Pharmaresearch Bio파마리서치바이오
217950 · KONEX · ₩217950 · 파마리서치바이오
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩48,755
vs the current price (₩29,250)
- Enterprise value
- ₩195B
- Equity value
- ₩204B
- WACC
- 7.3%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 67% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩29,250, the model needs an operating margin of 22.1% every year (it uses 33.3%).
- Or revenue growth −12.3 points a year higher than assumed in each of the 5 years.
- Margins ranged from 20.1% to 44.2% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
- Today's P/E is 9.9× against a typical 15.2× over the last 10 years.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩33,720
- +15.3%
- Base
- ₩48,755
- +66.7%
- Bull
- ₩72,954
- +149.4%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (33.3%).
Revenue growth
- 25%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (35.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 19.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (35.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 14%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (35.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 8.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (35.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (35.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 33.3%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 39.3%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 49.1%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- -10%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.01%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-30.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.02, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.51%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (FY 2025)
- ₩31B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩9.2B
- Shares
- 4,183,240
- Share price
- ₩29,250
- Market cap
- ₩122B
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩20B | ₩26B | ₩31B | ₩39B | ₩46B | ₩53B | ₩57B | ₩59B |
| Growth | 60.2% | 30.3% | 19.1% | 25.0% | 19.5% | 14.0% | 8.5% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩6.2B | ₩8.7B | ₩14B | ₩13B | ₩15B | ₩18B | ₩19B | ₩20B |
| EBIT margin | 31.1% | 33.2% | 44.2% | 33.3% | 33.3% | 33.3% | 33.3% | 33.3% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩4.5B | ₩6.3B | ₩10B | ₩9.4B | ₩11B | ₩13B | ₩14B | ₩14B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩15B | ₩18B | ₩21B | ₩23B | ₩23B |
| − Capital spending | ₩5.6B | ₩19B | ₩15B | ₩19B | ₩23B | ₩26B | ₩28B | ₩29B |
| − Working capital | ₩9.5B | −₩4.5B | ₩1.2B | −₩777M | −₩758M | −₩650M | −₩450M | −₩172M |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | ₩6.4B | ₩7.4B | ₩8.2B | ₩8.7B | ₩8.7B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.932 | 0.868 | 0.809 | 0.754 | 0.703 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩5.9B | ₩6.4B | ₩6.7B | ₩6.6B | ₩6.1B |
Terminal value ₩232B, worth ₩163B today: 84% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩13,774 a share)Now 2.12× | ₩31,9002.32× | ₩53,3333.87× | ₩118,8508.63× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩2,947 a share)Now 9.92× | ₩31,90010.8× | ₩44,70115.2× | ₩180,62561.3× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2022, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.3% | ₩50,242 | ₩54,758 | ₩60,324 | ₩67,353 | ₩76,509 |
| 6.8% | ₩45,813 | ₩49,491 | ₩53,934 | ₩59,409 | ₩66,324 |
| 7.3% | ₩42,094 | ₩45,137 | ₩48,755 | ₩53,126 | ₩58,513 |
| 7.8% | ₩38,926 | ₩41,480 | ₩44,475 | ₩48,034 | ₩52,336 |
| 8.3% | ₩36,198 | ₩38,366 | ₩40,879 | ₩43,826 | ₩47,329 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩122B
- Enterprise value
- ₩113B
- P/E
- 9.9×
- P/B
- 2.1×
- P/S
- 3.9×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 0.0%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩31,600 | ₩29,500 | ₩20,100 | ₩26,900 | ₩39,899 |
| Market cap | ₩132B | ₩123B | ₩84B | ₩113B | ₩167B |
| P/E | 10.7× | 12.1× | 36.4× | 15.2× | 72.2× |
| P/B | 2.3× | 2.9× | 2.4× | 5.1× | 11.9× |
| P/S | 4.3× | 4.7× | 4.2× | 9.0× | 15.8× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 0.0% | — | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pharmaresearch Bio | 9.9× | 2.1× | 3.9× | — | 0.0% |
| Samsung Biologics | 34.7× | 8.2× | 15.1× | — | 0.0% |
| Celltrion | 28.2× | 2.5× | 9.1× | — | 0.0% |
| Alteogen | 76.3× | 27.5× | 58.0× | — | 0.1% |
| SK biopharmaceuticals | 15.2× | 6.0× | 7.1× | — | 0.0% |
| Yuhan | 23.3× | 2.3× | 2.4× | 30.4× | 0.8% |
| HLB | — | 15.5× | 54.7× | — | 0.0% |
| Similar companies (median) | 28.2× | 7.1× | 12.1× | 30.4× | 0.0% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Pharmaresearch Bio / 파마리서치바이오 / 217950 / KRX:217950
Source: KRX statistical information