SFA Nexel

222080 · KOSDAQ · ₩222080 · SFA넥셀

₩7,460▲ ₩210 (2.90%)End-of-day · Oct 28, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

₩7,643

vs the current price (₩7,460)

Enterprise value
₩442B
Equity value
₩594B
WACC
8.3%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
₩5,113
−31.5%
Base
₩7,643
+2.5%
Bull
₩11,779
+57.9%

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

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Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (10.8%).

Revenue growth

  • 25%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (37.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 19.5%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (37.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 14%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (37.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 8.5%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (37.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (37.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • 10.8%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 0.8%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 4%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 33.3%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.11%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.

  • 0.76

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.64, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.61%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩292B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
−₩152B
+ Stakes and investments
₩5.5M
Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
Shares
77,780,144
Share price
₩7,460
Market cap
₩580B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩308B₩508B₩406B₩365B₩436B₩497B₩539B₩555B
Growth95.7%65.2%−20.1%25.0%19.5%14.0%8.5%3.0%
EBIT₩40B₩60B₩34B₩39B₩47B₩54B₩58B₩60B
EBIT margin13.2%11.7%8.2%10.8%10.8%10.8%10.8%10.8%
After-tax EBIT₩29B₩43B₩24B₩29B₩34B₩39B₩42B₩43B
+ Depreciation₩1.4B₩2.5B₩6.2B₩2.9B₩3.5B₩4B₩4.3B₩4.4B
− Capital spending₩11B₩37B₩5.2B₩15B₩17B₩20B₩22B₩22B
− Working capital₩109B₩87B−₩47B₩24B₩24B₩20B₩14B₩5.4B
Free cash flow−₩90B−₩78B₩72B−₩7.4B−₩3.5B₩2.7B₩11B₩20B
Discount factor———0.9230.8530.7880.7270.672
Present value———−₩6.8B−₩3B₩2.1B₩7.9B₩14B

Terminal value ₩638B, worth ₩428B today: 97% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩6,857 a share)Now 1.09×₩7,5621.10×₩21,2543.10×₩68,61010.0×
Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩651 a share)Now 11.5×₩6,2639.62×₩12,86619.8×₩48,29574.2×
P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩373 a share)Now 20.0×₩3,5919.62×₩7,37719.8×₩27,68974.2×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
7.3%₩8,128₩8,530₩9,007₩9,581₩10,288
7.8%₩7,554₩7,882₩8,265₩8,718₩9,264
8.3%₩7,062₩7,332₩7,643₩8,007₩8,438
8.8%₩6,636₩6,860₩7,116₩7,412₩7,757
9.3%₩6,263₩6,451₩6,664₩6,907₩7,187

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩580B
Enterprise value
₩427B
P/E
11.5×
P/B
1.1×
P/S
2.0×
EV/EBITDA
11.8×
Dividend yield
0.0%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩6,650₩7,400₩11,000₩9,000₩14,400
Market cap₩517B₩576B₩856B₩700B₩1.1T
P/E18.0×10.2×29.6×46.5×—
P/B1.0×1.2×3.3×5.1×9.8×
P/S1.3×1.1×2.8×4.5×8.4×
EV/EBITDA7.9×7.2×19.2×67.0×63.9×
Dividend yield0.0%————

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
SFA Nexel11.5×1.1×2.0×11.8×0.0%
Doosan Enerbility217.2×4.8×2.2×—0.0%
Hanmi Semiconductor87.4×26.0×35.2×78.7×0.4%
Jusung Engineering1,189.7×14.6×38.2×2,291.7×0.0%
Rainbow Robotics4,610.6×59.1×174.0×—0.0%
EO Technics47.5×6.9×11.6×—0.0%
Wonik IPS28.2×4.5×5.3×42.7×0.2%
Similar companies (median)152.3×10.7×23.4×78.7×0.0%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: SFA Nexel / SFA넥셀 / 222080 / KRX:222080

Source: KRX statistical information