Bifido

238200 · KOSDAQ · ₩238200 · 비피도

₩2,470▲ ₩85 (3.56%)End-of-day · Oct 28, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

With these assumptions the model gives no positive value.

Enterprise value
−₩24B
Equity value
−₩21B
WACC
7.0%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Why the model and the price differ

The model gives no positive value at these assumptions. What we can see:

  • To match today's price of ₩2,470, the model needs an operating margin of 12.8% every year (it uses −2.5%).
  • Margins ranged from −36.4% to 8.7% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
  • 100% of the last 12 months' net profit came from outside operations (stakes in other companies, interest, one-offs). The model adds those stakes at book value but doesn't project that income.
  • In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.

Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
—
Base
—
Bull
—

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in

Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (−2.5%).

Revenue growth

  • 10.5%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (10.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 8.6%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (10.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 6.8%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (10.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 4.9%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (10.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (10.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • -2.5%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 27.8%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).

  • 34.8%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 40%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.08%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-29.

  • 0.6

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.19, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.58%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩15B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
₩2.6B
+ Stakes and investments
₩6.3B
Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
Shares
8,180,000
Share price
₩2,470
Market cap
₩20B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩19B₩12B₩20B₩16B₩18B₩19B₩20B₩20B
Growth27.8%−33.7%59.3%10.5%8.6%6.8%4.9%3.0%
EBIT−₩344M−₩4.5B₩1.4B−₩404M−₩439M−₩469M−₩492M−₩507M
EBIT margin−1.8%−36.4%7.1%−2.5%−2.5%−2.5%−2.5%−2.5%
After-tax EBIT−₩249M−₩3.3B₩1B−₩293M−₩318M−₩340M−₩357M−₩367M
+ Depreciation———₩4.5B₩4.9B₩5.2B₩5.5B₩5.6B
− Capital spending₩3.3B₩6.1B₩7.2B₩5.6B₩6.1B₩6.5B₩6.8B₩7.1B
− Working capital−₩32B₩27B₩10B₩614M₩556M₩478M₩368M₩236M
Free cash flow———−₩2B−₩2.1B−₩2.1B−₩2.1B−₩2B
Discount factor———0.9350.8730.8160.7630.713
Present value———−₩1.9B−₩1.8B−₩1.7B−₩1.6B−₩1.4B

Terminal value −₩22B, worth −₩16B today: 65% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩5,982 a share)Now 0.41×₩3,0260.51×₩4,6470.78×₩8,2481.38×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
6.0%—————
6.5%—————
7.0%—————
7.5%—————
8.0%—————

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩20B
Enterprise value
₩23B
P/E
10.9×
P/B
0.4×
P/S
1.4×
EV/EBITDA
—
Dividend yield
0.0%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩3,065₩2,945₩5,370₩8,500₩10,900
Market cap₩25B₩24B₩44B₩70B₩89B
P/E——40.6×45.0×19.8×
P/B0.5×0.5×0.8×1.3×1.8×
P/S1.3×2.0×2.4×4.8×7.4×
EV/EBITDA—————
Dividend yield0.0%————

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
Bifido10.9×0.4×1.4×—0.0%
Samyang Foods18.4×5.9×3.3×—0.4%
Orion10.5×1.1×1.2×5.3×3.1%
CJ Cheiljedang—0.3×0.1×—3.5%
Nongshim12.0×0.8×0.7×—1.5%
Otoki16.9×0.6×0.3×—2.9%
Hite Jinro23.0×0.9×0.4×6.3×4.5%
Similar companies (median)16.9×0.9×0.5×5.8×3.0%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: Bifido / 비피도 / 238200 / KRX:238200

Source: KRX statistical information