YeSUN Tech

250930 · KOSDAQ · ₩250930 · 예선테크

₩1,070▼ ₩15 (1.38%)End-of-day · Oct 28, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

With these assumptions the model gives no positive value.

Enterprise value
−₩61B
Equity value
−₩89B
WACC
4.7%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Why the model and the price differ

The model gives no positive value at these assumptions. What we can see:

  • To match today's price of ₩1,070, the model needs an operating margin of 5.0% every year (it uses −6.8%).
  • Margins ranged from −19.9% to −2.1% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
  • 66% of the last 12 months' net profit came from outside operations (stakes in other companies, interest, one-offs). The model adds those stakes at book value but doesn't project that income.
  • In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.

Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
—
Base
—
Bull
—

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in

Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (−6.8%).

Revenue growth

  • -10%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-10.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -6.7%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-10.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -3.5%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-10.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -0.2%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-10.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-10.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • -6.8%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 2.3%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).

  • 2.8%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 20.7%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.11%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.

  • 0.6

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta -0.78, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.61%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩40B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
₩28B
Shares
6,600,088
Share price
₩1,070
Market cap
₩7.1B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩44B₩44B₩38B₩36B₩34B₩32B₩32B₩33B
Growth−17.0%−1.1%−13.2%−10.0%−6.7%−3.5%−0.2%3.0%
EBIT−₩8.8B−₩3.2B−₩813M−₩2.4B−₩2.3B−₩2.2B−₩2.2B−₩2.3B
EBIT margin−19.9%−7.4%−2.1%−6.8%−6.8%−6.8%−6.8%−6.8%
After-tax EBIT−₩6.4B−₩2.3B−₩590M−₩1.8B−₩1.7B−₩1.6B−₩1.6B−₩1.6B
+ Depreciation———₩828M₩773M₩746M₩744M₩766M
− Capital spending₩387M₩2.4B₩816M₩1B₩941M₩908M₩906M₩933M
− Working capital−₩7.4B−₩7.8B₩5.7B−₩828M−₩499M−₩243M−₩13M₩201M
Free cash flow———−₩1.1B−₩1.3B−₩1.5B−₩1.7B−₩2B
Discount factor———0.9550.9110.8700.8310.793
Present value———−₩1.1B−₩1.2B−₩1.3B−₩1.4B−₩1.6B

Terminal value −₩69B, worth −₩55B today: 89% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩2,524 a share)Now 0.42×₩1,8650.74×₩2,5361.00×₩3,6971.46×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
3.7%—————
4.2%—————
4.7%—————
5.2%—————
5.7%—————

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩7.1B
Enterprise value
₩32B
P/E
2.7×
P/B
0.4×
P/S
0.2×
EV/EBITDA
—
Dividend yield
0.0%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩2,455₩2,280₩3,700₩5,575₩10,375
Market cap₩16B₩15B₩24B₩37B₩68B
P/E————28.1×
P/B1.1×0.9×1.1×1.1×1.7×
P/S0.4×0.3×0.6×0.7×1.0×
EV/EBITDA—————
Dividend yield0.0%————

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
YeSUN Tech2.7×0.4×0.2×—0.0%
Hankook Tire & Technology5.8×0.5×0.3×—4.0%
Kumho Tire3.1×0.6×0.3×—0.0%
Pum-Tech Korea20.1×2.6×2.1×—0.7%
Dongwon Systems9.7×0.7×0.4×5.7×2.8%
Nexen Tire3.5×0.3×0.2×—3.6%
PI Advanced Materials12.8×1.2×1.7×5.2×2.2%
Similar companies (median)7.8×0.6×0.4×5.5×2.5%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: YeSUN Tech / 예선테크 / 250930 / KRX:250930

Source: KRX statistical information