Bio-Fd&C바이오에프디엔씨
251120 · KOSDAQ · ₩251120 · 바이오에프디엔씨
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩16,699
vs the current price (₩9,200)
- Enterprise value
- ₩90B
- Equity value
- ₩145B
- WACC
- 7.3%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 82% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩9,200, the model needs an operating margin of 10.0% every year (it uses 31.1%).
- Or revenue growth −28.2 points a year higher than assumed in each of the 5 years.
- 31% of the last 12 months' net profit came from outside operations (stakes in other companies, interest, one-offs). The model adds those stakes at book value but doesn't project that income.
- Today's P/E is 12.5× against a typical 24.8× over the last 10 years.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩13,472
- +46.4%
- Base
- ₩16,699
- +81.5%
- Bull
- ₩21,918
- +138.2%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (31.1%).
Revenue growth
- 6.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (6.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 5.7%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (6.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 4.8%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (6.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3.9%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (6.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (6.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 31.1%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 7.6%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 9.5%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 13.8%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.01%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-30.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.1, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.51%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩20B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩54B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩854M
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- Shares
- 8,695,700
- Share price
- ₩9,200
- Market cap
- ₩80B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩16B | ₩16B | ₩19B | ₩21B | ₩22B | ₩23B | ₩24B | ₩25B |
| Growth | −1.7% | 3.0% | 19.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩5B | ₩4.9B | ₩6.3B | ₩6.5B | ₩6.8B | ₩7.2B | ₩7.4B | ₩7.7B |
| EBIT margin | 32.3% | 30.2% | 32.6% | 31.1% | 31.1% | 31.1% | 31.1% | 31.1% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩3.6B | ₩3.5B | ₩4.5B | ₩4.7B | ₩5B | ₩5.2B | ₩5.4B | ₩5.6B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩1.6B | ₩1.7B | ₩1.8B | ₩1.8B | ₩1.9B |
| − Capital spending | ₩2.3B | ₩1.3B | ₩1B | ₩2B | ₩2.1B | ₩2.2B | ₩2.3B | ₩2.3B |
| − Working capital | −₩29B | ₩954M | −₩820M | ₩175M | ₩164M | ₩146M | ₩124M | ₩99M |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | ₩4.1B | ₩4.4B | ₩4.6B | ₩4.8B | ₩5B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.932 | 0.868 | 0.809 | 0.754 | 0.703 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩3.8B | ₩3.8B | ₩3.7B | ₩3.6B | ₩3.5B |
Terminal value ₩102B, worth ₩72B today: 79% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩8,387 a share)Now 1.10× | ₩10,6061.26× | ₩17,9192.14× | ₩24,2682.89× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩737 a share)Now 12.5× | ₩10,66714.5× | ₩18,24824.8× | ₩39,44153.5× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩906 a share)Now 10.2× | ₩13,12014.5× | ₩22,44324.8× | ₩48,50853.5× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2022, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.3% | ₩17,124 | ₩18,035 | ₩19,158 | ₩20,575 | ₩22,420 |
| 6.8% | ₩16,170 | ₩16,909 | ₩17,800 | ₩18,898 | ₩20,284 |
| 7.3% | ₩15,369 | ₩15,977 | ₩16,699 | ₩17,571 | ₩18,645 |
| 7.8% | ₩14,685 | ₩15,193 | ₩15,787 | ₩16,494 | ₩17,347 |
| 8.3% | ₩14,095 | ₩14,524 | ₩15,021 | ₩15,603 | ₩16,294 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩80B
- Enterprise value
- ₩26B
- P/E
- 12.5×
- P/B
- 1.1×
- P/S
- 4.1×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 0.0%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩15,800 | ₩13,820 | ₩14,120 | ₩17,000 |
| Market cap | ₩137B | ₩120B | ₩123B | ₩148B |
| P/E | 20.6× | 26.7× | 22.0× | 34.1× |
| P/B | 2.0× | 1.9× | 2.1× | 2.8× |
| P/S | 7.2× | 7.5× | 7.9× | 9.3× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 0.0% | — | — | — |
Loading data for this company — check back soon
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bio-Fd&C | 12.5× | 1.1× | 4.1× | — | 0.0% |
| Samsung Biologics | 31.9× | 7.6× | 13.9× | — | 0.0% |
| Celltrion | 27.9× | 2.5× | 9.0× | — | 0.0% |
| Alteogen | 79.4× | 28.6× | 60.3× | — | 0.1% |
| SK biopharmaceuticals | 15.2× | 6.0× | 7.1× | — | 0.0% |
| Yuhan | 23.2× | 2.3× | 2.4× | 30.2× | 0.8% |
| HLB | — | 15.4× | 54.3× | — | 0.0% |
| Similar companies (median) | 27.9× | 6.8× | 11.4× | 30.2× | 0.0% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Bio-Fd&C / 바이오에프디엔씨 / 251120 / KRX:251120
Source: KRX statistical information