Netmarble넷마블
251270 · KOSPI · ₩251270 · 넷마블
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩28,223
vs the current price (₩33,650)
- Enterprise value
- ₩2.3T
- Equity value
- ₩2.3T
- WACC
- 7.3%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩13,151
- −60.9%
- Base
- ₩28,223
- −16.1%
- Bull
- ₩54,080
- +60.7%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in
Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (5.7%).
Revenue growth
- 2%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 2.2%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 2.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 2.7%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 5.7%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 1.6%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 2%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- -10%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.03%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-27.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.03, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.53%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩2.9T
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩15B
- Shares
- 83,158,425
- Share price
- ₩33,650
- Market cap
- ₩2.8T
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩2.5T | ₩2.7T | ₩2.8T | ₩3T | ₩3T | ₩3.1T | ₩3.2T | ₩3.3T |
| Growth | −6.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | −₩68B | ₩216B | ₩352B | ₩168B | ₩172B | ₩176B | ₩181B | ₩186B |
| EBIT margin | −2.7% | 8.1% | 12.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% |
| After-tax EBIT | −₩50B | ₩156B | ₩256B | ₩122B | ₩125B | ₩128B | ₩131B | ₩135B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩47B | ₩48B | ₩49B | ₩51B | ₩52B |
| − Capital spending | ₩51B | ₩48B | ₩63B | ₩59B | ₩60B | ₩62B | ₩64B | ₩65B |
| − Working capital | −₩23B | −₩183B | −₩171B | −₩5.8B | −₩6.5B | −₩7.5B | −₩8.4B | −₩9.5B |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | ₩116B | ₩119B | ₩123B | ₩127B | ₩132B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.932 | 0.868 | 0.809 | 0.753 | 0.702 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩108B | ₩103B | ₩99B | ₩96B | ₩92B |
Terminal value ₩2.6T, worth ₩1.8T today: 79% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩71,793 a share)Now 0.47× | ₩43,6590.61× | ₩62,8630.88× | ₩98,5511.37× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩4,767 a share)Now 7.06× | ₩37,7007.91× | ₩195,31441.0× | ₩294,51761.8× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩9,505 a share)Now 3.54× | ₩75,1817.91× | ₩389,49241.0× | ₩587,32261.8× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.3% | ₩28,672 | ₩31,408 | ₩34,779 | ₩39,034 | ₩44,570 |
| 6.8% | ₩26,200 | ₩28,447 | ₩31,162 | ₩34,506 | ₩38,727 |
| 7.3% | ₩24,119 | ₩25,994 | ₩28,223 | ₩30,917 | ₩34,235 |
| 7.8% | ₩22,343 | ₩23,929 | ₩25,790 | ₩28,001 | ₩30,673 |
| 8.3% | ₩20,810 | ₩22,167 | ₩23,741 | ₩25,586 | ₩27,780 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩2.8T
- Enterprise value
- ₩2.6T
- P/E
- 7.1×
- P/B
- 0.5×
- P/S
- 1.0×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 2.6%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩48,250 | ₩51,700 | ₩58,100 | ₩60,400 | ₩125,000 |
| Market cap | ₩4T | ₩4.3T | ₩4.8T | ₩5T | ₩10T |
| P/E | 17.8× | 167.7× | — | — | 41.7× |
| P/B | 0.7× | 0.8× | 1.0× | 0.9× | 1.8× |
| P/S | 1.4× | 1.6× | 1.9× | 1.9× | 4.1× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 1.8% | 0.8% | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Netmarble | 7.1× | 0.5× | 1.0× | — | 2.6% |
| Hyundai Autoever | 46.8× | 4.7× | 2.0× | — | 0.6% |
| Krafton | 10.0× | 1.2× | 1.9× | — | 1.2% |
| NC | 6.9× | 1.2× | 2.0× | 8.3× | 0.6% |
| PearlAbyss | 7.9× | 2.0× | 3.0× | 5.1× | 0.0% |
| Shift UP | 9.0× | 1.8× | 7.1× | — | 0.0% |
| NHN | 22.9× | 1.1× | 0.6× | 3.9× | 0.0% |
| Similar companies (median) | 9.5× | 1.5× | 2.0× | 5.1× | 0.3% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Netmarble / 넷마블 / 251270 / KRX:251270
Source: KRX statistical information