Wonik IPS원익IPS
240810 · KOSDAQ · ₩240810 · 원익IPS
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩16,729
vs the current price (₩95,900)
- Enterprise value
- ₩470B
- Equity value
- ₩821B
- WACC
- 8.8%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 83% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩95,900, the model needs an operating margin of 49.9% every year (it uses 6.8%).
- Margins ranged from −2.6% to 13.3% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
- 69% of the last 12 months' net profit came from outside operations (stakes in other companies, interest, one-offs). The model adds those stakes at book value but doesn't project that income.
- Today's P/E is 27.2× against a typical 31.6× over the last 10 years.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩12,518
- −86.9%
- Base
- ₩16,729
- −82.6%
- Bull
- ₩23,873
- −75.1%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (6.8%).
Revenue growth
- -3.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-3.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -1.9%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-3.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -0.2%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-3.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 1.4%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-3.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-3.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 6.8%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 4.6%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 5.7%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 39.5%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.08%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-29.
- 0.86
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.79, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.58%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩925B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩305B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩46B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- Shares
- 49,083,901
- Share price
- ₩95,900
- Market cap
- ₩4.7T
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩690B | ₩748B | ₩910B | ₩892B | ₩875B | ₩874B | ₩886B | ₩913B |
| Growth | −31.8% | 8.4% | 21.6% | −3.5% | −1.9% | −0.2% | 1.4% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | −₩18B | ₩11B | ₩74B | ₩61B | ₩60B | ₩59B | ₩60B | ₩62B |
| EBIT margin | −2.6% | 1.4% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% |
| After-tax EBIT | −₩13B | ₩7.7B | ₩54B | ₩44B | ₩43B | ₩43B | ₩44B | ₩45B |
| + Depreciation | ₩36B | ₩37B | ₩34B | ₩41B | ₩40B | ₩40B | ₩41B | ₩42B |
| − Capital spending | ₩65B | ₩32B | ₩32B | ₩51B | ₩50B | ₩50B | ₩50B | ₩52B |
| − Working capital | ₩75B | −₩51B | ₩46B | −₩13B | −₩6.7B | −₩692M | ₩4.8B | ₩10B |
| Free cash flow | −₩117B | ₩64B | ₩9.1B | ₩47B | ₩40B | ₩34B | ₩29B | ₩24B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.919 | 0.845 | 0.776 | 0.713 | 0.656 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩43B | ₩34B | ₩27B | ₩21B | ₩16B |
Terminal value ₩503B, worth ₩330B today: 70% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩21,872 a share)Now 4.38× | ₩29,2751.34× | ₩43,1051.97× | ₩115,8755.30× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩3,526 a share)Now 27.2× | ₩45,44112.9× | ₩111,50031.6× | ₩222,65863.1× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩7,329 a share)Now 13.1× | ₩94,44812.9× | ₩231,75131.6× | ₩462,79263.1× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.8% | ₩17,793 | ₩18,040 | ₩18,325 | ₩18,659 | ₩19,057 |
| 8.3% | ₩17,067 | ₩17,253 | ₩17,464 | ₩17,707 | ₩17,992 |
| 8.8% | ₩16,435 | ₩16,574 | ₩16,729 | ₩16,906 | ₩17,109 |
| 9.3% | ₩15,879 | ₩15,982 | ₩16,095 | ₩16,223 | ₩16,366 |
| 9.8% | ₩15,386 | ₩15,461 | ₩15,543 | ₩15,632 | ₩15,732 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩4.7T
- Enterprise value
- ₩4.4T
- P/E
- 27.2×
- P/B
- 4.4×
- P/S
- 5.1×
- EV/EBITDA
- 41.0×
- Dividend yield
- 0.2%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩67,900 | ₩22,350 | ₩33,950 | ₩24,750 | ₩42,300 |
| Market cap | ₩3.3T | ₩1.1T | ₩1.7T | ₩1.2T | ₩2.1T |
| P/E | 39.7× | 52.9× | — | 13.6× | 14.3× |
| P/B | 3.4× | 1.2× | 1.9× | 1.4× | 2.6× |
| P/S | 3.7× | 1.5× | 2.4× | 1.2× | 1.7× |
| EV/EBITDA | 29.1× | 19.9× | 89.6× | 8.6× | 10.5× |
| Dividend yield | 0.3% | 0.2% | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wonik IPS | 27.2× | 4.4× | 5.1× | 41.0× | 0.2% |
| Doosan Enerbility | 200.6× | 4.5× | 2.0× | — | 0.0% |
| Hanmi Semiconductor | 84.5× | 25.1× | 34.0× | 76.1× | 0.4% |
| Jusung Engineering | 1,135.2× | 13.9× | 36.4× | 2,185.7× | 0.0% |
| Rainbow Robotics | 4,308.5× | 55.2× | 162.6× | — | 0.0% |
| EO Technics | 47.1× | 6.8× | 11.5× | — | 0.0% |
| Doosan Bobcat | 13,805.1× | 923.8× | 743.7× | — | 3.5% |
| Similar companies (median) | 667.9× | 19.5× | 35.2× | 1,130.9× | 0.0% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Wonik IPS / 원익IPS / 240810 / KRX:240810
Source: KRX statistical information