Suprema

236200 · KOSDAQ · ₩236200 · 슈프리마

₩55,000▲ ₩2,100 (3.97%)End-of-day · Oct 27, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

₩99,103

vs the current price (₩55,000)

Enterprise value
₩558B
Equity value
₩691B
WACC
7.3%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Why the model and the price differ

The model is 80% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:

  • To match today's price of ₩55,000, the model needs an operating margin of 11.0% every year (it uses 21.9%).
  • Or revenue growth −19.8 points a year higher than assumed in each of the 5 years.
  • 52% of the last 12 months' net profit came from outside operations (stakes in other companies, interest, one-offs). The model adds those stakes at book value but doesn't project that income.
  • The group includes a financial business (an insurer, bank or broker), whose investments and minority shareholders are left out here. A sum-of-the-parts view usually fits groups like this better.
  • Today's P/E is 7.3× against a typical 7.5× over the last 10 years.

Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
₩72,618
+32.0%
Base
₩99,103
+80.2%
Bull
₩142,523
+159.1%

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in

Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (21.9%).

Revenue growth

  • 15.4%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (15.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 12.3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (15.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 9.2%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (15.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 6.1%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (15.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (15.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • 21.9%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 4.4%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).

  • 5.6%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 26.9%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.03%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-27.

  • 0.6

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.09, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.53%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩147B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
−₩133B
Shares
6,974,311
Share price
₩55,000
Market cap
₩384B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩95B₩108B₩137B₩170B₩191B₩209B₩221B₩228B
Growth5.9%14.4%26.9%15.4%12.3%9.2%6.1%3.0%
EBIT₩17B₩23B₩33B₩37B₩42B₩46B₩48B₩50B
EBIT margin17.6%21.5%23.8%21.9%21.9%21.9%21.9%21.9%
After-tax EBIT₩12B₩17B₩24B₩27B₩30B₩33B₩35B₩36B
+ Depreciation———₩7.5B₩8.4B₩9.2B₩9.7B₩10B
− Capital spending₩4.1B₩5.4B₩10B₩9.5B₩11B₩12B₩12B₩13B
− Working capital−₩29B−₩16B−₩1.2B₩6.1B₩5.6B₩4.7B₩3.4B₩1.8B
Free cash flow———₩19B₩22B₩26B₩29B₩32B
Discount factor———0.9320.8680.8090.7530.702
Present value———₩18B₩19B₩21B₩22B₩22B

Terminal value ₩650B, worth ₩456B today: 82% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩42,389 a share)Now 1.30×₩32,5400.77×₩39,4200.93×₩50,0381.18×
Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩7,515 a share)Now 7.32×₩46,4596.18×₩56,7007.55×₩77,18210.3×
P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩10,821 a share)Now 5.08×₩66,9016.18×₩81,6487.55×₩111,14210.3×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
6.3%₩103,225₩110,074₩118,496₩129,108₩142,895
6.8%₩95,616₩101,136₩107,792₩115,977₩126,289
7.3%₩89,216₩93,738₩99,103₩105,571₩113,525
7.8%₩83,760₩87,515₩91,910₩97,123₩103,409
8.3%₩79,054₩82,210₩85,860₩90,130₩95,196

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩384B
Enterprise value
₩251B
P/E
7.3×
P/B
1.3×
P/S
2.6×
EV/EBITDA
—
Dividend yield
0.0%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩39,100₩24,350₩20,850₩21,650₩24,950
Market cap₩273B₩170B₩145B₩151B₩174B
P/E8.4×5.2×6.3×8.5×7.7×
P/B1.0×0.7×0.7×0.8×1.0×
P/S2.0×1.6×1.5×1.7×2.4×
EV/EBITDA—————
Dividend yield0.0%————

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
Suprema7.3×1.3×2.6×—0.0%
Samsung Electronics8.7×2.3×2.7×—0.8%
LG Electronics24.7×1.0×0.3×—0.9%
Hanwha Vision16.4×2.1×1.0×—0.0%
RFHIC37.6×3.4×6.1×—0.9%
KMW—4.9×8.1×—0.0%
Intellian Technologies12.9×2.0×1.6×—0.4%
Similar companies (median)16.4×2.2×2.1×—0.6%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: Suprema / 슈프리마 / 236200 / KRX:236200

Source: KRX statistical information