Ecopro BM에코프로비엠
247540 · KOSDAQ · ₩247540 · 에코프로비엠
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
With these assumptions the model gives no positive value.
- Enterprise value
- ₩341B
- Equity value
- −₩2.2T
- WACC
- 8.7%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model gives no positive value at these assumptions. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩94,600, the model needs an operating margin of 64.4% every year (it uses 5.2%).
- Margins ranged from −1.2% to 7.7% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
- In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- —
- Base
- —
- Bull
- —
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in
Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (5.2%).
Revenue growth
- -10%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-22.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -6.7%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-22.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -3.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-22.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -0.2%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-22.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-22.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 5.2%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 17.5%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 21.8%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 17.4%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.11%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.
- 1.06
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 1.1, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.61%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩2.3T
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- ₩2.4T
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩143B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- − Minority interests
- ₩301B
- Shares
- 97,830,434
- Share price
- ₩94,600
- Market cap
- ₩9.3T
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩6.9T | ₩2.8T | ₩2.5T | ₩2.1T | ₩1.9T | ₩1.9T | ₩1.9T | ₩1.9T |
| Growth | 28.8% | −59.9% | −8.5% | −10.0% | −6.7% | −3.5% | −0.2% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩156B | −₩34B | ₩143B | ₩108B | ₩101B | ₩97B | ₩97B | ₩100B |
| EBIT margin | 2.3% | −1.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩113B | −₩25B | ₩104B | ₩78B | ₩73B | ₩70B | ₩70B | ₩72B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩363B | ₩339B | ₩327B | ₩326B | ₩336B |
| − Capital spending | ₩757B | ₩1T | ₩438B | ₩452B | ₩422B | ₩407B | ₩406B | ₩418B |
| − Working capital | −₩10B | −₩534B | −₩1.6B | −₩40B | −₩24B | −₩12B | −₩650M | ₩9.7B |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | ₩29B | ₩14B | ₩1.9B | −₩9.2B | −₩20B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.920 | 0.846 | 0.778 | 0.716 | 0.658 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩27B | ₩12B | ₩1.5B | −₩6.6B | −₩13B |
Terminal value ₩487B, worth ₩321B today: 94% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩18,350 a share)Now 5.16× | ₩109,1005.95× | ₩221,92912.1× | ₩384,96621.0× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.7% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 8.2% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 8.7% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 9.2% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 9.7% | — | — | — | — | — |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩9.3T
- Enterprise value
- ₩12T
- P/E
- 211.6×
- P/B
- 5.2×
- P/S
- 4.0×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 0.1%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩146,600 | ₩109,900 | ₩288,000 | ₩92,100 | ₩125,554 |
| Market cap | ₩14T | ₩11T | ₩28T | ₩9T | ₩12T |
| P/E | 364.3× | — | — | 38.8× | 121.8× |
| P/B | 8.3× | 6.3× | 20.5× | 6.6× | 22.3× |
| P/S | 5.7× | 3.9× | 4.1× | 1.7× | 8.3× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 0.1% | — | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ecopro BM | 211.6× | 5.2× | 4.0× | — | 0.1% |
| LG Energy Solution | — | 4.0× | 3.4× | — | 0.0% |
| Samsung SDI | 1,087.4× | 1.7× | 2.9× | — | 0.0% |
| POSCO Future M | 320.4× | 3.4× | 5.0× | — | 0.2% |
| L&F | — | 4.4× | 1.2× | 15.2× | 0.0% |
| DN Automotive | 6.2× | 1.0× | 0.6× | — | 2.4% |
| Ecopro Materials | 29.3× | 1.8× | 4.0× | — | 0.0% |
| Similar companies (median) | 174.8× | 2.6× | 3.2× | 15.2× | 0.0% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Ecopro BM / 에코프로비엠 / 247540 / KRX:247540
Source: KRX statistical information