Polaris AI Handy폴라리스AI핸디
220180 · KOSDAQ · ₩220180 · 폴라리스AI핸디
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩1,502
vs the current price (₩1,295)
- Enterprise value
- −₩10B
- Equity value
- ₩36B
- WACC
- 7.4%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩1,420
- +9.6%
- Base
- ₩1,502
- +16.0%
- Bull
- ₩1,742
- +34.5%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (−1.4%).
Revenue growth
- -1.7%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-1.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -0.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-1.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 0.6%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-1.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 1.8%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-1.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-1.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- -1.4%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 0.5%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 0.6%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 40%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.11%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.1, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.61%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩33B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩46B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩636M
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- − Minority interests
- ₩208M
- Shares
- 23,930,842
- Share price
- ₩1,295
- Market cap
- ₩31B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩26B | ₩28B | ₩31B | ₩32B | ₩32B | ₩32B | ₩33B | ₩34B |
| Growth | −21.1% | 8.6% | 10.8% | −1.7% | −0.5% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | −₩967M | −₩2B | −₩481M | −₩452M | −₩450M | −₩453M | −₩461M | −₩474M |
| EBIT margin | −3.7% | −7.0% | −1.5% | −1.4% | −1.4% | −1.4% | −1.4% | −1.4% |
| After-tax EBIT | −₩701M | −₩1.4B | −₩349M | −₩328M | −₩326M | −₩328M | −₩334M | −₩344M |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩161M | ₩161M | ₩162M | ₩165M | ₩169M |
| − Capital spending | ₩144M | ₩58M | ₩330M | ₩194M | ₩193M | ₩194M | ₩197M | ₩203M |
| − Working capital | ₩38B | −₩24B | −₩14B | −₩223M | −₩65M | ₩77M | ₩233M | ₩395M |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | −₩137M | −₩294M | −₩437M | −₩600M | −₩773M |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.931 | 0.867 | 0.807 | 0.751 | 0.700 |
| Present value | — | — | — | −₩127M | −₩255M | −₩353M | −₩451M | −₩541M |
Terminal value −₩12B, worth −₩8.3B today: 83% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩3,167 a share)Now 0.41× | ₩1,8560.59× | ₩3,5671.13× | ₩4,7711.51× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩113 a share)Now 11.4× | ₩1,87316.6× | ₩3,01026.6× | ₩9,01179.7× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.4% | ₩1,564 | ₩1,490 | ₩1,400 | ₩1,286 | ₩1,137 |
| 6.9% | ₩1,595 | ₩1,532 | ₩1,456 | ₩1,362 | ₩1,244 |
| 7.4% | ₩1,621 | ₩1,567 | ₩1,502 | ₩1,423 | ₩1,326 |
| 7.9% | ₩1,644 | ₩1,596 | ₩1,540 | ₩1,473 | ₩1,391 |
| 8.4% | ₩1,664 | ₩1,621 | ₩1,572 | ₩1,514 | ₩1,445 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩31B
- Enterprise value
- −₩15B
- P/E
- 11.4×
- P/B
- 0.4×
- P/S
- 0.9×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 0.0%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩2,005 | ₩2,790 | ₩3,165 | ₩3,020 | ₩3,675 |
| Market cap | ₩48B | ₩67B | ₩76B | ₩72B | ₩88B |
| P/E | 58.8× | 111.7× | 44.4× | 559.5× | 24.6× |
| P/B | 0.6× | 1.0× | 1.1× | 1.1× | 1.4× |
| P/S | 1.5× | 2.4× | 2.9× | 2.2× | 5.2× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 0.0% | — | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polaris AI Handy | 11.4× | 0.4× | 0.9× | — | 0.0% |
| Hyundai Autoever | 50.3× | 5.1× | 2.1× | — | 0.5% |
| Krafton | 10.1× | 1.2× | 1.9× | — | 1.2% |
| NC | 7.0× | 1.2× | 2.1× | 8.4× | 0.6% |
| Netmarble | 7.0× | 0.5× | 1.0× | — | 2.6% |
| PearlAbyss | 7.9× | 2.1× | 3.0× | 5.2× | 0.0% |
| Shift UP | 8.9× | 1.8× | 7.1× | — | 0.0% |
| Similar companies (median) | 8.4× | 1.5× | 2.1× | 6.8× | 0.6% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Polaris AI Handy / 폴라리스AI핸디 / 220180 / KRX:220180
Source: KRX statistical information