Netmarble

251270 · KOSPI · ₩251270 · 넷마블

₩33,650▲ ₩100 (0.30%)End-of-day · Oct 27, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

₩28,223

vs the current price (₩33,650)

Enterprise value
₩2.3T
Equity value
₩2.3T
WACC
7.3%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
₩13,151
−60.9%
Base
₩28,223
−16.1%
Bull
₩54,080
+60.7%

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

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Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (5.7%).

Revenue growth

  • 2%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 2.2%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 2.5%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 2.7%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • 5.7%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 1.6%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).

  • 2%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • -10%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.03%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-27.

  • 0.6

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.03, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.53%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩2.9T
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
−₩15B
Shares
83,158,425
Share price
₩33,650
Market cap
₩2.8T

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩2.5T₩2.7T₩2.8T₩3T₩3T₩3.1T₩3.2T₩3.3T
Growth−6.4%6.5%6.4%2.0%2.2%2.5%2.7%3.0%
EBIT−₩68B₩216B₩352B₩168B₩172B₩176B₩181B₩186B
EBIT margin−2.7%8.1%12.4%5.7%5.7%5.7%5.7%5.7%
After-tax EBIT−₩50B₩156B₩256B₩122B₩125B₩128B₩131B₩135B
+ Depreciation———₩47B₩48B₩49B₩51B₩52B
− Capital spending₩51B₩48B₩63B₩59B₩60B₩62B₩64B₩65B
− Working capital−₩23B−₩183B−₩171B−₩5.8B−₩6.5B−₩7.5B−₩8.4B−₩9.5B
Free cash flow———₩116B₩119B₩123B₩127B₩132B
Discount factor———0.9320.8680.8090.7530.702
Present value———₩108B₩103B₩99B₩96B₩92B

Terminal value ₩2.6T, worth ₩1.8T today: 79% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩71,793 a share)Now 0.47×₩43,6590.61×₩62,8630.88×₩98,5511.37×
Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩4,767 a share)Now 7.06×₩37,7007.91×₩195,31441.0×₩294,51761.8×
P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩9,505 a share)Now 3.54×₩75,1817.91×₩389,49241.0×₩587,32261.8×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
6.3%₩28,672₩31,408₩34,779₩39,034₩44,570
6.8%₩26,200₩28,447₩31,162₩34,506₩38,727
7.3%₩24,119₩25,994₩28,223₩30,917₩34,235
7.8%₩22,343₩23,929₩25,790₩28,001₩30,673
8.3%₩20,810₩22,167₩23,741₩25,586₩27,780

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩2.8T
Enterprise value
₩2.6T
P/E
7.1×
P/B
0.5×
P/S
1.0×
EV/EBITDA
—
Dividend yield
2.6%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩48,250₩51,700₩58,100₩60,400₩125,000
Market cap₩4T₩4.3T₩4.8T₩5T₩10T
P/E17.8×167.7×——41.7×
P/B0.7×0.8×1.0×0.9×1.8×
P/S1.4×1.6×1.9×1.9×4.1×
EV/EBITDA—————
Dividend yield1.8%0.8%———

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
Netmarble7.1×0.5×1.0×—2.6%
Hyundai Autoever46.8×4.7×2.0×—0.6%
Krafton10.0×1.2×1.9×—1.2%
NC6.9×1.2×2.0×8.3×0.6%
PearlAbyss7.9×2.0×3.0×5.1×0.0%
Shift UP9.0×1.8×7.1×—0.0%
NHN22.9×1.1×0.6×3.9×0.0%
Similar companies (median)9.5×1.5×2.0×5.1×0.3%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: Netmarble / 넷마블 / 251270 / KRX:251270

Source: KRX statistical information