LS Eco EnergyLS에코에너지
229640 · KOSPI · ₩229640 · LS에코에너지
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
This is a holding company, but we don't have its stakes in listed companies yet, so we use a discounted cash flow for now.
Fair value per share
₩22,790
vs the current price (₩54,700)
- Enterprise value
- ₩643B
- Equity value
- ₩698B
- WACC
- 8.3%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 58% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩54,700, the model needs an operating margin of 11.7% every year (it uses 4.9%).
- Or revenue growth +26.6 points a year higher than assumed in each of the 5 years.
- Today's P/E is 37.8× against a typical 30.0× over the last 10 years.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩10,959
- −80.0%
- Base
- ₩22,790
- −58.3%
- Bull
- ₩42,574
- −22.2%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Start from
Preliminary results are the company's early announcement of a quarter's sales and operating profit, before the full report. Including them swaps that quarter in for the same quarter a year earlier.
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (4.9%).
Revenue growth
- 5.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (5.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 4.8%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (5.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 4.2%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (5.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3.6%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (5.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (5.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 4.9%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 0.2%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 0.3%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 11.2%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.08%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-29.
- 0.77
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.66, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.58%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩1.1T
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩72B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩12M
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- − Minority interests
- ₩17B
- Shares
- 30,624,879
- Share price
- ₩54,700
- Market cap
- ₩1.7T
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩731B | ₩869B | ₩960B | ₩1.2T | ₩1.2T | ₩1.3T | ₩1.3T | ₩1.4T |
| Growth | −10.7% | 18.9% | 10.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩29B | ₩45B | ₩67B | ₩58B | ₩61B | ₩63B | ₩65B | ₩67B |
| EBIT margin | 4.0% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩21B | ₩32B | ₩48B | ₩42B | ₩44B | ₩46B | ₩47B | ₩49B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩2.4B | ₩2.5B | ₩2.6B | ₩2.7B | ₩2.7B |
| − Capital spending | ₩3.5B | ₩1.8B | ₩2.1B | ₩3.5B | ₩3.7B | ₩3.9B | ₩4B | ₩4.1B |
| − Working capital | −₩181B | ₩29B | ₩135B | ₩6.9B | ₩6.3B | ₩5.8B | ₩5.2B | ₩4.5B |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | ₩34B | ₩36B | ₩39B | ₩41B | ₩43B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.923 | 0.852 | 0.787 | 0.726 | 0.671 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩31B | ₩31B | ₩30B | ₩30B | ₩29B |
Terminal value ₩734B, worth ₩492B today: 77% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩8,202 a share)Now 6.67× | ₩11,6211.42× | ₩35,2674.30× | ₩58,3277.11× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩1,447 a share)Now 37.8× | ₩23,59416.3× | ₩43,42930.0× | ₩70,71248.9× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (preliminary Q3 2026 × 4: ₩1,613 a share)Now 33.9× | ₩26,31416.3× | ₩48,43730.0× | ₩78,86648.9× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.3% | ₩24,090 | ₩25,356 | ₩26,857 | ₩28,667 | ₩30,891 |
| 7.8% | ₩22,389 | ₩23,430 | ₩24,648 | ₩26,092 | ₩27,831 |
| 8.3% | ₩20,922 | ₩21,789 | ₩22,790 | ₩23,960 | ₩25,348 |
| 8.8% | ₩19,644 | ₩20,372 | ₩21,205 | ₩22,167 | ₩23,292 |
| 9.3% | ₩18,521 | ₩19,138 | ₩19,838 | ₩20,638 | ₩21,562 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩1.7T
- Enterprise value
- ₩1.6T
- P/E
- 37.8×
- P/B
- 6.7×
- P/S
- 1.5×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 0.5%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩34,550 | ₩31,000 | ₩20,900 | ₩7,290 | ₩7,930 |
| Market cap | ₩1.1T | ₩949B | ₩640B | ₩223B | ₩243B |
| P/E | 25.2× | 30.4× | 155.0× | — | 16.5× |
| P/B | 5.1× | 5.2× | 4.4× | 1.5× | 1.6× |
| P/S | 1.1× | 1.1× | 0.9× | 0.3× | 0.3× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 0.7% | 0.6% | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LS Eco Energy | 37.8× | 6.7× | 1.5× | — | 0.5% |
| SK Square | 3.7× | 2.2× | 98.7× | 3.6× | 0.0% |
| KB Financial Group | 8.7× | 0.9× | — | 9.5× | 2.8% |
| Shinhan Financial Group | 7.7× | 0.7× | — | 10.1× | 2.9% |
| SK | 4.9× | 1.1× | 0.3× | — | 1.5% |
| Hana Financial Group | 7.6× | 0.7× | — | 9.9× | 3.6% |
| Woori Financial Group | 6.9× | 0.6× | — | 8.3× | 4.5% |
| Similar companies (median) | 7.3× | 0.8× | 49.5× | 9.5× | 2.9% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: LS Eco Energy / LS에코에너지 / 229640 / KRX:229640
Source: KRX statistical information