TMC티엠씨
217590 · KOSPI · ₩217590 · 티엠씨
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩2,311
vs the current price (₩10,060)
- Enterprise value
- ₩56B
- Equity value
- ₩56B
- WACC
- 8.2%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 77% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩10,060, the model needs an operating margin of 6.3% every year (it uses 1.9%).
- Or revenue growth +47.8 points a year higher than assumed in each of the 5 years.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- —
- Base
- ₩2,311
- −77.0%
- Bull
- ₩7,902
- −21.4%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (1.9%).
Revenue growth
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: not enough revenue history, so 3%.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: not enough revenue history, so 3%.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: not enough revenue history, so 3%.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: not enough revenue history, so 3%.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: not enough revenue history, so 3%.
Business
- 1.9%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 1 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 2%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 2.5%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 1 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 6.5%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 1 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.01%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-30.
- 0.76
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 45 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.64, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.51%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩341B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- ₩582M
- − Minority interests
- ₩21M
- Shares
- 24,094,225
- Share price
- ₩10,060
- Market cap
- ₩242B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩341B | ₩351B | ₩362B | ₩372B | ₩384B | ₩395B |
| Growth | — | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩6.4B | ₩6.7B | ₩6.9B | ₩7.1B | ₩7.3B | ₩7.5B |
| EBIT margin | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩4.7B | ₩4.8B | ₩5B | ₩5.1B | ₩5.3B | ₩5.4B |
| + Depreciation | — | ₩7B | ₩7.2B | ₩7.4B | ₩7.7B | ₩7.9B |
| − Capital spending | ₩8.7B | ₩8.8B | ₩9B | ₩9.3B | ₩9.6B | ₩9.9B |
| − Working capital | — | ₩665M | ₩685M | ₩705M | ₩726M | ₩748M |
| Free cash flow | — | ₩2.4B | ₩2.5B | ₩2.6B | ₩2.6B | ₩2.7B |
| Discount factor | — | 0.924 | 0.855 | 0.790 | 0.730 | 0.675 |
| Present value | — | ₩2.2B | ₩2.1B | ₩2B | ₩1.9B | ₩1.8B |
Terminal value ₩68B, worth ₩46B today: 82% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.2% | ₩2,517 | ₩2,647 | ₩2,801 | ₩2,987 | ₩3,217 |
| 7.7% | ₩2,308 | ₩2,412 | ₩2,534 | ₩2,678 | ₩2,853 |
| 8.2% | ₩2,129 | ₩2,214 | ₩2,311 | ₩2,425 | ₩2,560 |
| 8.7% | ₩1,974 | ₩2,043 | ₩2,122 | ₩2,212 | ₩2,319 |
| 9.2% | ₩1,838 | ₩1,895 | ₩1,959 | ₩2,032 | ₩2,117 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩242B
- Enterprise value
- ₩239B
- P/E
- —
- P/B
- 2.1×
- P/S
- 0.7×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 0.5%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | |
|---|---|
| Price | ₩15,130 |
| Market cap | ₩365B |
| P/E | — |
| P/B | 3.3× |
| P/S | 1.1× |
| EV/EBITDA | — |
| Dividend yield | 0.3% |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TMC | — | 2.1× | 0.7× | — | 0.5% |
| LS Electric | 57.7× | 10.5× | 3.9× | 35.7× | 0.0% |
| Hyosung Heavy Industries | 28.8× | 6.5× | 2.6× | — | 0.4% |
| HD Hyundai Electric | 18.0× | 6.8× | 3.5× | — | 0.0% |
| Gaon Cable | 105.6× | 12.8× | 2.3× | 55.0× | 0.0% |
| Sanil Electric | 24.9× | 6.8× | 7.6× | — | 0.9% |
| Taihan Cable & Solution | — | 2.1× | 0.9× | — | 0.0% |
| Similar companies (median) | 28.8× | 6.8× | 3.1× | 45.4× | 0.0% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: TMC / 티엠씨 / 217590 / KRX:217590
Source: KRX statistical information