FSN

214270 · KOSDAQ · ₩214270 · FSN

₩1,211▲ ₩19 (1.59%)End-of-day · Oct 28, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

₩3,250

vs the current price (₩1,211)

Enterprise value
₩173B
Equity value
₩147B
WACC
7.4%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Why the model and the price differ

The model is 168% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:

  • To match today's price of ₩1,211, the model needs an operating margin of 1.8% every year (it uses 3.8%).
  • Or revenue growth −13.9 points a year higher than assumed in each of the 5 years.
  • Margins ranged from −3.4% to 11.2% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.

Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
₩690
−43.0%
Base
₩3,250
+168.3%
Bull
₩7,691
+535.1%

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in

Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (3.8%).

Revenue growth

  • 9.7%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (9.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 8%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (9.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 6.4%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (9.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 4.7%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (9.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (9.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • 3.8%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 2.3%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).

  • 2.8%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • -9.3%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.11%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.

  • 0.6

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.26, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.61%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩276B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
−₩19B
− Minority interests
₩46B
Shares
45,251,636
Share price
₩1,211
Market cap
₩55B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩176B₩266B₩272B₩303B₩328B₩349B₩365B₩376B
Growth−14.8%51.3%2.5%9.7%8.0%6.4%4.7%3.0%
EBIT−₩6B₩832M₩31B₩12B₩12B₩13B₩14B₩14B
EBIT margin−3.4%0.3%11.2%3.8%3.8%3.8%3.8%3.8%
After-tax EBIT−₩4.3B₩603M₩22B₩8.4B₩9B₩9.6B₩10B₩10B
+ Depreciation———₩7B₩7.5B₩8B₩8.4B₩8.6B
− Capital spending₩1.9B₩12B₩7.6B₩8.5B₩9.2B₩9.8B₩10B₩11B
− Working capital−₩19B−₩83B₩55B−₩2.5B−₩2.3B−₩1.9B−₩1.5B−₩1B
Free cash flow———₩9.3B₩9.6B₩9.8B₩9.8B₩9.5B
Discount factor———0.9310.8670.8070.7510.700
Present value———₩8.7B₩8.4B₩7.9B₩7.3B₩6.6B

Terminal value ₩192B, worth ₩134B today: 78% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩1,343 a share)Now 0.90×₩1,3130.98×₩1,7321.29×₩3,5132.62×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
6.4%₩3,279₩3,657₩4,122₩4,706₩5,462
6.9%₩2,952₩3,265₩3,641₩4,104₩4,686
7.4%₩2,676₩2,939₩3,250₩3,625₩4,086
7.9%₩2,440₩2,663₩2,924₩3,234₩3,608
8.4%₩2,236₩2,428₩2,650₩2,910₩3,219

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩55B
Enterprise value
₩32B
P/E
—
P/B
0.9×
P/S
0.2×
EV/EBITDA
—
Dividend yield
0.0%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩1,927₩1,806₩2,735₩3,240₩13,800
Market cap₩87B₩82B₩124B₩147B₩624B
P/E————7,131.2×
P/B1.4×1.4×1.6×1.2×5.8×
P/S0.3×0.3×0.7×0.7×2.9×
EV/EBITDA—————
Dividend yield0.0%————

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
FSN—0.9×0.2×—0.0%
Hyundai Autoever50.3×5.1×2.1×—0.5%
Krafton10.1×1.2×1.9×—1.2%
NC7.0×1.2×2.1×8.4×0.6%
Netmarble7.0×0.5×1.0×—2.6%
PearlAbyss7.9×2.1×3.0×5.2×0.0%
Shift UP8.9×1.8×7.1×—0.0%
Similar companies (median)8.4×1.5×2.1×6.8×0.6%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: FSN / 214270 / KRX:214270

Source: KRX statistical information