Solum

248070 · KOSPI · ₩248070 · 솔루엠

₩14,160▲ ₩100 (0.71%)End-of-day · Oct 27, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
Trade
Alert me

Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

₩3,051

vs the current price (₩14,160)

Enterprise value
₩523B
Equity value
₩146B
WACC
6.6%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Why the model and the price differ

The model is 78% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:

  • To match today's price of ₩14,160, the model needs an operating margin of 5.6% every year (it uses 3.8%).
  • Or revenue growth +21.9 points a year higher than assumed in each of the 5 years.
  • Analysts' forecasts for 2026: revenue ₩2T, operating profit ₩79B (4.0% margin) (1 broker). The model starts from the last 12 months reported.
  • Analysts' forecasts for 2027: revenue ₩2.3T, operating profit ₩142B (6.1% margin) (1 broker). The model starts from the last 12 months reported.
  • In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.
  • Today's P/E is 62.1× against a typical 24.0× over the last 10 years.

Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
—
Base
₩3,051
−78.4%
Bull
₩28,134
+98.7%

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in

Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (3.8%).

Revenue growth

  • 0.1%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (0.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 0.8%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (0.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 1.6%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (0.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 2.3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (0.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (0.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • 3.8%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 1.7%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 6.7%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 19.2%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.03%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-27.

  • 0.71

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.57, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.53%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩1.9T
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
₩368B
+ Stakes and investments
₩4.1B
Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
− Minority interests
₩14B
Shares
47,816,236
Share price
₩14,160
Market cap
₩677B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩2T₩1.6T₩1.7T₩1.9T₩1.9T₩1.9T₩2T₩2T
Growth15.1%−18.3%6.6%0.1%0.8%1.6%2.3%3.0%
EBIT₩155B₩69B₩47B₩71B₩72B₩73B₩75B₩77B
EBIT margin7.9%4.3%2.7%3.8%3.8%3.8%3.8%3.8%
After-tax EBIT₩112B₩50B₩34B₩52B₩52B₩53B₩54B₩56B
+ Depreciation₩33B——₩32B₩32B₩33B₩33B₩34B
− Capital spending₩125B₩126B₩100B₩125B₩126B₩128B₩131B₩135B
− Working capital−₩38B−₩13B₩27B₩359M₩2.9B₩5.8B₩8.5B₩11B
Free cash flow₩58B——−₩42B−₩45B−₩49B−₩53B−₩57B
Discount factor———0.9380.8810.8270.7760.728
Present value———−₩40B−₩40B−₩40B−₩41B−₩41B

Terminal value ₩996B, worth ₩725B today: 139% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩11,969 a share)Now 1.18×₩17,1271.43×₩32,5542.72×₩47,6243.98×
Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩228 a share)Now 62.1×₩2,52011.1×₩5,46424.0×₩15,55368.3×
P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩575 a share)Now 24.6×₩6,35911.1×₩13,78824.0×₩39,25268.3×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
5.6%₩4,878₩6,308₩8,132₩10,543₩13,885
6.1%₩2,887₩3,949₩5,266₩6,944₩9,162
6.6%₩1,274₩2,078₩3,051₩4,258₩5,796
7.1%—₩561₩1,295₩2,183₩3,284
7.6%———₩538₩1,344

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩677B
Enterprise value
₩1T
P/E
62.1×
P/B
1.2×
P/S
0.4×
EV/EBITDA
—
Dividend yield
0.5%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩16,590₩19,210₩27,300₩17,400₩22,450
Market cap₩793B₩919B₩1.3T₩832B₩1.1T
P/E59.0×23.2×10.8×17.6×80.4×
P/B1.4×2.1×3.3×2.9×4.0×
P/S0.5×0.6×0.7×0.5×0.9×
EV/EBITDA——8.1×10.1×26.6×
Dividend yield0.5%————

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
Solum62.1×1.2×0.4×—0.5%
Samsung Electro-Mechanics89.0×8.8×7.2×—0.2%
Doosan36.8×5.2×0.7×—0.4%
Hanwha Systems67.9×2.7×2.9×—0.8%
LG Innotek13.4×1.4×0.4×—0.5%
Isupetasys32.5×7.6×5.0×—0.0%
Daeduck Electronics41.5×6.5×4.7×—0.4%
Similar companies (median)39.2×5.8×3.8×—0.4%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: Solum / 솔루엠 / 248070 / KRX:248070

Source: KRX statistical information