The Codi

224060 · KOSDAQ · ₩224060 · 더코디

₩3,225▲ ₩450 (16.22%)End-of-day · Oct 28, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
Trade
Alert me

Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

With these assumptions the model gives no positive value.

Enterprise value
−₩155B
Equity value
−₩209B
WACC
4.9%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Why the model and the price differ

The model gives no positive value at these assumptions. What we can see:

  • To match today's price of ₩3,225, the model needs an operating margin of 13.1% every year (it uses −20.0%).
  • Margins ranged from −51.5% to −3.3% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
  • 100% of the last 12 months' net profit came from outside operations (stakes in other companies, interest, one-offs). The model adds those stakes at book value but doesn't project that income.
  • In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.

Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
—
Base
—
Bull
—

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in

Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (−20.0%).

Revenue growth

  • 7.9%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (7.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 6.7%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (7.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 5.5%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (7.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 4.2%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (7.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (7.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • -20%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 9%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).

  • 11.3%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 40%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.11%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.

  • 0.63

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.45, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.61%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩23B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
₩54B
+ Stakes and investments
₩578M
Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
Shares
5,160,722
Share price
₩3,225
Market cap
₩17B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩20B₩34B₩25B₩25B₩26B₩28B₩29B₩30B
Growth0.5%65.8%−24.6%7.9%6.7%5.5%4.2%3.0%
EBIT−₩10B−₩3.7B−₩831M−₩4.9B−₩5.2B−₩5.5B−₩5.8B−₩5.9B
EBIT margin−51.5%−11.1%−3.3%−20.0%−20.0%−20.0%−20.0%−20.0%
After-tax EBIT−₩7.5B−₩2.7B−₩602M−₩3.6B−₩3.8B−₩4B−₩4.2B−₩4.3B
+ Depreciation———₩2.2B₩2.4B₩2.5B₩2.6B₩2.7B
− Capital spending₩5.3B₩487M₩1.6B₩2.8B₩3B₩3.1B₩3.3B₩3.3B
− Working capital−₩8.8B−₩19B−₩6.8B₩718M₩657M₩576M₩464M₩345M
Free cash flow———−₩4.8B−₩5.1B−₩5.2B−₩5.3B−₩5.3B
Discount factor———0.9530.9090.8660.8260.787
Present value———−₩4.6B−₩4.6B−₩4.5B−₩4.4B−₩4.2B

Terminal value −₩169B, worth −₩133B today: 86% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩22,834 a share)Now 0.14×₩5,8080.25×₩13,6290.60×₩38,1411.67×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
3.9%—————
4.4%—————
4.9%—————
5.4%—————
5.9%—————

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩17B
Enterprise value
₩70B
P/E
0.6×
P/B
0.1×
P/S
0.7×
EV/EBITDA
—
Dividend yield
0.0%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩2,550₩4,000₩6,250₩9,470₩23,322
Market cap₩13B₩21B₩32B₩49B₩120B
P/E0.5×————
P/B0.1×0.5×0.7×1.0×2.2×
P/S0.5×0.6×1.6×2.4×2.7×
EV/EBITDA—————
Dividend yield0.0%————

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
The Codi0.6×0.1×0.7×—0.0%
Samsung Electro-Mechanics96.8×9.5×7.8×—0.2%
Doosan39.2×5.5×0.7×—0.4%
Hanwha Systems71.2×2.8×3.0×—0.8%
LG Innotek13.1×1.4×0.4×—0.5%
Isupetasys35.4×8.3×5.4×—0.0%
Daeduck Electronics44.8×7.0×5.0×—0.4%
Similar companies (median)42.0×6.3×4.0×—0.4%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: The Codi / 더코디 / 224060 / KRX:224060

Source: KRX statistical information