Wonik IPS

240810 · KOSDAQ · ₩240810 · 원익IPS

₩95,900▼ ₩3,600 (3.62%)End-of-day · Oct 29, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
Trade
Alert me

Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

₩16,729

vs the current price (₩95,900)

Enterprise value
₩470B
Equity value
₩821B
WACC
8.8%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Why the model and the price differ

The model is 83% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:

  • To match today's price of ₩95,900, the model needs an operating margin of 49.9% every year (it uses 6.8%).
  • Margins ranged from −2.6% to 13.3% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
  • 69% of the last 12 months' net profit came from outside operations (stakes in other companies, interest, one-offs). The model adds those stakes at book value but doesn't project that income.
  • Today's P/E is 27.2× against a typical 31.6× over the last 10 years.

Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
₩12,518
−86.9%
Base
₩16,729
−82.6%
Bull
₩23,873
−75.1%

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in

Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (6.8%).

Revenue growth

  • -3.5%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-3.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -1.9%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-3.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -0.2%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-3.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 1.4%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-3.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-3.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • 6.8%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 4.6%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 5.7%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 39.5%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.08%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-29.

  • 0.86

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.79, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.58%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩925B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
−₩305B
+ Stakes and investments
₩46B
Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
Shares
49,083,901
Share price
₩95,900
Market cap
₩4.7T

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩690B₩748B₩910B₩892B₩875B₩874B₩886B₩913B
Growth−31.8%8.4%21.6%−3.5%−1.9%−0.2%1.4%3.0%
EBIT−₩18B₩11B₩74B₩61B₩60B₩59B₩60B₩62B
EBIT margin−2.6%1.4%8.1%6.8%6.8%6.8%6.8%6.8%
After-tax EBIT−₩13B₩7.7B₩54B₩44B₩43B₩43B₩44B₩45B
+ Depreciation₩36B₩37B₩34B₩41B₩40B₩40B₩41B₩42B
− Capital spending₩65B₩32B₩32B₩51B₩50B₩50B₩50B₩52B
− Working capital₩75B−₩51B₩46B−₩13B−₩6.7B−₩692M₩4.8B₩10B
Free cash flow−₩117B₩64B₩9.1B₩47B₩40B₩34B₩29B₩24B
Discount factor———0.9190.8450.7760.7130.656
Present value———₩43B₩34B₩27B₩21B₩16B

Terminal value ₩503B, worth ₩330B today: 70% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩21,872 a share)Now 4.38×₩29,2751.34×₩43,1051.97×₩115,8755.30×
Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩3,526 a share)Now 27.2×₩45,44112.9×₩111,50031.6×₩222,65863.1×
P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩7,329 a share)Now 13.1×₩94,44812.9×₩231,75131.6×₩462,79263.1×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
7.8%₩17,793₩18,040₩18,325₩18,659₩19,057
8.3%₩17,067₩17,253₩17,464₩17,707₩17,992
8.8%₩16,435₩16,574₩16,729₩16,906₩17,109
9.3%₩15,879₩15,982₩16,095₩16,223₩16,366
9.8%₩15,386₩15,461₩15,543₩15,632₩15,732

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩4.7T
Enterprise value
₩4.4T
P/E
27.2×
P/B
4.4×
P/S
5.1×
EV/EBITDA
41.0×
Dividend yield
0.2%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩67,900₩22,350₩33,950₩24,750₩42,300
Market cap₩3.3T₩1.1T₩1.7T₩1.2T₩2.1T
P/E39.7×52.9×—13.6×14.3×
P/B3.4×1.2×1.9×1.4×2.6×
P/S3.7×1.5×2.4×1.2×1.7×
EV/EBITDA29.1×19.9×89.6×8.6×10.5×
Dividend yield0.3%0.2%———

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
Wonik IPS27.2×4.4×5.1×41.0×0.2%
Doosan Enerbility200.6×4.5×2.0×—0.0%
Hanmi Semiconductor84.5×25.1×34.0×76.1×0.4%
Jusung Engineering1,135.2×13.9×36.4×2,185.7×0.0%
Rainbow Robotics4,308.5×55.2×162.6×—0.0%
EO Technics47.1×6.8×11.5×—0.0%
Doosan Bobcat13,805.1×923.8×743.7×—3.5%
Similar companies (median)667.9×19.5×35.2×1,130.9×0.0%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: Wonik IPS / 원익IPS / 240810 / KRX:240810

Source: KRX statistical information