Mobiis모비스
250060 · KOSDAQ · ₩250060 · 모비스
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩702
vs the current price (₩2,665)
- Enterprise value
- −₩9.6B
- Equity value
- ₩23B
- WACC
- 7.8%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 74% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- No operating margin up to 90% gets the model to today's price at these growth assumptions.
- Margins ranged from −205.3% to −39.0% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
- In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩758
- −71.5%
- Base
- ₩702
- −73.7%
- Bull
- ₩625
- −76.6%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (−20.0%).
Revenue growth
- 1.1%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (1.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 1.6%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (1.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 2%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (1.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 2.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (1.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (1.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- -20%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 2.3%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 2.9%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 21.7%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.08%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-29.
- 0.68
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.53, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.58%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩3.6B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩32B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩10M
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- Shares
- 32,171,314
- Share price
- ₩2,665
- Market cap
- ₩86B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩5.4B | ₩5B | ₩5.1B | ₩3.6B | ₩3.7B | ₩3.8B | ₩3.9B | ₩4B |
| Growth | 10.2% | −7.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | −₩2.1B | −₩2.4B | −₩2.9B | −₩729M | −₩740M | −₩755M | −₩774M | −₩797M |
| EBIT margin | −39.0% | −47.6% | −57.6% | −20.0% | −20.0% | −20.0% | −20.0% | −20.0% |
| After-tax EBIT | −₩1.5B | −₩1.7B | −₩2.1B | −₩528M | −₩537M | −₩548M | −₩561M | −₩578M |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩84M | ₩85M | ₩87M | ₩89M | ₩92M |
| − Capital spending | ₩79M | ₩139M | ₩226M | ₩106M | ₩107M | ₩110M | ₩112M | ₩116M |
| − Working capital | ₩13B | ₩774M | −₩230M | ₩8.6M | ₩13M | ₩16M | ₩20M | ₩25M |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | −₩559M | −₩572M | −₩586M | −₩605M | −₩627M |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.927 | 0.860 | 0.798 | 0.740 | 0.686 |
| Present value | — | — | — | −₩518M | −₩492M | −₩468M | −₩448M | −₩430M |
Terminal value −₩11B, worth −₩7.3B today: 76% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩1,018 a share)Now 2.62× | ₩2,3372.29× | ₩3,4813.42× | ₩6,1436.03× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.8% | ₩695 | ₩670 | ₩640 | ₩603 | ₩556 |
| 7.3% | ₩719 | ₩698 | ₩674 | ₩644 | ₩608 |
| 7.8% | ₩740 | ₩722 | ₩702 | ₩678 | ₩648 |
| 8.3% | ₩757 | ₩743 | ₩725 | ₩705 | ₩681 |
| 8.8% | ₩773 | ₩760 | ₩746 | ₩729 | ₩709 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩86B
- Enterprise value
- ₩52B
- P/E
- —
- P/B
- 2.6×
- P/S
- 23.8×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 0.0%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩3,825 | ₩2,730 | ₩4,350 | ₩1,640 | ₩2,320 |
| Market cap | ₩123B | ₩88B | ₩140B | ₩53B | ₩75B |
| P/E | — | 9.5× | 31.5× | — | — |
| P/B | 3.7× | 2.5× | 7.0× | 3.1× | 3.6× |
| P/S | 24.1× | 17.5× | 25.7× | 10.7× | 60.4× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 0.0% | — | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mobiis | — | 2.6× | 23.8× | — | 0.0% |
| Samsung SDS | 24.6× | 1.5× | 1.1× | — | 1.5% |
| LG CNS | 15.5× | 2.5× | 1.2× | — | 2.4% |
| Itcenglobal | 7.0× | 3.0× | 0.0× | — | 0.0% |
| DB | 7.2× | 1.0× | 0.7× | 16.4× | 0.0% |
| Lotte Innovate | 15.0× | 0.6× | 0.2× | — | 4.1% |
| Shinsegae Information & Communication | 6.3× | 0.4× | 0.3× | 0.8× | 0.0% |
| Similar companies (median) | 11.1× | 1.3× | 0.5× | 8.6× | 0.8% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Mobiis / 모비스 / 250060 / KRX:250060
Source: KRX statistical information