Suprema슈프리마
236200 · KOSDAQ · ₩236200 · 슈프리마
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩99,103
vs the current price (₩55,000)
- Enterprise value
- ₩558B
- Equity value
- ₩691B
- WACC
- 7.3%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 80% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩55,000, the model needs an operating margin of 11.0% every year (it uses 21.9%).
- Or revenue growth −19.8 points a year higher than assumed in each of the 5 years.
- 52% of the last 12 months' net profit came from outside operations (stakes in other companies, interest, one-offs). The model adds those stakes at book value but doesn't project that income.
- The group includes a financial business (an insurer, bank or broker), whose investments and minority shareholders are left out here. A sum-of-the-parts view usually fits groups like this better.
- Today's P/E is 7.3× against a typical 7.5× over the last 10 years.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩72,618
- +32.0%
- Base
- ₩99,103
- +80.2%
- Bull
- ₩142,523
- +159.1%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (21.9%).
Revenue growth
- 15.4%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (15.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 12.3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (15.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 9.2%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (15.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 6.1%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (15.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (15.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 21.9%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 4.4%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 5.6%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 26.9%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.03%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-27.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.09, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.53%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩147B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩133B
- Shares
- 6,974,311
- Share price
- ₩55,000
- Market cap
- ₩384B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩95B | ₩108B | ₩137B | ₩170B | ₩191B | ₩209B | ₩221B | ₩228B |
| Growth | 5.9% | 14.4% | 26.9% | 15.4% | 12.3% | 9.2% | 6.1% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩17B | ₩23B | ₩33B | ₩37B | ₩42B | ₩46B | ₩48B | ₩50B |
| EBIT margin | 17.6% | 21.5% | 23.8% | 21.9% | 21.9% | 21.9% | 21.9% | 21.9% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩12B | ₩17B | ₩24B | ₩27B | ₩30B | ₩33B | ₩35B | ₩36B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩7.5B | ₩8.4B | ₩9.2B | ₩9.7B | ₩10B |
| − Capital spending | ₩4.1B | ₩5.4B | ₩10B | ₩9.5B | ₩11B | ₩12B | ₩12B | ₩13B |
| − Working capital | −₩29B | −₩16B | −₩1.2B | ₩6.1B | ₩5.6B | ₩4.7B | ₩3.4B | ₩1.8B |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | ₩19B | ₩22B | ₩26B | ₩29B | ₩32B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.932 | 0.868 | 0.809 | 0.753 | 0.702 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩18B | ₩19B | ₩21B | ₩22B | ₩22B |
Terminal value ₩650B, worth ₩456B today: 82% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩42,389 a share)Now 1.30× | ₩32,5400.77× | ₩39,4200.93× | ₩50,0381.18× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩7,515 a share)Now 7.32× | ₩46,4596.18× | ₩56,7007.55× | ₩77,18210.3× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩10,821 a share)Now 5.08× | ₩66,9016.18× | ₩81,6487.55× | ₩111,14210.3× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.3% | ₩103,225 | ₩110,074 | ₩118,496 | ₩129,108 | ₩142,895 |
| 6.8% | ₩95,616 | ₩101,136 | ₩107,792 | ₩115,977 | ₩126,289 |
| 7.3% | ₩89,216 | ₩93,738 | ₩99,103 | ₩105,571 | ₩113,525 |
| 7.8% | ₩83,760 | ₩87,515 | ₩91,910 | ₩97,123 | ₩103,409 |
| 8.3% | ₩79,054 | ₩82,210 | ₩85,860 | ₩90,130 | ₩95,196 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩384B
- Enterprise value
- ₩251B
- P/E
- 7.3×
- P/B
- 1.3×
- P/S
- 2.6×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 0.0%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩39,100 | ₩24,350 | ₩20,850 | ₩21,650 | ₩24,950 |
| Market cap | ₩273B | ₩170B | ₩145B | ₩151B | ₩174B |
| P/E | 8.4× | 5.2× | 6.3× | 8.5× | 7.7× |
| P/B | 1.0× | 0.7× | 0.7× | 0.8× | 1.0× |
| P/S | 2.0× | 1.6× | 1.5× | 1.7× | 2.4× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 0.0% | — | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Suprema | 7.3× | 1.3× | 2.6× | — | 0.0% |
| Samsung Electronics | 8.7× | 2.3× | 2.7× | — | 0.8% |
| LG Electronics | 24.7× | 1.0× | 0.3× | — | 0.9% |
| Hanwha Vision | 16.4× | 2.1× | 1.0× | — | 0.0% |
| RFHIC | 37.6× | 3.4× | 6.1× | — | 0.9% |
| KMW | — | 4.9× | 8.1× | — | 0.0% |
| Intellian Technologies | 12.9× | 2.0× | 1.6× | — | 0.4% |
| Similar companies (median) | 16.4× | 2.2× | 2.1× | — | 0.6% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Suprema / 슈프리마 / 236200 / KRX:236200
Source: KRX statistical information