2.1× | 8.4× | 0.6% |
| Netmarble | 7.0× | 0.5× | 1.0× | — | 2.6% |
| PearlAbyss | 7.9× | 2.1× | 3.0× | 5.2× | 0.0% |
| Shift UP | 8.9× | 1.8× | 7.1× | — | 0.0% |
| Similar companies (median) | 8.4× | 1.5× | 2.1× | 6.8× | 0.6% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: FSN / 214270 / KRX:214270
Source: KRX statistical information