i3system아이쓰리시스템
214430 · KOSDAQ · ₩214430 · 아이쓰리시스템
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩30,328
vs the current price (₩60,100)
- Enterprise value
- ₩168B
- Equity value
- ₩222B
- WACC
- 7.7%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 50% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩60,100, the model needs an operating margin of 20.0% every year (it uses 10.5%).
- Or revenue growth +23.9 points a year higher than assumed in each of the 5 years.
- Margins ranged from 1.8% to 13.2% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
- 31% of the last 12 months' net profit came from outside operations (stakes in other companies, interest, one-offs). The model adds those stakes at book value but doesn't project that income.
- In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.
- Today's P/E is 24.4× against a typical 28.1× over the last 10 years.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩19,727
- −67.2%
- Base
- ₩30,328
- −49.5%
- Bull
- ₩48,283
- −19.7%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (10.5%).
Revenue growth
- 14%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (14% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 11.3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (14% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 8.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (14% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 5.8%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (14% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (14% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 10.5%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 3.9%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 8.2%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 30%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.01%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-30.
- 0.68
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 104 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.52, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.51%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩133B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩53B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩741M
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- Shares
- 7,307,215
- Share price
- ₩60,100
- Market cap
- ₩439B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩122B | ₩121B | ₩124B | ₩151B | ₩168B | ₩183B | ₩193B | ₩199B |
| Growth | 45.0% | −0.7% | 3.0% | 14.0% | 11.3% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩12B | ₩15B | ₩16B | ₩16B | ₩18B | ₩19B | ₩20B | ₩21B |
| EBIT margin | 10.0% | 12.2% | 13.2% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 10.5% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩8.8B | ₩11B | ₩12B | ₩12B | ₩13B | ₩14B | ₩15B | ₩15B |
| + Depreciation | ₩4.7B | ₩5.1B | ₩4.5B | ₩5.9B | ₩6.6B | ₩7.1B | ₩7.5B | ₩7.8B |
| − Capital spending | — | ₩5.3B | ₩15B | ₩12B | ₩14B | ₩15B | ₩16B | ₩16B |
| − Working capital | ₩2.3B | ₩8.4B | ₩8.1B | ₩5.6B | ₩5.1B | ₩4.3B | ₩3.2B | ₩1.7B |
| Free cash flow | — | ₩2B | −₩6.5B | −₩562M | ₩449M | ₩1.8B | ₩3.2B | ₩4.9B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.928 | 0.861 | 0.799 | 0.742 | 0.689 |
| Present value | — | — | — | −₩522M | ₩387M | ₩1.4B | ₩2.4B | ₩3.3B |
Terminal value ₩234B, worth ₩161B today: 96% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩19,856 a share)Now 3.03× | ₩35,7791.80× | ₩58,6152.95× | ₩97,5684.91× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩2,459 a share)Now 24.4× | ₩52,62321.4× | ₩69,01828.1× | ₩111,85045.5× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.7% | ₩32,230 | ₩34,067 | ₩36,285 | ₩39,018 | ₩42,473 |
| 7.2% | ₩29,788 | ₩31,264 | ₩33,016 | ₩35,131 | ₩37,737 |
| 7.7% | ₩27,718 | ₩28,921 | ₩30,328 | ₩31,997 | ₩34,012 |
| 8.2% | ₩25,944 | ₩26,935 | ₩28,080 | ₩29,419 | ₩31,008 |
| 8.7% | ₩24,407 | ₩25,232 | ₩26,174 | ₩27,264 | ₩28,538 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩439B
- Enterprise value
- ₩386B
- P/E
- 24.4×
- P/B
- 3.0×
- P/S
- 3.3×
- EV/EBITDA
- 17.2×
- Dividend yield
- 0.0%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩76,500 | ₩45,000 | ₩31,750 | ₩18,550 | ₩19,450 |
| Market cap | ₩559B | ₩329B | ₩232B | ₩136B | ₩142B |
| P/E | 29.8× | 22.0× | 18.5× | 21.9× | 42.3× |
| P/B | 4.0× | 3.1× | 2.6× | 1.7× | 1.9× |
| P/S | 4.5× | 2.7× | 1.9× | 1.6× | 1.8× |
| EV/EBITDA | 24.4× | 14.9× | 12.8× | 12.6× | 18.9× |
| Dividend yield | 0.0% | 0.0% | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| i3system | 24.4× | 3.0× | 3.3× | 17.2× | 0.0% |
| Samsung Electro-Mechanics | 88.7× | 8.7× | 7.2× | — | 0.2% |
| Doosan | 34.5× | 4.9× | 0.6× | — | 0.4% |
| Hanwha Systems | 65.1× | 2.5× | 2.8× | — | 0.8% |
| LG Innotek | 11.6× | 1.2× | 0.3× | — | 0.6% |
| Isupetasys | 30.8× | 7.2× | 4.7× | — | 0.0% |
| Daeduck Electronics | 38.8× | 6.0× | 4.4× | — | 0.4% |
| Similar companies (median) | 36.6× | 5.5× | 3.6× | — | 0.4% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: i3system / 아이쓰리시스템 / 214430 / KRX:214430
Source: KRX statistical information