Solum솔루엠
248070 · KOSPI · ₩248070 · 솔루엠
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩3,051
vs the current price (₩14,160)
- Enterprise value
- ₩523B
- Equity value
- ₩146B
- WACC
- 6.6%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 78% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩14,160, the model needs an operating margin of 5.6% every year (it uses 3.8%).
- Or revenue growth +21.9 points a year higher than assumed in each of the 5 years.
- Analysts' forecasts for 2026: revenue ₩2T, operating profit ₩79B (4.0% margin) (1 broker). The model starts from the last 12 months reported.
- Analysts' forecasts for 2027: revenue ₩2.3T, operating profit ₩142B (6.1% margin) (1 broker). The model starts from the last 12 months reported.
- In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.
- Today's P/E is 62.1× against a typical 24.0× over the last 10 years.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- —
- Base
- ₩3,051
- −78.4%
- Bull
- ₩28,134
- +98.7%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (3.8%).
Revenue growth
- 0.1%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (0.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 0.8%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (0.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 1.6%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (0.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 2.3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (0.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (0.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 3.8%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 1.7%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 6.7%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 19.2%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.03%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-27.
- 0.71
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.57, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.53%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩1.9T
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- ₩368B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩4.1B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- − Minority interests
- ₩14B
- Shares
- 47,816,236
- Share price
- ₩14,160
- Market cap
- ₩677B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩2T | ₩1.6T | ₩1.7T | ₩1.9T | ₩1.9T | ₩1.9T | ₩2T | ₩2T |
| Growth | 15.1% | −18.3% | 6.6% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩155B | ₩69B | ₩47B | ₩71B | ₩72B | ₩73B | ₩75B | ₩77B |
| EBIT margin | 7.9% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩112B | ₩50B | ₩34B | ₩52B | ₩52B | ₩53B | ₩54B | ₩56B |
| + Depreciation | ₩33B | — | — | ₩32B | ₩32B | ₩33B | ₩33B | ₩34B |
| − Capital spending | ₩125B | ₩126B | ₩100B | ₩125B | ₩126B | ₩128B | ₩131B | ₩135B |
| − Working capital | −₩38B | −₩13B | ₩27B | ₩359M | ₩2.9B | ₩5.8B | ₩8.5B | ₩11B |
| Free cash flow | ₩58B | — | — | −₩42B | −₩45B | −₩49B | −₩53B | −₩57B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.938 | 0.881 | 0.827 | 0.776 | 0.728 |
| Present value | — | — | — | −₩40B | −₩40B | −₩40B | −₩41B | −₩41B |
Terminal value ₩996B, worth ₩725B today: 139% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩11,969 a share)Now 1.18× | ₩17,1271.43× | ₩32,5542.72× | ₩47,6243.98× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩228 a share)Now 62.1× | ₩2,52011.1× | ₩5,46424.0× | ₩15,55368.3× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩575 a share)Now 24.6× | ₩6,35911.1× | ₩13,78824.0× | ₩39,25268.3× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.6% | ₩4,878 | ₩6,308 | ₩8,132 | ₩10,543 | ₩13,885 |
| 6.1% | ₩2,887 | ₩3,949 | ₩5,266 | ₩6,944 | ₩9,162 |
| 6.6% | ₩1,274 | ₩2,078 | ₩3,051 | ₩4,258 | ₩5,796 |
| 7.1% | — | ₩561 | ₩1,295 | ₩2,183 | ₩3,284 |
| 7.6% | — | — | — | ₩538 | ₩1,344 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩677B
- Enterprise value
- ₩1T
- P/E
- 62.1×
- P/B
- 1.2×
- P/S
- 0.4×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 0.5%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩16,590 | ₩19,210 | ₩27,300 | ₩17,400 | ₩22,450 |
| Market cap | ₩793B | ₩919B | ₩1.3T | ₩832B | ₩1.1T |
| P/E | 59.0× | 23.2× | 10.8× | 17.6× | 80.4× |
| P/B | 1.4× | 2.1× | 3.3× | 2.9× | 4.0× |
| P/S | 0.5× | 0.6× | 0.7× | 0.5× | 0.9× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | 8.1× | 10.1× | 26.6× |
| Dividend yield | 0.5% | — | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Solum | 62.1× | 1.2× | 0.4× | — | 0.5% |
| Samsung Electro-Mechanics | 89.0× | 8.8× | 7.2× | — | 0.2% |
| Doosan | 36.8× | 5.2× | 0.7× | — | 0.4% |
| Hanwha Systems | 67.9× | 2.7× | 2.9× | — | 0.8% |
| LG Innotek | 13.4× | 1.4× | 0.4× | — | 0.5% |
| Isupetasys | 32.5× | 7.6× | 5.0× | — | 0.0% |
| Daeduck Electronics | 41.5× | 6.5× | 4.7× | — | 0.4% |
| Similar companies (median) | 39.2× | 5.8× | 3.8× | — | 0.4% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Solum / 솔루엠 / 248070 / KRX:248070
Source: KRX statistical information