Synic Solution싸이닉솔루션
234030 · KOSDAQ · ₩234030 · 싸이닉솔루션
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩1,817
vs the current price (₩2,760)
- Enterprise value
- ₩22B
- Equity value
- ₩43B
- WACC
- 8.1%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩443
- −84.0%
- Base
- ₩1,817
- −34.2%
- Bull
- ₩4,301
- +55.8%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (1.6%).
Revenue growth
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: not enough revenue history, so 3%.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: not enough revenue history, so 3%.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: not enough revenue history, so 3%.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: not enough revenue history, so 3%.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: not enough revenue history, so 3%.
Business
- 1.6%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 1 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 0%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 0%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 1 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 15.3%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 1 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.08%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-29.
- 0.73
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 68 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.59, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.58%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩155B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩21B
- Shares
- 23,605,000
- Share price
- ₩2,760
- Market cap
- ₩65B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩155B | ₩159B | ₩164B | ₩169B | ₩174B | ₩179B |
| Growth | — | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩2.5B | ₩2.5B | ₩2.6B | ₩2.7B | ₩2.8B | ₩2.9B |
| EBIT margin | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩1.8B | ₩1.8B | ₩1.9B | ₩2B | ₩2B | ₩2.1B |
| + Depreciation | — | ₩0 | ₩0 | ₩0 | ₩0 | ₩0 |
| − Capital spending | ₩42M | ₩0 | ₩0 | ₩0 | ₩0 | ₩0 |
| − Working capital | — | ₩709M | ₩731M | ₩753M | ₩775M | ₩798M |
| Free cash flow | — | ₩1.1B | ₩1.2B | ₩1.2B | ₩1.2B | ₩1.3B |
| Discount factor | — | 0.925 | 0.856 | 0.792 | 0.732 | 0.678 |
| Present value | — | ₩1.1B | ₩1B | ₩955M | ₩910M | ₩867M |
Terminal value ₩26B, worth ₩17B today: 78% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.1% | ₩1,987 | ₩1,997 | ₩2,009 | ₩2,022 | ₩2,037 |
| 7.6% | ₩1,896 | ₩1,900 | ₩1,904 | ₩1,908 | ₩1,912 |
| 8.1% | ₩1,819 | ₩1,819 | ₩1,817 | ₩1,815 | ₩1,811 |
| 8.6% | ₩1,752 | ₩1,748 | ₩1,743 | ₩1,736 | ₩1,728 |
| 9.1% | ₩1,694 | ₩1,687 | ₩1,680 | ₩1,670 | ₩1,658 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩65B
- Enterprise value
- ₩44B
- P/E
- 37.7×
- P/B
- 1.7×
- P/S
- 0.4×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 0.0%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | |
|---|---|
| Price | ₩8,850 |
| Market cap | ₩209B |
| P/E | 121.0× |
| P/B | 5.7× |
| P/S | 1.4× |
| EV/EBITDA | — |
| Dividend yield | 0.0% |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Synic Solution | 37.7× | 1.7× | 0.4× | — | 0.0% |
| SK hynix | 6.9× | 4.2× | 5.9× | — | 0.2% |
| DB HiTek | 12.5× | 1.8× | 2.8× | — | 0.8% |
| Fadu | — | 39.2× | 13.7× | — | 0.0% |
| Hana Micron | 14.4× | 4.5× | 1.2× | — | 0.2% |
| Jeju Semiconductor | 10.5× | 5.4× | 3.6× | — | 0.0% |
| SFA Semicon | — | 3.0× | 3.2× | — | 0.0% |
| Similar companies (median) | 11.5× | 4.4× | 3.4× | — | 0.1% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Synic Solution / 싸이닉솔루션 / 234030 / KRX:234030
Source: KRX statistical information