Studio Dragon

253450 · KOSDAQ · ₩253450 · 스튜디오드래곤

₩22,700 ₩0 (0.00%)End-of-day · Oct 30, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

₩16,590

vs the current price (₩22,700)

Enterprise value
₩513B
Equity value
₩499B
WACC
7.2%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
₩9,020
−60.3%
Base
₩16,590
−26.9%
Bull
₩29,726
+31.0%

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

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Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (8.0%).

Revenue growth

  • -8.7%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-8.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -5.8%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-8.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -2.9%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-8.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 0.1%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-8.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-8.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • 8%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 0.3%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).

  • 0.4%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 7.1%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.01%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-30.

  • 0.6

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta -0.05, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.51%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩583B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
₩22B
+ Stakes and investments
₩7.5B
Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
Shares
30,058,498
Share price
₩22,700
Market cap
₩682B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩753B₩550B₩531B₩532B₩501B₩487B₩487B₩502B
Growth7.9%−27.0%−3.5%−8.7%−5.8%−2.9%0.1%3.0%
EBIT₩56B₩36B₩30B₩43B₩40B₩39B₩39B₩40B
EBIT margin7.4%6.6%5.7%8.0%8.0%8.0%8.0%8.0%
After-tax EBIT₩41B₩26B₩22B₩31B₩29B₩28B₩28B₩29B
+ Depreciation———₩1.6B₩1.5B₩1.5B₩1.5B₩1.5B
− Capital spending₩3.5B₩2.3B₩1B₩2.1B₩2B₩1.9B₩1.9B₩2B
− Working capital₩18B−₩445M−₩15B−₩3.6B−₩2.2B−₩1B₩35M₩1B
Free cash flow———₩34B₩31B₩29B₩28B₩28B
Discount factor———0.9330.8700.8120.7570.706
Present value———₩32B₩27B₩23B₩21B₩19B

Terminal value ₩554B, worth ₩391B today: 76% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩25,900 a share)Now 0.88×₩33,9041.31×₩53,8892.08×₩94,9453.67×
Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩1,040 a share)Now 21.8×₩31,40530.2×₩42,96141.3×₩73,63470.8×
P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩1,732 a share)Now 13.1×₩52,32030.2×₩71,57341.3×₩122,67370.8×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
6.2%₩17,357₩18,791₩20,563₩22,814₩25,765
6.7%₩15,816₩16,969₩18,366₩20,094₩22,288
7.2%₩14,522₩15,466₩16,590₩17,952₩19,637
7.7%₩13,422₩14,205₩15,125₩16,221₩17,549
8.2%₩12,474₩13,132₩13,896₩14,793₩15,861

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩682B
Enterprise value
₩704B
P/E
21.8×
P/B
0.9×
P/S
1.2×
EV/EBITDA
—
Dividend yield
0.0%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩42,750₩43,050₩51,500₩86,000₩91,000
Market cap₩1.3T₩1.3T₩1.5T₩2.6T₩2.7T
P/E124.5×38.6×51.5×51.1×70.0×
P/B1.6×1.7×2.2×3.9×4.0×
P/S2.4×2.4×2.1×3.7×5.6×
EV/EBITDA———39.6×49.8×
Dividend yield0.0%————

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
Studio Dragon21.8×0.9×1.2×—0.0%
HYBE—2.0×1.9×—0.3%
SM Entertainment13.3×1.7×1.4×—2.1%
JYP Entertainment12.9×2.2×1.7×7.2×2.2%
CJ CGV—1.1×0.4×—0.0%
YG Entertainment20.9×1.4×1.1×—0.8%
The Pinkfong4.2×0.8×1.9×1.9×0.0%
Similar companies (median)13.1×1.5×1.5×4.6×0.6%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: Studio Dragon / 스튜디오드래곤 / 253450 / KRX:253450

Source: KRX statistical information